Enron Mail

From:john.arnold@enron.com
To:msagel@home.com
Subject:Re: Natural update
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Wed, 4 Oct 2000 09:11:00 -0700 (PDT)

Mark:
We are still on for drinks on the 19th. You have called the market very well
since you started sending me updates. Unfortunately for both of us, a couple
of good calls does not a soothsayer make. Thus, keep sending me your updates
so I can at least get a little broader judgment of your abilities. In terms
of my trading style, I take positions to make $.25-$1, not $.05. Too much
noise in this market to trade differently for me.




"Mark Sagel" <msagel@home.com< on 10/04/2000 02:55:41 PM
To: <John.Arnold@enron.com<
cc:
Subject: Re: Natural update


John:

I hope you know I was just fishing for a reaction on the phone before. I
assumed we would discuss a potential relationship when I'm in Houston on the
19th. We're still on for drinks after work, right? By then, you should
have a comfort level with the quality of my work. I think the analysis I've
given you has been quite accurate as to market turns and price behavior. It
would be helpful if I had some idea of how you trade/view the market. Are
you mainly day-trading or do you hold positions for several days/weeks?
That way I can structure my comments in order to best serve your interests.
Let me know. Thanks,
----- Original Message -----
From: <John.Arnold@enron.com<
To: <msagel@home.com<
Sent: Wednesday, October 04, 2000 9:14 AM
Subject: Re: Natural update



Mark:
Let's keep the present system for the short-term. I would like to continue
looking at your work for another couple weeks. We'll talk later,
John




"Mark Sagel" <msagel@home.com< on 10/03/2000 02:29:47 PM

To: "John Arnold" <jarnold@enron.com<
cc:
Subject: Natural update



John:

The price behavior of the past couple days has been disappointing. My
short-term market patterns suggested a more robust price rally and natural
appears to be waning at present. Volume on this rally is poor,
particularly since yesterday was a decent day to the upside. The market
appears to be using a lot of its energy but spinning its wheels. If we
are at these same price levels in another two weeks, that would be
extremely bullish. Right here, the risk/reward to being long is not so
great. Recommend a neutral stance short-term on natural. Bigger picture
is still very bullish. However, this market needs another 1-2 weeks of
what I would call horizontal price action to set the stage for a big move
to the upside.

Let me know if this stuff is useful for you. I certainly don't want to
waste your time. In addition, if you prefer I call when I have something
to pass along, let me know. I don't know how often you check/see your
e-mail. Thanks,

Mark Sagel