Enron Mail

From:pmork@lajollaeconomics.com
To:info@lajollaeconomics.com
Subject:Will the Recession be Short?*
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Tue, 20 Nov 2001 08:29:10 -0800 (PST)


Over the past few weeks we have struggled to find an appropriate parallel
to the economic situation in the aftermath of September 11. In a recent
paper we argued that the appropriate parallel for the post 9/11 was the
Gulf War. In both cases the incident punctuated what we already knew: that
the economy was in recession. We also pointed out some interesting
similarities. In both cases, Alan Greenspan was chairman of the Fed and
George Bush was president. However, there are some major differences this
time. The George Bush in the White House now is proposing to lower tax
rates. For that reason we believe that the recovery is going to be stronger
than that of the previous recession. More on this subject anon.

LJE


www.lajollaeconomics.com

La Jolla Economics
7608 La Jolla Blvd.,
La Jolla, CA 92037-4702
Telephone (858) 456-4567
Facsimile (858) 456-4524