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Enron Mail |
Sovereign Bond Spreads:
=20 Significant New Issuance - CSFB Commentary: ?=09The emerging debt markets rallied this week as the long expected new IM= F package for Argentina was finally announced on Tuesday. Argentina will re= ceive US$8bn in new loans from the IMF, of which US$5bn will be allocated n= ext month to reinforce reserves that were depleted as a result of massive s= avings withdrawal. Another US$3bn will be extended if Argentina obtains an = agreement to cut financing costs through a debt swap and possible buyback. = The rally in Argentina spilled over first to the higher yielding EM assets = (Brazil, Turkey etc), then helped other credits, although the impact was so= fter. However, the Argentine problem is far from solved, as the Republic's = government still has to deliver on its promises of a zero budget deficit an= d debt restructuring, therefore the medium term outlook is still cautious. = The Turkish market traded up after the Argentina package was announced; the= rally was also helped by the satisfactory T-Bills auction results and othe= r positive news from the country. For Russian assets, the IMF announcement = was also a long awaited boost: volumes increased significantly with prices = climbing by more than 2 points. The Russian US$ yield curve is getting very= steep because most of the supply that we see is concentrated in Russia 203= 0, while the buying interest is spread across the curve. Central and Easter= n European asset prices were on average ? point higher on the week with Pol= and underperforming other countries after the S&P changed its outlook on fo= reign currency rating for the Republic from "positive" to "stable". The EMB= I+ Index tightened by 50 bps in one session on Wednesday and closed 29 bps = tighter on the week. ?=09On Tuesday the FOMC cut the Fed Funds rate for the 7th time this year b= y 25 bps to 3.50%, the lowest since April 1994. The accompanying Fed statem= ent pointed at the slowing global growth and weakening business profits and= capital spending in the US, thus suggesting further easing is possible. ?=09As market conditions remain difficult and we are still in a traditional= August holiday period, primary market activity is very slow but expected t= o soar in September with a number of deals waiting in the pipeline.
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