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Date:Thu, 19 Apr 2001 00:50:00 -0700 (PDT)

Sycamore Feels Heat as Rivals Tap Customer
The Wall Street Journal, 04/19/01

Enron India To Meet Dabhol Pwr Proj Lenders Apr 23
Dow Jones International News, 04/19/01

INDIA: Enron's India unit says lenders meet on April 23.
Reuters English News Service, 04/19/01

Wessex Water parent plans major surgery
The Daily Telegraph, 04/19/01

Real-time pricing cuts both ways
UPSIDE Today, 04/19/01

COMMODITIES & AGRICULTURE: Aluminium smelting faces meltdown in north-west
US: Fears are growing that the BPA's strategy of conserving energy could
drive industry from the region, writes Gillian O'Connor: Financial Times; Apr
19, 2001

Nevada regulator seeks delay of $3.1 billion utility purchase
Associated Press Newswires, 04/18/01

USA: Bandwidth trade struggles to gain footing.
Reuters English News Service, 04/18/01



Technology Journal
Sycamore Feels Heat as Rivals Tap Customer
By David Armstrong
Staff Reporter of The Wall Street Journal

04/19/2001
The Wall Street Journal
B6
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

SINCE OPENING its doors in 1998, fiber-optic equipment maker Sycamore
Networks Inc. has depended on one customer, Williams Communications Group,
for nearly all of its sales.
In announcing a huge, two-thirds decline in expected revenue in its current
quarter earlier this month, Sycamore said one reason for the drop-off was a
decrease in business with Williams, an event that it added wasn't unexpected
because most of the work required under a contract between the two companies
is nearly complete.
That explanation, however, omitted the fact that some competitors are winning
new business with Williams as Sycamore struggles to bring new products to the
market.
In the rapidly evolving and brutally competitive optical-networking game,
delays of this kind can be punishing.
"There is a major advantage to being the first mover in this marketplace,"
said Salomon Smith Barney analyst B. Alex Henderson. Although Sycamore may
have new offerings of its own before long, "getting in the game late doesn't
solve their share-loss position."
Sycamore, Chelmsford, Mass., sells products that transmit data and voice
using light, rather than electricity, greatly increasing the capacity of
existing fiber networks. Earlier this month, the company said shipment of a
more powerful version of its SN16000 optical switch has been delayed because
the company can't get enough of an essential part from suppliers. Sycamore
wouldn't disclose the exact part in short supply, but said it affects the
"grooming fabric" that allows carriers to break up their networks into
smaller chunks.
The delay is critical because rival Ciena Corp., of Linthicum, Md., has been
in the market for nearly a year with a competing device that is winning new
customers, including Williams.
Robert Traill, vice president of contracts, logistics and engineering
economics for Williams, confirmed that the Tulsa, Okla., data carrier now is
making commercial purchases of Ciena's CoreDirector, but wouldn't quantify
the buying. Also, Corvis Corp., of Columbia, Md., already is selling
high-capacity, long-distance transport devices to Williams that compete with
a Sycamore product scheduled for release this quarter.
Mr. Traill said the contracts with Sycamore rivals aren't the result of any
dissatisfaction with Sycamore, but part of a multivendor approach to
outfitting the company's fiber-optic networks. He also said Williams
continues to have a strong relationship with Sycamore. While Sycamore won't
say how much business it currently does with Williams, that customer alone
accounted for more than 90% of Sycamore's sales in fiscal 2000.
But Sycamore's dramatic decline in business with its top customer at the same
time its rivals are capturing new contracts concerns analysts. "I think there
is dissatisfaction with their product," said Seth Spalding, of Epoch
Partners, in San Francisco. "Their problems are deeper than a weakened"
telecommunications spending environment.
After talking to Sycamore and Ciena customers late last year, Michael K. Ma,
the portfolio manager of the PBHG Global Technology & Communications mutual
fund, dumped his entire position in Sycamore and tripled his stake in Ciena
to about four million shares. Mr. Ma's fund held 2,868,000 shares of Sycamore
last Sept. 30, making it one of the largest institutional owners at the time.
"We did some industry checks and talked to customers and got the sense that
[Ciena] was winning the rat race," Mr. Ma said.
Sycamore executives declined to be interviewed for this story. A spokesman
said Sycamore would have more to say about its strategy and financial
situation on May 15 when it releases results for its fiscal third quarter
ending April 28. The spokesman, however, said any product delays aren't
fatal. "Sycamore's position is this game is just beginning, and to declare
victory this early on is premature," he said.
Scott Clavenna, president of PointEast Research, a telecommunications
research firm, said delays with devices like the SN16000 are costly, but
agreed that there is time for a rebound. The fiber-optic network market, he
adds, "is just getting started."
Sycamore is well-fortified to withstand a downturn. As of Jan. 27, the
company reported having $1.4 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable
securities -- a residual benefit from the highflying days following its
initial public offering and a follow-on secondary offering made before the
technology market collapsed.
The company is led by Chairman Gururaj "Desh" Deshpande and Chief Executive
Daniel Smith, a seasoned pair who previously ran Cascade Communications
Corp., a networking-gear company they sold for $3.7 billion in 1997.
Sycamore's 1999 IPO was one of the most successful of the decade. The shares
rose 386% on the first day of trading and eventually peaked at about $190. As
of 4 p.m. in Nasdaq Stock Market trading, Sycamore climbed 71 cents, or 7.9%,
to $9.74.
Sycamore bucked the trend set by many start-ups by becoming profitable before
expected, and it beat Wall Street estimates by reporting net income of $13.8
million, or five cents a diluted share, in its fiscal second quarter ended
Jan. 27. But instead of the expected $151 million in revenue, and a
five-cent-a-share profit in the current period, Sycamore said revenue would
be only $50 million to $60 million, with a loss of 16 cents a share,
excluding restructuring costs and stock compensation. The company, which also
cut its work force by 12% earlier this month, warned of further losses in the
next several quarters.
Sycamore doesn't yet have a well-diversified customer case. Last July, it
said it had a contract valued at as much as $400 million with 360networks
Inc. of Vancouver. A spokeswoman for 360networks, which recently announced it
was cutting its capital spending this year by $500 million to a range of $3.5
billion to $4 billion, declined to specify how much the company is spending
with Sycamore but noted the $400 million figure was a maximum.
Sycamore also announced an agreement last year with Enron Broadband Services,
the Internet division of Enron Corp., for as much as $200 million over three
years. An Enron spokeswoman, however, said spending on Sycamore products
hasn't approached the figure quoted in the news release. In its most recent
quarterly report, Sycamore disclosed that its two largest customers after
Williams weren't contractually committed to purchase a minimum quantity of
products.

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.



Enron India To Meet Dabhol Pwr Proj Lenders Apr 23

04/19/2001
Dow Jones International News
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

NEW DELHI -(Dow Jones)- U.S. energy major Enron Corp.'s (ENE) Indian unit
Dabhol Power Co. will meet with its lenders April 23 to update them on the
2,184-megawatt electric power project in the western Indian state of
Maharashtra, Dabhol's spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Thursday.
"I can confirm that a meeting of Dabhol Power Co. lenders is taking place in
London April 23. The meeting has been called at the initiative of Dabhol
Power to update its lenders on the current situation of the project. DPC has
nearly 40 lenders that include Indian and international financial
institutions," Enron India Ltd.'s spokesman, Jimmy Mogul, said.
DPC has a controlling 65% stake in the controversial $2.4 billion project
which supplies power to the State Electricity Board. The project is India's
biggest foreign investment.
The tussle between Dabhol Power Co., India's Maharashtra state government,
the Maharashtra State Electricity Board and the government of India is still
ongoing.
As reported, DPC Wednesday served two notices of arbitration on the
Maharashtra state government.
In a statement, Enron India said the notices were served because the
Maharashtra government had failed "to honor its obligations under the
government of Maharashtra State Support Agreement and Supplemental State
Support Agreement," signed in 1994 and 1996, respectively.
DPC said in the agreements, the Maharashtra government had pledged to
"support and encourage the further development and completion of the Dabhol
project." It added that "without justification," the Maharashtra government
has gone back on these agreements, which has "adversely and materially
impacted DPC's ability to perform under its contractual agreements."
The statement added that as part of the arbitration process, an independent
three-person panel will be set up to determine whether the Maharashtra
government has "failed to comply with its obligations."
Under a 1996 counter guarantee agreement, the federal government is obliged
to pay Enron when MSEB defaults.
Enron invoked that guarantee in February, marking the first time in India's
history that a company has invoked a federal guarantee, when the state
utility said it couldn't afford to pay DPC. The state government finally paid
$17 million in outstanding bills.

DPC and the federal government recently started a conciliation process, to be
governed by the provisions of the U.N. Commission on International Trade Law,
with the aim of resolving DPC's latest dispute with MSEB.
DPC says MSEB owes it 1.02 billion rupees ($1=INR46.8250) for power supplied
in December 2000. For its part, the MSEB said it wanted the power bill to be
offset against a INR4 billion fine it levied on DPC for what it said was the
non-supply of power for intermittent periods between October 2000 and the end
of January.
Dabhol, India's largest private power plant currently under construction, was
scheduled for commissioning in two phases. The project's first phase, a
740-megawatt power plant, has already been commissioned and phase two is due
to be completed later this year.
Critics object to Dabhol charging INR7.1 a kilowatt-hour for its power,
compared with INR1.5/KWh charged by other suppliers.
The various partners in DPC include: Enron Corp. with a 65% stake,
Maharashtra State Electricity Board with 15%, General Electric Co. (GE) with
10%, and Bechtel (X.BTL) with 10%.
-By Himendra Kumar, Dow Jones Newswires; 91-11-461-9427;
himendra.kumar@dowjones.com

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


INDIA: Enron's India unit says lenders meet on April 23.

04/19/2001
Reuters English News Service
(C) Reuters Limited 2001.

BOMBAY, April 19 (Reuters) - U.S. energy giant Enron Corp's Indian unit has
called a meeting of its lenders on April 23 to discuss the ongoing payment
row with India's Maharashtra state government, a company spokesman said on
Thursday.
The meeting will be in London and will be attended by international as well
as local lenders of the Dabhol Power Company (DPC), he added.
The move comes amidst escalating tensions between Enron and Maharashtra over
the inability of the state's utility to pay its monthly bills.
The Maharashtra State Electricity Board (MSEB) has been defaulting on
payments since last October for electricity purchased from Dabhol's 740 MW
power plant on the state's west coast. The amount outstanding totals 2.26
billion rupees ($48.24 million).
In an effort to compel payment, Dabhol has twice invoked a federal government
guarantee to cover payment defaults by the state utility.
Last week, Dabhol also issued a notice of political force majeure to
Maharashtra. Force majeure is an event beyond the control of a contractual
party that could not have been prevented.
The dispute has already caused Enron to freeze most of its investment plans
in India and has also affected foreign investment in India's power sector.
"This meeting has been called to update the lenders about the situation," the
DPC spokesman said.
The Business Standard newspaper reported that Maharashtra no longer intends
to buy power produced by the second phase of the Dabhol project, which is
nearing completion. The $1.86 billion addition will nearly triple the plant's
output capacity to 2,184 MW.
"As far as Maharashtra is concerned, phase two is as good as scrapped," the
financial daily quoted the state chief minister Vilasrao Deshmukh as telling
reporters in Bombay on Wednesday.
The state government signed a contract in the mid-1990's to buy the plant's
entire power output. But a rise in the cost of naphtha, the fuel currently
used to power the plant, and a decline in the value of the Indian rupee
against the dollar, has inflated the cost of the power produced by the Dabhol
plant beyond the price expected at the time the contract.
That has made the power produced by the Enron plant twice the cost of power
produced by other suppliers in the state, fuelling popular and political
pressure to scrap the contract. ($1=46.84 Indian rupees).

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Wessex Water parent plans major surgery
Sophie Barker

04/19/2001
The Daily Telegraph
Copyright (C) 2001 The Daily Telegraph; Source: World Reporter (TM)

WESSEX Water parent company Azurix has decided to break itself up, six months
after the troubled American water group was taken private.
The company, which is wholly owned by energy group Enron, has appointed
investment bank JP Morgan to handle the break-up. Azurix is keen to sell its
North and South American water interests and its German engineering business,
Lurgi, first.
Wessex Water, widely considered as the jewel in Azurix's crown, would be put
on the block at a later stage, probably in a year's time.
Azurix hopes to attract foreign bidders for Wessex, which could act as a
launch pad for limited consolidation in the west and south west of England,
where three small water-only companies operate.
However, several leading foreign utility groups such as Germany's RWE and
French group Suez Lyonnaise des Eaux already own large water companies and
are barred from making any further major acquisitions under competition
rules.
Enron took Azurix private at $7 ( pounds 4.92) a share last October - just
over one third of the water company's $19 float price in 1998.
Apart from the Bath-based Wessex Water, Azurix owns small water businesses in
the United States and concessions in Latin America, including a $489m
franchise to supply water services to Buenos Aires. It was widely considered
to have overpaid for the Buenos Aires contract in 1999, which has since been
hit by trouble, including a pollution incident.
Azurix declined to comment.

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Real-time pricing cuts both ways
Ryan Tate

04/19/2001
UPSIDE Today
Copyright © 2001 Upside Media Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Want to receive Executive Briefing in your email inbox? Subscribe to our free
daily newsletter.
Get-rich rip: Walk the tightrope of real-time pricing -- if you dare.
It's working for eBay (EBAY). The Internet auctioneer is making a bundle
bringing together buyers and sellers in a vast -- and vastly profitable --
secondhand market. Now it's driving growth in another niche: simple
discounting.
Anonymously sourced news reports Wednesday had the company expanding its
Half.com division to consumer electronics and sporting goods from books,
music, movies and video games. Half.com sells goods for at least half their
original retail price and, unlike Priceline (PCLN), does not let buyers bid
on goods. Still, it allows a kind of macro-haggling, allowing manufacturers
to respond when customers at large ignore their products.
Having a harder time playing low-margin broker is Enron (ENE), a leading
builder of bandwidth-trading systems. Bandwidth markets are a boon to buyers
right now, when a capacity glut has pushed down prices, and the trading
networks have accelerated that process.
But sellers and brokers like Enron are hard-hit and Enron fired 20 percent of
its broadband staff earlier this month. Not only is demand and trading volume
down, but overhead is growing, too, as telecom companies slide and credit
quality becomes an issue.
MORNING NEWS, OVER EASY
Did Salomon Smith Barney give bad advice?
The New York Times reported that advisers from Salomon Smith Barney gave bad
advice to Microsoft (MSFT) employees about what to do with their stock
options, resulting in lost money and hefty tax bills. Among the more
egregious allegations is that the brokerage, which is Microsoft's "preferred
broker," advised workers to pay tax bills by turning their options into stock
and then borrowing against the shares -- a high-risk practice generally
employed by speculators and one that generates large interest payments for
brokerages.
Covisint names Street vet CEO
Online auto-parts exchange Covisint named Wall Street veteran Kevin English
as its CEO. English had worked as managing director at Credit Suisse First
Boston and CEO at TheStreet.com (TSCM). The site was founded by GM (GM), Ford
(F) and DaimlerChrysler (DCX), who until now had each contributed a co-CEO to
the venture. Some in the auto industry were shocked that Covisint did not
choose someone with more manufacturing experience.
VeriSign to accept non-English symbols in domain names
Master Internet registrar VeriSign (VRSN) said it would begin registering
domain names with symbols used in languages in the Middle East, Southeast
Asia and the Indian subcontinent. The .com, .net and .org top-level domains
will be able to carry domains with hundreds of symbols from nearly two-dozen
language scripts.
EXTRA SHOTS
Pink slips
Hewlett-Packard (HWP) tripled its job cut plan to include 4,700 employees, or
5 percent of its workforce, as international sales weakened and as the
company worked to slim management.
SportsLine (SPLN), the Web sports network, said it would fire 90 employees,
or about 19 percent of its workforce, as it reported a widening first-quarter
loss.
Tellabs (TLAB), which makes switching equipment for phone networks, said it
planned to cut 500 workers and leave vacant 1,100 open positions as spending
on network equipment dwindles.
Daily deals
LoudEnergy , an online music company, will give an undisclosed sum for
Riffage , a diversified digital music play.
The European Union agreed to drop charges against Microsoft (MSFT) after the
software company agreed to alter technology pacts with two European cable TV
companies to give the companies more freedom to choose settop box technology.
Gateswatch
Bill Gates made about $2.8 billion in the big rally as Microsoft shares rose
6 percent. The Upside.com 150, an unweighted, all-tech index, was up 8.5
percent. The chief software architect was worth $47.2 billion at the end of
trading, based on his company stock holdings.

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.









COMMODITIES & AGRICULTURE: Aluminium smelting faces meltdown in north-west
US: Fears are growing that the BPA's strategy of conserving energy could
drive industry from the region, writes Gillian O'Connor: Financial Times; Apr
19, 2001
By GILLIAN O'CONNOR

The Bonneville Power Administration, the US federal agency responsible for
providing low-cost power to customers in the north-western US, appears to be
in danger of killing the US aluminium smelting industry it helped to create
more than 60 years ago.
Last week, Steve Wright, the BPA's acting administrator, presented the
region's smelters - which account for one-quarter of total North American
smelting capacity - with an unpalatable choice.
Either they agreed not to take power from the BPA for two years from October,
when their new contracts start, or they faced trebled or quadrupled power
prices under the new contracts.
Since the smelters would not be able to operate economically at such prices,
either suggestion in effect means that the smelters will be out of business
for two and a half years.
Mr Wright said the BPA did not intend to drive the smelters from their
traditional base in the region - but analysts fear that this may be the
result.
The continuing power crisis on the US west coast has meant that over the past
year, roughly 90 per cent of the 1.6m tonnes a year smelting capacity in the
north-west has been closed down, on a "temporary" basis.
The rising cost of power on the free market - which has surged from Dollars
25 a megawatt hour to Dollars 300 - forced them to close some potlines.
Moreover, the fact that the aluminium groups could make more money by
reselling their low-cost BPA power than by using it to produce metal tempted
them to close most of the remainder.
As the power crisis has tightened, the terms proposed by the BPA for the
smelters' new five-year contracts have got steadily worse.
Last autumn, the BPA said it would cut the quantity of power available to
1,500MW - about half the smelters' total requirements - and increase the
price by around a third.
Then in January it said the price increase would be around 60 per cent
overall, and possibly as much as 95 per cent in the first year of the new
contracts.
Now the agency is talking of price increases of about 200-300 per cent, which
suggests rates of between Dollars 70 and Dollars 90/MWh.
CRU, the independent analysts, has calculated that most smelters could not
operate economically at above Dollars 40/MWh.
The North-west's power problems were triggered by last year's crisis in
California, as shortages and ensuing high wholesale prices in the south
sucked in power from other states.
But they have been exacerbated by the unusually low levels of winter rain and
snow in the region, which has left reservoir levels unusually low.
The BPA generates around 3,000MW less power than the 11,000MW its customers
want to buy. It can either plug the gap by buying in free-market power - thus
raising the cost of its own - or persuade its customers to cut their demands.
Its strategy is to put the utilities, which supply individuals and small
businesses, first.
The agency last week asked the utilities to cut usage by 5-10 per cent. The
aluminium companies are being asked to go off-line for two years, saving the
whole of the 1,500MW provisionally allotted to them. In effect, they are
being told that power prices will be available, as long as they don't try to
buy any.
The situation after October will be substantially worse for the smelters than
it has been so far, because they will not be able to profit by re-selling BPA
power. From October the BPA's proposed compensation amounts to little more
than giving the aluminium companies enough money to pay their laid off
workers.
In the long term, the BPA's strategy is to wean the smelters off BPA power
altogether and encourage them to build alternative power sources.
Golden Northwest, which has two smelters in the area, recently agreed a
Dollars 1.6m deal with the BPA under which the agency would build and operate
a new gas-fired turbine plant.
McCook Metals has acquired a smelter from Alcoa and shut it down while it
makes it more energy-efficient and develops a new turbine energy plant with
Enron.
Assuming that enough additional energy capacity is built, West Coast power
prices could ease in a couple of years. But analysts say that does not
necessarily mean that aluminium companies will reopen all their idle
capacity.
In the short term, the reduction in US aluminium output - it is now about 30
per cent lower than at the start of 2000 - will merely balance the expected
cuts in demand, and prevent the market swinging into surplus.
But "in 2002 and 2003 the market could be extremely tight", says Jim Lennon
of Macquarie Equities.
Copyright: The Financial Times Limited






Nevada regulator seeks delay of $3.1 billion utility purchase

04/18/2001
Associated Press Newswires
Copyright 2001. The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.

Copyright 2001. The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.

LAS VEGAS (AP) - Nevada's top utilities regulator is asking the Securities
and Exchange Commission to delay the proposed $3.1 billion sale of an Oregon
utility to Nevada's Sierra Pacific Resources.
Don Soderberg, chairman of the state Public Utilities Commission, said
Tuesday he asked the federal agency to postpone action because of pending
Nevada state legislation that would affect the deal.
Sierra Pacific agreed in late 1999 to purchase Portland, Ore.-based General
Electric from Enron Corp., but has struggled to satisfy financial
requirements that the SEC might impose. Sierra Pacific has until May 5 to
complete the deal.
Meanwhile, the Nevada state Assembly passed and the Senate amended
legislation that would require PUC approval of all acquisitions after Jan. 1.
The Legislature also is moving to halt the sale of all Nevada power
generating plants and to scrap energy deregulation.
Sierra Pacific Resources is the parent company of Sierra Pacific Power Co. in
Reno and Nevada Power Co. in Las Vegas. Sierra Pacific had planned to use its
sale of its generating stations to help finance the acquisition of General
Electric in Oregon.
Faye Andersen, company spokeswoman, said the utility opposes legislation that
would require PUC approval of acquisitions.

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


USA: Bandwidth trade struggles to gain footing.
By David Howard Sinkman

04/18/2001
Reuters English News Service
(C) Reuters Limited 2001.

NEW YORK, April 18 (Reuters) - Hailed as a new frontier for financial
markets, bandwidth trading is struggling to get a footing as capacity piles
up, prices fall and expectations float back to earth.
A supply glut, especially on long distance routes between large cities, is
dragging down prices and investment on new capacity has slowed considerably
as demand flags. But trading will pick up in two to three years as the market
matures, say analysts.
"There is nothing going on out there. The business is viable, but we are
ahead of the curve," said Merrill Lynch analyst Donato Eassey.
Bandwidth is the transmission capacity of an electronic line used to send
data from one point to another, as on the Internet. The trading of bandwidth
helps facilitates deals and hedges against risk.
While the bandwidth market was all the rage the previous three years, this
year has seen a fallout in the industry.
Enron Corp., billed as the biggest bandwidth trader, said April 6 it would
cut 20 percent of the jobs at its broadband unit because of slow demand for
streaming media products to personal computers.
"There will be some shake-out in demand, growth and pricing, but long-term
demand and growth will be there," said Seth Libby, analyst at consulting firm
The Yankee Group.
MARKET FAILURES
Market inefficiencies, such as unresolved issues like credit and market
enforcement, have retarded trading.
What is needed, according to San Francisco-based online exchange RateXchange
Corp. , is a standardized contract that would provide the framework for
commodity-like trading.
Without such agreement, buyers and sellers of bandwidth need to agree on new
terms for each transaction, said Michael Rose, RateXchange's director of
business development.
"We do not yet have a fully functioning market," said Rose.
However, analysts liken today's trading market to the power market, which
took more 10 years to get off the ground.
"Today's market problems are just growing pains," said Rod Kuckro, managing
editor of the Bandwidth Market Report, which is published by McGraw Hill Co.
Kuckro sees growth picking up over the next three years.
FALLOUT
Market inefficiencies are not the only problem bandwidth trading faces. A
supply glut has dragged down prices.
Exact numbers are hard to come by in the bandwidth trading market. But
industry experts say only about 10 percent, or even less, of existing fiber
optic capacity for bandwidth is lit, or in use in the United States.
"Obviously there is some capacity problems out there. And there will be
funding problems going forward," said Credit Lyonnais Securities analyst
Gordon Howald.
It is now cheaper to buy or lease lines than to take the risk of digging in
the ground and laying new lines.
As a result companies are not investing as much in construction. For example,
Enron slashed its capital spending on its fiber optic network to about $250
million this year from an earlier estimated budget of $750 million.
Demand for capacity has also fallen short of expectations.
"The traditional bandwidth business plan read 'just build it and they will
come,' but this did not pan out," said Libby.
Consequently, today's market has more sellers than buyers. And as new players
enter the market, like Global Crossing Ltd. and energy companies Dominion
Resources and Dynegy Inc. , competition has heated up.
But this might just be what the doctor ordered.
As prices keep falling, carriers, who were reluctant to embrace bandwidth
trading, are taking a long-look because of the increased efficiencies offered
by trading.
"Somewhat perversely, this fallout might hasten trading as companies are
forced to compete more fiercely with new players," said Kuckro.
LAST MILE HURDLE
Think of driving from New York to Washington. The highway is mostly free of
congestion, but traffic jams abound in the cities.
The same holds true for bandwidth connections. Bottlenecks in the last mile
have kept prices high, despite a glut in long-haul capacity and unused
dark-fibers
Bandwidth trading, which does not always provide a loop-to-loop service,
suffers as a result.
"Nobody want to buy long-haul capacity and then haggle and worry about the
local loop," warns Seth Libby, who said he is unaware of any bandwidth trades
that included the final link.
However, analyst see the last mile problem as just another hurdle bandwidth
trading will get around to deal with.
"Somebody is going to step up to plate," said Libby.
While analysts expect the majority of bandwidth deals to remain
carrier-to-carrier, the trading market is expected to blossom as the kinks in
the system get ironed out.
"Everyone is dressed for a party, but there is no party to go to yet," said
Donato Eassey. "But once we get the paths and the customers down the party
starts."

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.