Enron Mail

From:ann.schmidt@enron.com
To:
Subject:Enron Mentions
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Fri, 18 May 2001 09:10:00 -0700 (PDT)

POWER POINTS:Great News! Long-Term Contracts Jeopardized
Dow Jones Energy Service, 05/18/01

Options Report: Investors Sell Options As Flat Mkt Looms
Capital Markets Report, 05/18/01

Shell "Pleased" On Selection For Saudi Gas Projects 1 & 3
Dow Jones Energy Service, 05/18/01

USA: U.S. pleased American firms win Saudi natgas deals.
Reuters English News Service, 05/18/01

UK: Shell says happy to participate in Saudi gas venture.
Reuters English News Service, 05/18/01

Saudi To Announce Gas Proj 1 & 3 Leaders By Jun 5-Source
Dow Jones Energy Service, 05/18/01

Shell, Exxon Score Big in Historic Saudi Gas Initiative, Energy Intelligence
Group Reports
PR Newswire, 05/18/01

Saudi Arabia Selects International Oil Companies for Three Major Projects
Dow Jones Business News, 05/18/01

Saudi Arabia Picks Foreign Partners for Gas Projects (Update4)
Bloomberg, 05/18/01



POWER POINTS:Great News! Long-Term Contracts Jeopardized
By Mark Golden

05/18/2001
Dow Jones Energy Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

A Dow Jones Newswires Column

NEW YORK -(Dow Jones)- Those looking for even the slightest bit of good news
for the state of California can find it in Friday's San Jose Mercury News.
"California is in danger of losing more than 40% of the power it has lined up
in long-term contracts," says the lead of a major article, because
Republicans in the state legislature didn't back the $12.5 billion bond deal
last week.
Getting out of most of those contracts would be the best thing to happen to
California in a long time.
Since the state went on its long-term buying binge, forward prices for power
in the western U.S. have been falling steadily. Gov. Gray Davis announced $43
billion in purchases lasting up to 20 years on March 5. Contracts for summer
power at Palo Verde, Ariz., a key western trading hub that feeds a lot of
power into California, have fallen to $390 a megawatt-hour from a high of
$600/MWh in late March. Further out, power for 2004-2006 at mid-Columbia
River, a key trading hub north of California, has fallen from $58/MWh in
February to $49/MWh today.
Companies like Calpine Corp. (CPN) and Dynegy (DYN) that took advantage of
the state's buying binge are looking pretty fat and happy. In fact, they have
affectionately started calling the governor Gravy Days. Enron Corp. (ENE),
which has been selling aggressively for two months, according to traders, is
looking like a genius as usual. Generators that held out, like Reliant Energy
(REI) and Duke Energy (DUK), may be sorry that they did.
It's been a long time since those long on western power have felt serious
pain in the markets, but that time has come. Power generators may not make as
much profit this summer as last, and power traders that have taken long
speculative positions may liquidate supplies for far less than they bought
them. As was seen in the eastern U.S. power markets last summer, long
positions can turn out just as painful as short positions.
For California, the good news is that maybe spot purchasing costs this summer
won't be as bad as once expected. The bad news is that the state government
is by far the biggest "long" in the bearish forward market. It's safe to say
that the $43 billion in contracts signed in March have declined in value by
15%, or $6.5 billion. That's almost as big of a financial disaster going
forward as everything that has gone on since last summer until now.
Granted, this is a sort of damned-if-you-do-damned-if-you-don't situation.
Barring the utilities from the forward market during the first three years of
deregulation was one of the most expensive public policy mistakes in U.S.
history. California should do some forward purchasing now, and it's such a
behemoth that it will move the market up when it does so. And, when it gets
done buying, prices will come down simply because it stopped.
But that's a footnote to the mismanagement of the financial side of the
energy crisis. Early this year, when the state started down the path of
mega-purchasing, there was no shortage of advice not to do so. Long-term
prices were embedded with too much of today's supply-demand imbalance. The
state would have been much better off dealing with the imbalance first -
since it would have to do that anyway - and gradually securing forward power
as declining prices reflected the improving situation.
Since then, the state has done a great job of crushing demand. Electric usage
is already down 9% from where it was expected to be thanks to a conservation
efforts and a slowing economy, and people haven't even seen their 30% higher
bills yet. Similar reduction has been seen in power consumption in other
western states and in natural gas usage nationally. This is likely what has
been behind much of the downturn in forward power prices in the West.
This column started with a false "good news" lead. It would be great for the
state if, after the state's credit rating sinks further, sellers exercised
their option to tear up the five- and ten-year contracts. But they won't do
that. The prices are too good from the sellers' perspective. Calpine, which
has signed three such contracts for the state, said immediately that it has
no intention of reneging on its agreements. And Gary Ackerman, director of
the sellers' association, told the Mercury News that he didn't expect power
companies in general to back out of the deals.
But there may be some real good news for California. The Davis administration
hired dozens of people that have little or no experience in energy trading to
purchase billions of dollars of power. Perhaps they are quick learners. This
week presented an excellent opportunity for the state to pick up what it
needs - summer power for this year only - on sale. Low prices in the daily
market Monday and Tuesday drove the summer contract prices down to $325/MWh,
which is cheap by recent standards. The contract price moved up to $390/MWh,
but the state took advantage of the opportunity while the window was open.
"The week's condition in the market place helped. We were able to procure
some energy for June through September," said state spokesman Oscar Hidalgo.
And, hey, there were no blackouts this week.
-By Mark Golden, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-4604; mark.golden@dowjones.com

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Options Report: Investors Sell Options As Flat Mkt Looms
By Kopin Tan
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

05/18/2001
Capital Markets Report
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

NEW YORK -(Dow Jones)- Options volatility, already at its lowest level in
some months, edged down further amid the busy trading of Expiration Friday.
But while lower volatility typically means reduced and more attractive
premium for option buyers, many investors continued to sell options. With
market observers expecting stocks to be flat or range-bound for a while as
the economy gropes toward a recovery, these investors were selling options to
generate income upfront and hoping the sold contracts will expire unexercised.
Many investors sold out-of-the-money calls as part of strategies like covered
call writing to help lower their cost of buying stock and the break-even
points for their investments.
In Ericsson Telephone Co., for instance, the June 7.50 calls traded more than
29,000 contracts, with much of Friday's volume accounted for by investors
selling these out-of-the-money contracts. Investors, who earn about $25 for
each contract sold, likely were selling these as part of their covered call
writing strategies.
Ericsson's American depository receipts most recently gained 43 cents to
$6.83. At the Chicago Board Options Exchange, the June 7.50 calls rose 15
cents to 30 cents on volume of 19,967 contracts, compared with open interest
of 7,291. Another 9,415 contracts traded at other exchanges.
In Microsoft Corp., the October 50 puts traded robustly, as they had earlier
this week. It appeared investors were selling these out-of-the-money calls,
earning about $150 for each contract and betting that Microsoft stock will
remain above $50 by mid-October (or they were willing to buy stock at that
price).
With Microsoft edging down 66 cents to $67.51, the October 50 puts traded
20,437 contracts, adding to open interest of 20,297. These puts were up 5
cents to $1.50 at the American Stock Exchange.
Because options volatility already had fallen significantly, some investors
think it is risky to sell options - selling volatility in trader speak - at
this time, since a sudden stock selloff could trigger anxiety and raise
option premium and make it more costly to buy back these sold options.
But with no major economic events on the calendar until well into June, and
with a long holiday weekend coming up later this months, investors also are
wary about being long volatility.
This is one reason why it makes sense for option sellers to focus on selling
longer-dated options that expire more than six months in future, noted
Michael Schwartz, CIBC Oppenheimer's chief options strategist. These
longer-term options pack a greater dollar premium, which translates to a
lower break-even point when sold as part of covered call writing strategies
and give investors more downside protection.
The CBOE's market volatility index, or VIX, fell 0.52 to 25.00.
The options market's tech-sector fear gauges or Nasdaq volatility indexes
also eased to their lowest levels in nearly eight months - a sign of
gathering investor complacency toward tech stocks.
The CBOE's Nasdaq volatility index, or VXN, fell 4.28 to 54.41. VXN has not
reached this level since it closed at 54.25 on October 19 last year.
The American Stock Exchange's Nasdaq volatility index, or QQV, lost 4.35 to
46.20 - its lowest level since it closed at 45.12 on September 29 last year.
Elsewhere in the options market:
- Cree Inc.'s stock and options are active Friday with investors appearing to
make bullish bets on the maker of semiconductor materials.
It isn't clear what drove these optimistic trades, but the company has
indicated it isn't currently in active talks with potential acquirers. Cree
stock was up 12.1% or $3.73 to $34.53 on heavy trading volume, after rising
11.4% Thursday. In the options market, at least one investor was buying
near-month, out-of-the-money calls and selling long-term options that expire
in 2003 - usually a sign he expects stock to appreciate in the near term.
- Enron Corp.'s June options were active as a large spread traded. An
institutional investor bought more than 5,000 contracts of the June 55 calls
and sold a roughly equal number of the June 50 puts to help offset the cost.
The investor likely is bullish about Enron and does not expect the stock to
fall below $50 by mid-June, or is willing to buy stock at that price.
Enron most recently was up $2.02 to $54.24. At the Philadelphia Stock
Exchange, the June 55 calls were up 60 cents to $2.05 on volume of 7,001
contracts, compared with open interest of 4,674. The June 50 puts were at
$1.05 on volume of 5,000 contracts, compared with open interest of 2,353.
-By Kopin Tan, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-2202; kopin.tan@dowjones.com
(Kaja Whitehouse contributed to this report.)

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Shell "Pleased" On Selection For Saudi Gas Projects 1 & 3

05/18/2001
Dow Jones Energy Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

LONDON -(Dow Jones)- The Royal Dutch/Shell Group of Companies is very pleased
to have received notification from HRH Prince Saud al-Faisal, Minister of
Foreign Affairs and Chairman of the Ministerial Committee overseeing the
Saudi Natural Gas Initiative, that it will play a major role in Core Ventures
1 and 3, the company announced in a press release Friday.
These are two of three Core Ventures awarded to international oil companies
as part of Saudi Arabia's multibillion dollar gas value chain investment
program, comprising exploration and production, power generation,
desalination and chemicals projects, the company said.
Sir Mark Moody-Stuart, Chairman of the Royal Dutch/Shell Group, said: "Shell
is honored to be given such a significant role in this historic development.
We are delighted to have been selected to participate in both Core Venture 1
and Core Venture 3".
Phil Watts, CEO Exploration and Production, added: "The Saudi Natural Gas
Initiative represents an excellent opportunity for Shell to build upon its
long history of partnership with the Saudi government and the Saudi people.
We look forward to playing a constructive role in the establishment of the
Saudi natural gas industry."
Shell has been active in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia since the 1940s and has
invested over $7 billion with its partners in petrochemicals, refining, and
other downstream business ventures, the company said.
Earlier Friday. Saudi Arabia announced its selection of international oil
companies that will participate in its three gas core ventures.
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) was been awarded leadership of Core Venture 2, the
Red Sea project. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Enron (ENE), who were bidding
jointly in this initiative, were awarded a stake in the Red Sea project.
No leaders were announced for the other two projects, Core Ventures 1 and 3.
However, Saudi Arabia said the consortium for the South Ghawar project - Core
Venture 1, estimated at $15 billion - was awarded to ExxonMobil, Royal
Dutch/Shell (RD), BP Amoco (BP) and Phillips Petroleum
Core Venture 3, the Shaybah project, was awarded to a consortium comprising
Shell, TotalFinaElf (TOT) and Conoco (COCA).

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


USA: U.S. pleased American firms win Saudi natgas deals.

05/18/2001
Reuters English News Service
(C) Reuters Limited 2001.

WASHINGTON, May 18 (Reuters) - The U.S. Energy Department on Friday welcomed
Saudi Arabia's decision to award contracts to several large American energy
firms to help develop the kingdom's vast natural gas resources, and said the
move fits in with the Bush administration's new comprehensive energy plan.
Earlier in day, Saudi Arabia opened its natural gas sector to eight leading
international firms, including U.S.-based ExxonMobil , Phillips Petroleum ,
Enron , Occidental Petroleum and Conoco .
"We're pleased that these American firms have been chosen to lead these
natural gas development projects," Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham said
through a department spokeswoman.
President George W. Bush's plan to overhaul U.S. energy policies includes a
recommendation to support initiatives by Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and other
Middle East countries to open portions of their energy sectors to foreign
investment.
"This decision is right on target with the president's energy plan...that
identifies the opening up of energy producing countries to foreign
investment, an important way to broaden our shared commercial and strategic
interests," Abraham said.
The spokeswoman said it is too early to determine if Abraham would travel to
Saudi Arabia for the formal signing of memorandums of understanding (MOUs)
for the projects, which will take place in a few weeks.
"At this point I don't know what his schedule is going to be in two weeks. I
don't have anything definite on that," the spokeswoman said.
ExxonMobil and Royal/Dutch Shell won big roles in three Saudi projects that
are estimated to require combined initial investment of $25 billion.
Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal said Exxon, Shell, BP and
Phillips were given stakes in the biggest of the projects on offer, the $15
billion development in South Ghawar, known as core venture one.
Exxon also secured the leading role in the big natural gas project, on the
Red Sea coast, with Enron and Occidental taking smaller shares.
Shell, TotalFina Elf and Conoco won stakes in the third project, for
development of natural gas at Shaybah in the empty quarter of southeast Saudi
Arabia.
The awards mark the biggest advance in the kingdom's efforts to develop its
gas reserves, the world's fourth largest, since Riyadh unveiled the energy
opening more than two years ago.

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


UK: Shell says happy to participate in Saudi gas venture.

05/18/2001
Reuters English News Service
(C) Reuters Limited 2001.

LONDON, May 18 (Reuters) - Royal Dutch Shell said it was pleased to have won
a significant stake in major gas ventures unveiled by Saudi Arabia on Friday.
Supermajors Exxon Mobil and Shell won starring roles in three projects that
are estimated to require combined initial investment of $25 billion, the
kingdom's biggest opening to foreign investors for 25 years.
"Shell is honoured to be given such a significant role in this historic
development. We are delighted to have been selected to participate in both
Core venture 1 and Core Venture 3," group Chairman Mark Moody-Stuart said in
a company statement.
Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal said Exxon, Shell, BP and
Phillips were given stakes in the biggest of the projects on offer, the $15
billion development in South Ghawar, known as core venture one, the Saudi
Press Agency (SPA) announced.
Exxon also secured the leading role in core venture two, on the Red Sea
coast, with Enron and Occidental taking smaller shares.
Shell, TotalFinaElf and Conoco won stakes in core venture three, for
development of gas at Shaybah in the empty quarter of southeast Saudi Arabia.

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Saudi To Announce Gas Proj 1 & 3 Leaders By Jun 5-Source

05/18/2001
Dow Jones Energy Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

DUBAI -(Dow Jones)- Saudi Arabia will announce its selection on who will lead
core gas projects 1 and 3 by June 5, an industry source familiar with the
process told Dow Jones Newswires Friday.
Memoranda of Understanding will also be signed in the first week of June and
by June 5 at the latest, he added.
Earlier Friday. the kingdom announced its selection of international oil
companies that will participate in its three gas core ventures.
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) was been awarded leadership of Core Venture 2, the
Red Sea project. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Enron (ENE), who were bidding
jointly in this initiative, were awarded a stake in the Red Sea project.
No leaders were announced for the other two projects, Core Ventures 1 and 3.
The consortium selected to develop the South Ghawar project - Core Venture 1,
estimated at $15 billion - was awarded to ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch/Shell (RD),
BP Amoco (BP) and Phillips Petroleum
Core Venture 3, the Shaybah project, was awarded to a consortium comprising
Shell, TotalFinaElf (TOT) and Conoco (COCA).
The source said the companies selected for ventures 1 and 3 now have to
"recommit" to the projects at hand, essentially reconfirming their
willingness to participate in the ventures, after which the Saudis will make
their leader selection.
Once the MOU's are signed, a clearer outline of what form the projects will
take will begin and a comprehensive project development program will be
"signed" by the end of this year, the source added.

What stake each company will get in each consortia hasn't been decided yet,
the source said.
The Saudis may leave it to the project leaders to direct negotiations with
its consortium members on how to divide up both the stakes and management of
the whole project. But, he added, the Saudis will have to give final
approval.
The source said the downstream segments of the projects will be 100% operated
by the consortia. The upstream segments will be operated by the Saudi
national oil company, Aramco, but may involve participation of the foreign
companies, he added.
And which Saudi governmental bodies will be involved in each project is also
still unclear. Potential participants include Aramco, The Saudi Electricity
Authority and the kingdom's petrochemical giant, Sabic.
Finally, the source said that the project drafts received by the companies
selected Friday, were more detailed and constructive than expected at this
stage.
Saudi Arabia invited international oil companies in October 1998 to make
proposals for what are mostly downstream gas projects, as well as upstream
gas enhancement.
Saudi Arabia currently has around 2.5 billion cubic feet of gas a day in its
system, and is working toward increasing this to 4 billion cubic feet a day
by 2003. By 2025, it will need an estimated 14 billion cubic feet a day to
meet its own consumption requirements.

By Dyala Sabbagh, Dow Jones Newswires; 00-9714-3441-857;
dyala.sabbagh@dowjones.com

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Shell, Exxon Score Big in Historic Saudi Gas Initiative, Energy Intelligence
Group Reports

05/18/2001
PR Newswire
(Copyright © 2001, PR Newswire)

NEW YORK, May 18 /PRNewswire/ -- Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch/Shell are the
big winners in today's announcement by Saudi Arabia of the companies selected
to participate in its so-called Gas Initiative, Energy Intelligence Group
reports in an analysis of the historic decision. The announcement by Foreign
Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal marks the first extensive reopening of the
country's upstream hydrocarbon sector to international investment since
nationalization in the 1970s.
Both Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch/Shell are in the most coveted Core Venture 1
involving the South Ghawar field, along with BP and Phillips. And each is in
one other venture. Exxon is to lead Core Venture 2, in the Red Sea area, with
an Enron/Occidental consortium as a participating partner. No leader has yet
been selected either for venture three, the Shaybah Area development deal in
which Shell will be grouped with Total Fina Elf and Conoco or -- most
critically -- the giant South Ghawar project, EIG reports in the latest issue
of its Energy Intelligence Briefing service.
Chevron, the company that originally discovered oil in Saudi Arabia, has been
dropped from the participants list, as have Italy's ENI and US Marathon.
Initial agreements defining the scope and duration of the projects are to be
finalized over the next two weeks, with signing due early next month. After
that, attention will turn to hard questions of pinning down precise financial
terms.
BP and Phillips are unlikely to be selected for the leadership role at South
Ghawar, EIG understands. The competition is essentially between Exxon and
Shell. The choice at Core Area 1 may depend in part on the decision in Core
Area 3, where any one of the three partners could yet be selected as
operator. Conoco has the advantage of being the first one to propose a
project in the area. The fact that Total is French is said to operate in its
favor.
FOR MORE GO TO http://www.energyintel.com
http://www.energyintel.com is home on the web for Petroleum Intelligence
Weekly, Oil Daily, Natural Gas Week, and other services from Energy
Intelligence Group. The site is perfect for both EIG's clients and newcomers
looking for the best business intelligence on the world of oil and gas. The
site combines the high quality news, analysis and data you expect from EIG
with cutting-edge Internet technology.
MAKE YOUR OPINION COUNT -- Click Here
http://tbutton.prnewswire.com/prn/11690X75636851


/CONTACT: Energy Intelligence Group, 212-532-3405, fax: 212-532-4479/ 12:28
EDT

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Saudi Arabia Selects International Oil Companies for Three Major Projects

05/18/2001
Dow Jones Business News
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

Saudi Arabia announced its choices of international oil companies from both
sides of the Atlantic for three huge natural-gas projects, marking the
reopening of its energy sector to Western investment, a quarter century after
it was nationalized.
Together, the three projects will require investment of some $25 billion.
A consortium comprising Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM), Royal Dutch/Shell Group
(RD), BP PLC (BP) and Phillips Petroleum Co. (P) won the plum Core Venture 1
contract, which is projected to require about $15 billion in investment. No
decision has yet been made on who will lead Core Venture 1, also called the
Ghawar project after the world's largest onshore oil field.
Exxon Mobil will lead Core Venture 2, on the Red Sea Coast. Occidental
Petroleum Corp. (OXY) and Enron Corp. (ENE), which were jointly bidding for
the contract, received a stake in the project.
Core Venture 3, in Shaybah, was awarded to a consortium made up of Shell,
TotalFinaElf (TOT) and Conoco Inc. (COCA). Shaybah is a recently developed
oil field in Saudi Arabia's southeastern region bordering the United Arab
Emirates. No leader has been selected for the Shaybah project either.
Negotiations have been under way for the three projects since Saudi Crown
Prince Abdullah invited major oil companies to return to the country in 1998.
The talks until now focused on broad issues, such as the scope of the
projects.
Other issues are still to be negotiated, and it is expected to be months
before final agreements are signed.
Exxon Mobil, leader of Core Venture 2, the only project for which a leader
was announced Friday, said in a written statement that the project includes
development of discovered gas resources in Northwest Saudi Arabia, power and
desalination facilities in that region and exploration in the Northern Red
Sea with the opportunity for additional investment in chemicals, power and
desalination facilities on the West Coast.
Exxon Mobil also hopes to become project leader for Core Venture 1, which
will expand Saudi Arabia's power, water desalination, petrochemical and gas
systems and provide for exploration and development of gas resources in the
Northern Rub Al-Khali region.
Saudi Arabia will announce its selection of leaders for core projects 1 and 3
by June 5, an industry source familiar with the process told Dow Jones
Newswires Friday. Memoranda of understanding will also be signed in the first
week of June and by June 5 at the latest, he added.
Copyright © 2001 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
All Rights Reserved.

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Saudi Arabia Picks Foreign Partners for Gas Projects (Update4)
2001-05-18 13:56 (New York)

Saudi Arabia Picks Foreign Partners for Gas Projects (Update4)

(Adds analyst comments in eighth, 10th and last paragraphs.)

Riyadh, May 18 (Bloomberg) -- Saudi Arabia picked Exxon Mobil
Corp., Royal Dutch/Shell Group, BP Plc and five other oil
companies for $25 billion of investments, opening its natural-gas
fields to foreigners for the first time in two decades.
Total Fina Elf SA, Conoco Inc., Phillips Petroleum Co.,
Occidental Petroleum Corp. and Enron Corp. were also selected to
help Saudi Arabia convert its utilities from burning oil to gas.
Saudi Arabia nationalized its oil fields in 1975.
The investments are designed to spur Saudi Arabia's economy
and provide jobs for the estimated 15 percent of the population
who are unemployed. While the projects initially involve gas, the
winners will have a lead should the country open access to its
crude oil reserves, the world's largest.
``I don't think it's going to be spectacularly lucrative, but
there are other, pressing reasons to be there,'' said Julian Lee,
an analyst at the Centre for Global Energy Studies in London,
which was founded by former Saudi oil minister Sheikh Zaki Yamani.
``It's part of a long-term play by the oil companies who want
ultimately to get access again to Saudi crude.''
Saudi Arabia took over its oil fields following the Arab oil
embargo that started in 1973. The awards culminate three years of
talks and lobbying by the companies with Saudi Arabia, whose
natural-gas reserves are the world's fifth largest.
The South Ghawar project is the centerpiece of the kingdom's
plan and will include Irving, Texas-based Exxon Mobil, Shell, BP
and Phillips, SPA said. No decision has been made on a leader for
the project, which is expected by analysts to cost $17 billion.
Shell, Conoco and Total were chosen for the Shaybah project,
which may cost $4 billion. Exxon Mobil will lead an estimated $4
billion project, including Occidental and Enron in the Red Sea
development, the official Saudi Press Agency said, citing Saudi
Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal.

Agreements

The partners will soon sign preliminary agreements in the
next few weeks, the government said, though terms have yet to be
decided. Fahnestock & Co. analyst Fadel Gheit expects the
companies to see a return on investment of 10 percent to
15 percent.
Foreign companies had hoped to regain access to Saudi
Arabia's oil fields, though the government instead sought gas
developments.
``The ultimate objective is to get a better seat at the table
in terms of the oil,'' said Jurjen Lunshof, an analyst at Credit
Lyonnais Securities Europe. ``But you wonder whether the terms
will make sense.''
Even so, Exxon shares rose as much as $1.45, or 1.6 percent,
to $90.18, while Phillips advanced $2.13, or 3.2 percent, to $68
and Enron gained as much as $2.20 to $54.40. In London, BP rose
10.5 pence to 625p and Shell Transport & Trading climbed 15 pence
to 615p.
Three companies -- Chevron Corp., Eni SpA and Marathon-USX
Group -- also bid for projects. Those who aren't participating
either submitted inappropriate proposals or rejected the
government's invitation, SPA said. Also absent is Texaco Inc.,
which Chevron is buying.

Economic Woes

Saudi Arabia has been running budget deficits for most of the
last two decades and has a public debt some 10 percent bigger than
its $120 billion economy. The country needs foreign investment to
help create enough jobs for the 100,000 men entering the market
each year.
``The construction of an energy superhighway will provide a
spurt of growth that should carry the kingdom for many years,''
said Brad Bourland, the chief economist at Saudi American Bank,
before the results were announced. ``The spin-off benefit will be
the creation of thousands of new jobs for Saudis.''
The kingdom's state-owned energy company, Saudi Aramco, will
hold equity and oversee the projects, though it is expected to
bear none of the costs.
Exxon has already invested more than $5 billion in the
country, including a 50 percent stake in the Yanbu Petrochemical
Co., when more than $2 billion was raised from more than 30 Saudi
Arabian, regional and international banks. Shell has already
invested more than $7 billion.

Power Demand

Saudi Arabia needs about $120 billion for power generation
projects during the next 20 years, with the annual demand growth
for electricity in the kingdom estimated at 4.5 percent, reported
King Fahd University in Dhahran.
To meet this demand the country must increase power
generation to 70,000 megawatts by 2020 from 21,000 now.
Saudi Arabia produces 4.5 billion cubic feet of gas a day,
equal to 800,000 barrels of oil a day, all for domestic use. By
using more gas at home, the country will free up about 300,000
barrels of oil a day for export.
Drilling and production costs for Saudi gas wells will be
30 percent to 50 percent more than for Saudi oil wells, a boon for
service companies already active in the kingdom such as Nabors
Industries Inc. and BJ Services Co.
``This is the most significant development possible for the
oilfield-services industry, outside of burgeoning new activity off
Angola and Brazil,'' Robert W. Baird & Co. analyst George Gaspar
said.