Enron Mail

From:schwabalerts.marketupdates@schwab.com
To:jeff.dasovich@enron.com
Subject:Midday Market View for September 13, 2001
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Thu, 13 Sep 2001 09:51:36 -0700 (PDT)

Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

Midday Market View(TM) for Thursday, September 13, 2001
as of 1:00PM EDT
Information provided by Schwab Center for Investment Research
and Bridge

+--------------------------------------------------------------+
+ +
+ TUESDAY'S NATIONAL TRAGEDY +
+ +
+ Schwab provides answers to your questions about the markets +
+ and your money. Also, listen to a special audio message +
+ from Chairman Mr. Charles Schwab on the tragedy. +
+ +
+ http://q1.schwab.com/s/r?l=781 +
+--------------------------------------------------------------+


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U.S. INDICES
(1:00 p.m. EDT)

----------------------------------
Market Value Change

DJIA n/a n/a
Nasdaq Comp. n/a n/a
S&P 500 n/a n/a
----------------------------------
NYSE Advancing Issues n/a
NYSE Declining Issues n/a
NYSE Trading Volume n/a
NASDAQ Advancing Issues n/a
NASDAQ Declining Issues n/a
NASDAQ Trading Volume n/a

==================================

U.S. TREASURIES
----------------------------------
Value Yield Change

6-month bill 3.09% n/a
5-year note 3.93% - 5/32
10-year note 4.62% - 1/32
30-year bond 5.39% + 7/32

The tables above look best when viewed in a fixed-width font,
such as "Courier."

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INTERNATIONAL MARKETS HIGHER, BONDS SOAR

Global markets added to earlier gains, while bonds advanced as
investors flocked to the presumed safety of the U.S. Treasury
market. According to a Bloomberg report, the yield on the
two-year Treasury note reached a 43-year low of 2.98% in a
flight to quality reaction. Meanwhile, in economic news, reports
reflecting souring consumer sentiment and a weakening jobs
picture had little effect as the markets remain focused on
Tuesday's catastrophe.

In equities news, Chuck Hill, research director at First Call,
is now estimating that U.S. companies' 4Q profit may fall by as
much as 10-15%, due to the potential economic reverberations
resulting from Tuesday's attack. Previously, First Call forecast
a decline on the order of at least 5%. Airlines, hotels, leisure
stocks and retailers are expected to bear the brunt of the
shortfall, if consumer confidence wanes. In fact, the
International Air Transport Association has estimated that costs
could run as high as $10 billion for major American and
International carriers, owing to the widely-anticipated
slackening demand.

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TREASURY AND ECONOMIC SUMMARY

While the U.S. equity market remains closed until further
notice, bonds rallied, particularly on the short-end of the
curve, as investors sought the relative safety of U.S.
Treasuries. Bonds were helped higher by speculation that the Fed
may cut rates before the Oct. 2 Federal Open Market Committee
meeting.

In economic news, a preliminary release of the University of
Michigan's consumer sentiment survey, conducted prior to
Tuesday's attack, showed that consumer sentiment dropped sharply
through Sept. 10 from the August figure. The consumer sentiment
index plummeted to 83.6, down from August's 91.5 and well below
the Bloomberg forecast of 91.0. The current conditions component
fell to 93.5 from August's 101.2, and the future expectations
component plunged to 77.2 from August's 85.2. Although the bond
market, which appears to be focusing on the bigger picture, had
little if any, reaction to the report, it appears that consumers
may have been starting to sour on the economy, even before
Tuesday's calamity.

Initial jobless claims came in higher than expected, rising to
431,000 for the week of Sept. 8, according to the Labor
Department. A poll per Dow Jones Newswires was looking for an
increase to 405,000. The prior week's figures were revised
upward to 410,000. The four-week moving average of claims rose
to 411,000 and continuing claims rose to 3,345,000 suggesting a
deteriorating jobs situation.

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WORLD MARKETS

European bourses extended gains in late-day trading, led by a
partial recovery in the world's largest insurance stocks, after
some of the companies, which got hammered yesterday, said that
claims related to Tuesday's damage would be lower than initially
forecast. Investors also sought the relative safety of defensive
issues, while energy and auto stocks led the downside action.
The Bloomberg European 500 Index was up 0.83% as of 11:57 a.m.
EDT.

The U.S. dollar fell against the euro on light volume, even as
the Group of Seven nations said it was prepared to support the
currency, as necessary, to mitigate a potentially worsening
economic situation. However, the European Central Bank decided
to keep the benchmark interest rate for the euro-zone on hold at
4.25% for the time being, following the ECB President's remarks
that reducing rates further would be seen as a panic reaction to
the situation at hand. Nevertheless, the major international
central banks have already provided liquidity to the financial
markets with yesterday's $120 billion injection into their
domestic financial systems and have indicated that they will
coordinate with the Fed and other major central banks to ensure
smooth, ongoing market operations.

The yen extended its gains against the dollar after Japan's
Finance Minister said he didn't see any immediate need for
taking action in the foreign exchange market, despite the
previous comments coming out of the G-7.

William Johnson, Market Analyst

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Copyright 2001 Bridge Information Systems.

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