Enron Mail

From:xi.xi@enron.com
To:jan.haizmann@enron.com, michael.grimes@enron.com
Subject:DSL Blues
Cc:sue.nord@enron.com, scott.bolton@enron.com, tracy.cooper@enron.com,lara.leibman@enron.com, donald.lassere@enron.com, mona.petrochko@enron.com, barbara.hueter@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com, susan.landwehr@enron.com, marchris.robinson@enron.com,
Bcc:sue.nord@enron.com, scott.bolton@enron.com, tracy.cooper@enron.com,lara.leibman@enron.com, donald.lassere@enron.com, mona.petrochko@enron.com, barbara.hueter@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com, susan.landwehr@enron.com, marchris.robinson@enron.com,
Date:Thu, 18 Jan 2001 08:41:00 -0800 (PST)

Jan & Mike,
Following article highlights some of the troubles DSL providers are having in
the US.


Covad Communications Inc. - A Cautionary Tale

Covad Communications Inc. prides itself in being a high-speed Internet
services company . On 2nd January 2001 nearly 15% of Covad's staff woke up to
a holiday season present they didn't expect, as the California-based DSL
provider announced a further round of 400 redundancies to cut costs.

Not only has Covad served notice on 400 employees in the first week of 2001,
but it had already fired another 400 employees on 27 November 2000 after
restating third-quarter results for last year which revealed a wider net loss
than originally reported.

Covad's shares lost about 95% of their value during 2000, but the firm is now
hopeful that the redundancies - primarily in direct sales and marketing -
coupled with the closing of 200 DSL central offices and consolidating space
will provide improvement. Covad shares were worth about US$65 during March
2000, but are currently valued at just US$1.65 (at the time of this writing).

On 12 December 2000, Covad Communications Inc. announced that it expected its
fourth quarter and year 2001 revenues to miss Wall Street expectations and
also expected EBITDA-basis losses for the periods. This news came only weeks
after Corvad had restated lower its already-released third quarter results
because of delinquent payments from business partners.

Forward looking into the year 2001, Covad expects to report an EBITDA-basis
loss of $450-$470 million, with revenue likely to come in at $380-$390
million. These gloomy outlook changes come just as other companies that
install high-speed Internet connections over regular telephone lines - using
DSL - have been cutting staff and warning of disappointing subscriber and
revenue growth.

Corvad are hoping that by cutting the workforce, it should slow the burn
rate, which had been running at about $70 million per month, partly as a
consequence of trying to expand its network.

Corvad is a company that grew at a time when capital was freely available,
but it has all but shut itself out now from telecom service providers and
plans to start offering self-installation DSL packages for individual
subscribers in the first quarter of 2001 (D.I.Y. DSL in a Jiffy Bag)..


Corvad is Not Alone

Other US companies caught in the same troubled waters include DSL.net Inc.
and NorthPoint Communications Group Inc., whose financial condition has led
No. 1 U.S. local phone company Verizon Communications to cancel its planned
$800 million agreement to buy NorthPoint.

Covad has also said that 14 of its Internet Service Provider partners, which
sell DSL directly to consumers, are "troubled" and four of them have filed
for bankruptcy protection. On the back of this grim news, Covad announced a
program for its DSL customers that would allow them to switch from these
troubled ISPs to others with no fee.

Corvad, NorthPoint Communications Inc. and DSL.net are not alone in these
troubled times. Many independent providers of digital subscriber line, or
DSL, Internet service, which offer high-speed data transmission and Web
access over existing copper telephone lines, have faced increasing difficulty
tapping the capital and equity markets to fund operations as they strive for
profitability. Efforts to achieve profitability have been hurt by consistent
disappointments about subscriber and revenue growth across the sector.