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Date:Fri, 16 Feb 2001 07:45:00 -0800 (PST)

$1.6B Calif Pwr Bill Due Mar 2, Risks Seen For Suppliers
Dow Jones Energy Service, 02/16/2001

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$1.6B Calif Pwr Bill Due Mar 2, Risks Seen For Suppliers
By Mark Golden
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

02/16/2001
Dow Jones Energy Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

NEW YORK -(Dow Jones)- The biggest of all power bills for California's two
main utilities comes due March 2: $1.61 billion for December real-time
purchases. It represents an enormous amount of fourth quarter revenue at risk
for suppliers to the utilities via the California Independent System
Operator.

Some independent generators, like Calpine Corp. (CPN), and western utilities
did much in December to reduce their exposure to the cash-strapped California
utilities. Other generators and trading companies, like Enron Corp. (ENE),
Williams Cos. (WMB) and Mirant Corp. (MIR), increased their exposure by
buying power for the ISO from Northwest utilities that had stopped selling
directly to the ISO due to credit concerns.

"We entered into contracts with utilities and third parties, like Enron, and
avoided selling to those that had questionable credit," Calpine Executive
Vice President Tom Mason told Dow Jones Newswires Thursday at an industry
conference in New York. "Some of these folks were willing to take on that
risk."

PG&E Corp. (PCG) unit Pacific Gas & Electric Co. will owe $1.2 billion for
its December real-time market purchases through the ISO, the company said
Thursday. Edison International (EIX) unit Southern California Edison's bill
will come to $410 million, according to a person familiar with the billing.

Barring a legislative solution to the state's energy crisis within the next
two weeks, the utilities are expected to pay little of their March 2 bill.
Earlier this month, Pacific Gas & Electric paid about 10% of its November ISO
bill of $611 million, and Southern California Edison paid none of its bill
for $34 million.
As reported, Calpine, Avista Corp. (AVA), New Century Energies Inc. (NCE) and
the British Columbia provincial utility BC Hydro are among those companies
that aggressively reduced exposure to the California utilities and ISO by
December.

Calpine still has some exposure for the fourth quarter, but it's comfortable
enough with that exposure that it didn't take reserves against its earnings
as some other companies did, Mason said.
Some Suppliers Stepped Into Middle As Prices Soared

After colder temperatures moved in Dec. 5, wholesale power prices in the
Northwest shot up to as high as $1,000 a megawatt-hour, up from $275/MWh in
late November. The ISO's volume of purchases increased as well to meet higher
demand for electric space heating, and it started paying a large credit risk
premium on top of the regular market prices.

From Dec. 5 until Dec. 14, when the U.S. Department of Energy ordered all
historical suppliers to the ISO to deliver available electricity directly,
companies that were willing to take on more California utility credit risk
could buy Northwest power at an average price of about $400/MWh and deliver
it to the ISO for about $600/MWh. Making that deal for 10 business days on
250 MW supply, for example, would come to $8 million of profit in the event
of payment, but $16 million in losses in the event of nonpayment.

Enron chairman Ken Lay confirmed that the company stepped in to buy power
from companies that wouldn't sell to the ISO and then sold that power to the
ISO at a premium.

"We make markets in California and elsewhere," Lay said. "That's what we do."

Williams said Thursday that it, too, bought power for the ISO, in addition to
delivering all available power it owns inside California.

"Because of the ISO's desperate need for power from Northwest out-of-state
state sources, when those historic sources dried up for the ISO, Williams was
one of the companies that stepped in, and we did it at a reasonable margin,"
said Tim Thuston, Williams' managing director of government relations. "This
wasn't profiteering."

Power traders said that Mirant, which is the recently spun-off unregulated
division of Southern Co. (SO), also was buying from Northwest utilities and
selling to the ISO in the first half of December.

"Specifically, I can't say if we bought from Northwest utilities and sold to
the ISO," Mirant spokeswoman Jamie Stephenson said. "In general, we bought
and sold power nationwide."

The "sleeving" of power sales, as it is called by power marketers, stopped in
the second half of December after the Department of Energy issued its
emergency order.

In-State Producers, Enron And TransAlta Owed Most

On the receivable side of the March 2 bill, Dynegy Inc. (DYN) and partner NRG
Energy (NRG), Enron, Mirant, Reliant Energy (REI), TransAlta (T.TA),
Williams, BC Hydro and the Los Angeles Department of Water & Power are owed
the most - tens of millions of dollars each, according to a person familiar
with the billing. In-state energy producer Duke Energy (DUK) says it limited
its spot sales to the ISO.

All of the companies declined to say how much money they are owed for
December, but Reliant spokesman Richard Wheatley pegged Reliant's "bleed
rate" to the two utilities "conservatively" at about $2 million a day before
the California Department of Water Resources started buying electricity in
place of the utilities.

Williams said it doesn't expect any material creditworthiness issues in the
fourth quarter.

"Ultimately, we expect to collect all the money that's due to us," Williams'
Thuston said when asked if nonpayment for its sales to the ISO in the event
of a utility bankruptcy would be material. "We've been operating in good
faith to be part of the solution in California, and we assume that the
governor and legislature are going to do what they said they were going to
do."

Mirant has taken reserves against the possibility of nonpayment, but
Stephenson wouldn't say how much the reserves are.

-By Mark Golden, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-4604; mark.golden@dowjones.com
-Christina Cheddar contributed to this article.