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Enron Mail |
-----Original Message-----
< Electricity Daily < < Tuesday, September 25, 2001 < < Analysis: PG&E's Brilliant Reorganization < The reorganization plan that PG&E Corp. and Pacific Gas and Electric filed < in U.S. Bankruptcy Court last week (ED, Sept. 21) is brilliant in its < simplicity. It essentially moves as much of the company's hard assets as < possible away from California's notoriously business-averse politicians < and regulators and to the more predictable feds. That step, itself, makes < the businesses creditworthy, because it creates a predictable revenue < stream. < The one element of the business that can't be severed from the < jurisdiction of the rapacious California Public Utilities Commission - the < retail electricity and gas distribution utility - will be so fenced in by < federally-approved wholesale contracts that the CPUC will have no choice < but to pass through costs preordained as just and reasonable or face < certain loss in the courts. In the meantime, PG&E's filed rate case < continues in court, with every likelihood of success, further limiting the < damage that the demented regulators can impose. < PG&E's hydro system is already subject to Federal Energy Regulatory < Commission regulation, although many consumer groups in the state don't < seem to understand that fact. Under the reorganization plan, the Diablo < Canyon nuclear plant would become a wholesale provider with a < FERC-approved tariff. PG&E's pipeline system, historically a "Hinshaw" < pipeline not subject to federal jurisdiction, would become a traditional < interstate system under FERC jurisdiction. < The politicians and regulators quickly recognized what PG&E would do and < have been gnashing their teeth furiously since the announcement. But it < appears there is little they can do other than lament. The plan would not < raise rates, so the court has no reason to consult with the CPUC. And < federal law clearly trumps state law when it comes to protecting < creditors. < The fact that the creditors are lined up behind the reorganization plan is < the worst news the state could hear. According to bankruptcy experts, it < is highly unlikely that the court would reject a plan that the creditors < endorse. Because they get all their money paid, with interest, the < creditors are largely made whole (the largest will have to take some notes < as part of the repayment). < Will the bankruptcy reorganization plan lead Southern California Edison < into bankruptcy? There are two lines of argument on this question, both < valid. One suggests that the plan will lead Gov. Gray Davis and the < backers of his Edison bailout to push harder for quick action, lest Edison < decide it can do better in court than it can in the Legislature. The other < line argues that PG&E's plan will lead Edison's creditors to put the < utility quickly into Chapter 11 involuntarily. < The Reuters news service last week reported that power generators Mirant < Corp. and Reliant Energy are looking for a third creditor to push the < company into involuntary bankruptcy. Sources indicate that the city of < Long Beach may be the third creditor needed to push the state's second < largest utility into bankruptcy < Ted Craver, chief financial officer of Edison International, the utility's < parent, told a conference call to creditors last week that the company < would not voluntarily seek bankruptcy protection and would "vigorously < oppose any involuntary bankruptcy petition." But under bankruptcy law, < according to legal experts, once the creditors file, there is little < Edison could do. < In addition, the unveiling of the PG&E plan last Thursday will embolden < Republicans in the Legislature, and perhaps some Democrats, to put a < rescue package for SCE on hold. The PG&E filing has much to recommend < itself to both Republican and Democratic legislators. It does not raise < retail rates. It does not involve any form of a state "bailout" of the < utility. It provides a clear path for the state to get out of the energy < procurement business. < -- Kennedy Maize < <
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