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Enron Mail |
I have no major changes, but Arctic air mass plunging into Plains now on
short range models. Overall, the progression of ideas from last week look to hold true for this week and beyond. The very cold weather will probably be a bit more expansive by the end of the week than I had originally planned for, which means colder for Texas, the Tennessee Valley, the Midwest and Ohio Valley later this week. The deep Southeast and along the East coast it will turn colder later this week but the coldest of air will not reach those areas. Snow and ice will probably reach as far south as Oklahoma City in the Plains and western PJM in the East during mid to late week. Houston may have trouble getting out of the 40s for highs Thursday as compared to near 80 degree temps currently. A large area of snowcover will become established over the next 5-10 days over the northern and central U.S. I continue to believe the models look too warm in the long range, especially in Canada. Once Canada gets cold at this time of year, it will likely stay very cold. This will set the stage for additional cold air to spread across the United States east of the Rockies in the long range. Bottom line - true Winter is about to begin, the bear show is over. Dave 281.379.1376 832.524.0468
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