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Enerfax Daily NORTH AMERICA'S FREE POWER AND GAS INFORMATION SOURCE Wednesday, June 6, 2001 No. 755 For 40 extra power stories visit our website at: http://www.enerfax.com, if you would like to receive our daily free email write Enerfax-subscribe@egroups.com. For Oil Prices & News write enerfaxgold-subscribe@egroups.com or go to http://www.enerfaxgold.com Please view in a fixed-width font such as Courier. GAS FUTURES Henry Hub 12 Month Strip 4.0863 -0.1445 18 Month Strip 4.0338 -0.1369 | Month | High | Low | Close | Change | | JUL | 4.179 | 3.850 | 3.892 | -0.177 | | AUG | 4.255 | 3.940 | 3.975 | -0.176 | | SEP | 4.290 | 3.980 | 4.014 | -0.174 | | OCT | 4.320 | 4.040 | 4.054 | -0.168 | | NOV | 4.480 | 4.220 | 4.232 | -0.155 | | DEC | 4.655 | 4.370 | 4.404 | -0.148 | | JAN | 4.720 | 4.445 | 4.474 | -0.146 | | FEB | 4.600 | 4.320 | 4.364 | -0.131 | | MAR | 4.410 | 4.080 | 4.199 | -0.126 | | APR | 4.030 | 3.820 | 3.839 | -0.116 | | MAY | 3.950 | 3.780 | 3.769 | -0.111 | | JUN | 4.010 | 3.770 | 3.819 | -0.106 | PHYSICAL GAS PRICES | Gulf/Eastern Region | | | Agua Dulce | 3.90 | | ANR SE | 3.97 | | Carthage TG | 3.96 | | Chicago Citygate | 4.09 | | Columbia Gulf Onshore | 3.94 | | Dominion TTT South(CNG S. Point) | 4.25 | | Henry Hub | 3.99 | | Houston Ship Channel | 4.07 | | Katy Hub | 4.04 | | NGPL - Midcontinent | 3.91 | | NGPL STX | 3.91 | | NGPL TX/OK | 3.95 | | Niagara | 4.22 | | Sonat Tier 1 | 3.95 | | TCO IPP Pool | 4.22 | | Tetco ELa | 3.88 | | Tetco M-3 | 4.12 | | Tetco STX | 3.84 | | TGP Zone 0 | 3.86 | | TGP Zone 1 | 3.95 | | TGT Zone SL | 3.95 | | New York Citygate | 4.13 | | Transco Station 65 | 4.00 | | Transco Zone 6 (NY) | 4.13 | | Trunk ELa | 3.94 | | Western Region | | | California Border | 8.56 | | El Paso Permian | 4.01 | | El Paso San Juan | 3.12 | | Waha Hub | 4.03 | | Canadian/Rockies Region | | | Nova/Aeco (in C$/GJ) | 4.72 | | Dawn Hub/Union | 4.21 | | Northwest Stanfield | 3.41 | | Wyoming Pool | 2.92 | | Opal/Kern River | 2.94 | | PGT-Malin | 3.65 | | Sumas | 3.38 | POWER FUTURES | Month | COB | Change | PV | Change | | JUL | 205.00 | -40.00 | 222.00 | -43.00 | | AUG | 240.00 | -45.00 | 252.00 | -43.00 | | SEP | 145.00 | -40.00 | 147.00 | -35.00 | | OCT | 148.00 | -27.00 | 95.00 | -27.00 | | NOV | 95.00 | -25.00 | 75.00 | -13.00 | | DEC | 145.00 | -20.00 | 75.00 | -19.00 | | JAN | 145.00 | +0.00 | 70.00 | +0.00 | | FEB | 130.00 | +0.00 | 60.00 | +0.00 | | MAR | 85.00 | +0.00 | 60.00 | +0.00 | | APR | 62.00 | +0.00 | 55.00 | +0.00 | | MAY | 62.00 | +0.00 | 55.00 | +0.00 | | JUN | 62.00 | +0.00 | 75.00 | +0.00 | | Month | Entergy | Change | Cinergy | Change | | JUL | 93.00 | +1.50 | 83.50 | -2.50 | | AUG | 85.50 | -6.00 | 73.50 | -1.50 | | SEP | 43.00 | -0.50 | 36.60 | -0.40 | | OCT | 37.00 | -0.25 | 34.65 | -0.35 | | NOV | 37.00 | -0.25 | 34.65 | -0.35 | | DEC | 37.00 | -0.25 | 34.65 | -0.35 | | JAN | 39.25 | -0.50 | 37.75 | -0.50 | | FEB | 39.25 | -0.50 | 37.75 | -0.50 | | MAR | 35.75 | -0.50 | 34.75 | -0.50 | | APR | 35.75 | -0.50 | 34.75 | -0.50 | | MAY | 41.25 | -0.25 | 39.75 | -0.25 | | JUN | 52.75 | -0.75 | 49.50 | -1.00 | POWER FUTURES | Month | PJM | Change | | JUL | 82.00 | -1.00 | | AUG | 73.00 | -0.50 | | SEP | 39.70 | -0.05 | | OCT | 36.60 | -0.15 | | NOV | 36.60 | -0.15 | | DEC | 36.60 | -0.15 | | JAN | 42.00 | +0.00 | | FEB | 42.00 | +0.00 | | MAR | 37.25 | -0.50 | | APR | 37.25 | -0.50 | | MAY | 40.00 | -0.75 | | JUN | 50.00 | -1.25 | NATURAL GAS OPTIONS | | Closing | Days | Implied ATM | | Month | Price | Left | Volatility | | JUL | 3.892 | 22 | 63.56% | | AUG | 3.975 | 52 | 60.86% | | SEP | 4.014 | 85 | 60.29% | | OCT | 4.054 | 113 | 60.34% | | NOV | 4.232 | 144 | 60.01% | | DEC | 4.404 | 176 | 60.01% | PHYSICAL POWER PRICES | | High | Low | Average | | | $/MWh | $/MWh | $/MWh | | Cinergy | 23.00 | 20.00 | 21.70 | | ECAR | 24.40 | 21.95 | 23.20 | | ERCOT | 39.00 | 38.00 | 38.50 | | Entergy | 32.00 | 31.00 | 31.35 | | TVA | 25.00 | 20.00 | 21.75 | | ComEd | 23.00 | 21.50 | 22.00 | | PJM West | 26.50 | 26.25 | 26.40 | | Main | 23.00 | 19.50 | 21.85 | | MAPP | 23.00 | 19.50 | 21.75 | | Palo Verde | 135.00 | 110.00 | 126.80 | | Mid C | 110.00 | 95.00 | 99.35 | | COB | 95.00 | 95.00 | 95.00 | | 4 Corners | 126.00 | 124.00 | 125.00 | | Mead | 145.00 | 140.00 | 142.50 | | NP 15 | 120.00 | 115.00 | 118.50 | | SP 15 | 110.00 | 95.00 | 105.35 | _______________________________________________ Today's Power Bulletins * Brazil to Widen Emergency Electricity Rationing as Power Crisis Deepens * Ontario Power Prepares to Divest Coal Power Plants * Senate Governmental Affairs Committee to Review California Power Price Caps * Environmentalists Meet with Cheney, See Some Progress * Puget Sound Energy and Constellation Earn The Edison Award, Electric Industry's Highest Honors * TECO Power Services Breaks Ground on 599 MW Arkansas Power Station * Sierra Pacific Resources Earnings Update Webcast on June 7th * Puget Sound Energy CEO Says Real-time Pricing Will Lead Up to $15 Billion Annual Electricity Cost Savings * Two New Directors Named to Cleco Corporation Board * Penn Virginia Acquires Fork Creek Coal Property for $33 Million * Thermal Energy Files New Patent for NOx Reduction * Calpine Begins Construction of 135 MW Peaking Facility in Gilroy, California * FirstEnergy Adds 425 MW of Generating Capacity at West Lorain Plant * Mark Dempsey Named AEP's President for West Virginia * Western Spot Power Prices Fall to Yearly Low on Increased Supply * PJM Spot Power Prices Rise with Elevated Pool Rates and Unit Loss More stories with bulletins at http://www.enerfactsdaily.com ____________________________________________________ Bankrupt Utility Executives Likely to Get Another Bonus In a move that may become a public relations nightmare, the executives who steered Pacific Gas & Electric into bankruptcy are expected to be granted huge bonuses under a plan to pay them $17.5 million, doubling some of their salaries. The bonus plan has been fiercely criticized by consumer groups, but has been provisionally approved by creditors. Some of the payments outlined in the bonus plan are linked to PG&E filing a Chapter 11 reorganization plan no later than January, a move the utility was already prepared to do. The willingness on the part of the creditors to pay the ransom is presumably tied to their belief that bankruptcy proceedings will be much quicker and smoother if they are not delayed by threatened departures and replacements. It's not a question of whether they are bad managers, but simply one of expediency. The bonus plan follows a much bigger $50 million round of bonuses handed out to employees just days before the utility sought bankruptcy protection! i! n April. _____________________________________________________ GET REAL about energy risk management with KWI In today's fast moving energy markets you need to be able to manage risk in real time. That means knowing before you hit a risk problem, not afterwards when it may be too late to prevent big losses spreading right through your enterprise. With kW3000(tm), our multi-commodity, integrated front to back office software, you can monitor your Profit At Risk(tm), counterparty risk and mark-to-market all in real time. Keep alert to risk. Do it in real time. Call KWI - http://www.kwi.com Americas: +1-281-681-3301 / Europe: +44 (0) 20-7386-2700 / Asia Pacific: +61(0) 2-9976-6111 ________________________________________________ Today's Gas Bulletins * Tropical Storm Allison, 1st Storm of Hurricane Season Lashes Texas Coast with High Winds and Heavy Rains * Canadian Rigs Drilling Down 23 in Past Week * Unocals Pure Resources Sells $350 Million 10-Year Notes * On Last Day as Chairman of Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, Senator Murkowski Cautions Against Democratic Energy Bill * Denbury Resources to Buy Privately Held Matrix Oil and Gas in $163 Million Cash and Stock Deal * Tri-Valley in the Heart of Big Oil and Natural Gas Play * PUC Approves 35-Mile Southeast Wisconsin Natural Gas Lateral Connecting Wisconsin Gas to Guardian Pipeline * PG&E Says June Natural Gas Rates 38% Lower than May and 66% Lower than January More stories with bulletins at http://www.enerfactsdaily.com __________________________________________________ Natural Gas Futures Dip Back Down Natural gas futures on the NYMEX ended the session closed sharply lower in moderate trading yesterday after failing to break resistance at $4.20 amid bearish speculation on todays AGA storage report. The July contract dropped $0.177 to $3.892, and August lost $0.176 to $3.975 per MMBtu. A tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico failed to develop into a stronger system, which also pressured prices lower. And, most traders are expecting a return to a triple digit increase in the latest storage inventory data, and a return of recent lows. The Northeast is expecting a large injection because of the past holiday weekend and little demand. The market extended the slide after breaking through psychological support at $4.00 and then 3.96, the low from Monday's session. After several days of unusually cool weather, much of the eastern half of the nation will have warmer temperatures late this week and early next week. The most intense heat will continue in the southwestern sta! te! s, but the hot weather will move into Texas and portions of the central Plains by early next week, further boosting demand. Also, a tropical disturbance located off the Texas coast was going to be investigated by an Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance Aircraft. The disturbance is expected to move north into the upper Texas and Louisiana coastal areas producing torrential rain. But, the failure of the disturbance to intensify to a tropical depression put downward pressure on the futures. Look for fairly quiet trading ahead of the storage report with a bias toward the downside. Look for the market to rally if the storage injection is less than 90 Bcf, and drop if it is greater than 100 Bcf. The next level of support is pegged at $3.82 and then $3.67. Resistance is seen at $4.20 and then $4.25. Natural gas for next day delivery across most of the US was mixed to somewhat higher yesterday, except out west where spot prices continued to rise sharply. Canadian spot prices were genera! ll! y lower. Natural gas for next day delivery at the Henry hub gained $0.04 to $3.99 per MMBtu. ________________________________________________ North American Gas Storage Conference Storage 2001 - 2002: Source of Stability or Chaos? June 22, Houston Find the answers at Ziff Energy's natural gas storage conference. A blockbuster roster of industry leaders from the utility, trading, pipeline and storage sectors in each of the North American storage regions will present timely, relevant information you can use. This conference will assist you in making critical decisions about your natural gas storage strategy for peaking and the remaining seasonal base fill. The game has changed - storage strategy has been kicked up a notch from buying for seasonal fill to real-time risk management. Session 1 Supply Shortage or Storage Inefficiencies: Last Winter's Saga El Paso Corporation - Byron Wright, VP Energy Information Administration, DOE - Jim Thompson, Industry Analyst Keyspan Energy - David Manning, Senior VP, Corporation Affairs Axia Energy - David Modesett, VP Session 2 The Changing Storage Paradigm: Dynamic Storage Service vs Seasonal Fill AEC Storage & Hub Services Inc. - Rick Daniel, President Williams Energy Marketing & Trading - Blake Herndon, Director, Risk Management NiSource Inc. - T.J. Aruffo, VP Energy Supply Services Enron North America - Paul Bieniawski, Director Duke Energy Gas Transmission - David Nightingale, VP MHP Session 3 Pricing it Right and Reducing Risk: Can We Expect Stability or Chaos in Winter 2001 - 2001? Aquila Energy - Mark Cook, VP The Exchange Center Conoco Gas and Power Marketing - Brad King, VP Storage Sempra Energy Trading - Dan Guertin, Meteorologist For more information or to register visit http://www.ziffenergyconferences.com, call 1-800-853-6252, or email us at gasconference@ziffenergy.com ________________________________________________ BP Plans $600 Million Trinidad Natural Gas Project BP Trinidad and Tobago is preparing to launch a $600 million offshore natural gas project next month to supply its giant Atlantic LNG plant. The Kapok project will comprise a state-of-the-art, unmanned gas production platform linked to a new central processing unit in an offshore natural gas field. The central processing unit is capable of processing 1.6 Bcf per day in addition to considerable quantities of crude and condensate. The Kapok field has an estimated 3 Tcf which will be brought on stream for trains two and three at Atlantic LNG. ________________________________________________ VISIT http://www.enernetdaily.com/restruc.pdf TO SEE YOUR FREE ISSUE OF RESTRUCTURING TODAY. Enerfax is happy to provide you with a two week free trial subscription to Restructuring Today, the nation's leading daily newsletter on the converging energy and communications industries -- especially focusing on the opening up of competitive markets. Restructuring Today reports the twists, plans, failures, strategies, shocks, absurdities, new sales and buying methods in what's becoming American's biggest industry. Restructuring Today's editors will tell you what the CEOs making the big decision are thinking and planning. And those editors cover more seminars than you can imagine going to (or paying for). They're guided by a network of correspondents in state capitals. Restructuring Today's editors are directed not to write what the news is but to report what the news means. It may seem opinionated but Restructuring Today's analysis is frequently mentioned when we survey readers about what they find useful in the daily reports. As a paid subscriber you receive timely news the date of issue. If you'd like to subscribe there is an order form on the back page of the newsletter. To view click on this link: http://www.enernetdaily.com/restruc.pdf Discounts extended until June 8, Individual license for $437. State License for 5 readers is $974. and $121.75 for any additional reader . Corporate LIcense for all corporation employees only $4,000 Call (504)893-9225, reply to this email, or fax your name, title, company, address, city, st, phone, fax, and email address and which license _ _______________________________________________ Natural Gas NYMEX Volume 01JLY 20,061 01AUG 3,119 01SEP 2,787 01OCT 2,132 01NOV 780 01DEC 1,784 02JAN 2,212 02FEB 796 02MAR 880 02APR 452 02MAY 205 02JUN 278 02JLY 89 02AUG 69 02SEP 67 02OCT 183 02NOV 236 02DEC 52 03JAN 216 03FEB 101 03MAR 36 03APR 56 03MAY 36 03JUN 33 _______________________________________________ ENERGY. @ENERGY, FEA's Complete Suite of Energy Products, BUILT FOR THE FUTURE. *Manage all your energy risks. *Build and Price deals. *Value physical assets (generation, storage, etc.) *Report and reduce your energy risks FEA FINANCIAL ENGINEERING ASSOCIATES http://www.fea.com main phone number: 1 510-548-6200 email address: info@fea.com _________________________________________________ California PUC to Miss Edison Rescue Deadline The California PUC is expected to miss Fridays deadline to implement parts of a state-sponsored rescue plan for Southern California Edison. Though the regulators are expected to take up parts of the plan at a June 14th meeting, the delay will allow either the state or SCE if they choose, pushing it closer to bankruptcy. The MOU called for the state to buy Edison's share of California's power grid for $2.76 billion, and for SoCal Edison to issue bonds to pay off old power debt. __________________________________________________ "New Horizons Solutions for the 21st Century" An Energy Efficiency Workshop and Exposition Kansas City, Missouri June 3 - June 6, 2001 For more information go to http://www.energy2001.eee.doe.gov _________________________________________________ BPA to Outline Northwest Power Situation The BPA plans to announce today its progress in efforts to reduce demand for its electricity, and will outline possible power rate scenarios that will take effect in October. The rates discussed at the 12:30 EDT announcement will be at 250% - 300% premiums. On October 1st, new contracts begin for BPA's fixed rate customers, although rate and load terms have yet to be set. On April 9th, BPA announced that the region's electricity system was headed for wholesale rate increases of 250% or more starting October 1st unless BPA's regional retail utilities and large industrial customers, including aluminum smelters, reduce their energy use. June 22nd is the last day fixed-rate customers have to negotiate a new agreement with BPA for the next 5 years. On June 29th, BPA will submit its final power rates to the FERC that will be in effect for the 6 months beginning in October. _________________________________________________ SUNGARD Solutions for Success in Energy Trading Epsilon and Panorama Energy Risk and complexity are inevitable components of every trading transaction within today's volatile energy market. Having the right tools to manage and control those risks has become a determining success factor. SunGard provides those tools with Epsilon and Panorama Energy - comprehensive solutions designed to create measurable competitive advantages for energy trading organizations and utility companies worldwide. To receive more information or a free demonstration, we invite you to contact us at 713-266-7771 or visit our web site at http://risk.sungard.com/energy. ________________________________________________ AES and Williams Subjects of Antitrust Investigation The Justice Department is investigating whether AES and Williams violated antitrust laws by agreeing to limit expansion of some AES plants. The DOJ launched an investigation last month focusing on a deal between AES Southland and Williams Energy Services. It alleges that the agreement limits the expansion of electric generating capacity at or near certain plants owned by AES Southland. AES has been ordered to answer questions and turn over documents related to the case. Williams markets power produced by two AES Southland generation plants under a 20-year agreement. Williams supplies natural gas and receives the electric output in return for fixed fees from AES. Last month, Williams agreed to pay $8 million to settle accusations that it withheld electricity produced at two AES generating plants in southern California from the ISO. ______________________________________________ Progas Storage Services, Inc was recently organized to offer specialized natural gas storage services to marketers and end users servicing the upper Midwest and Northeast market regions along the major transmission systems in Indiana, Illinois, Kentucky, and Michigan. PGSMI has 10 bcf of potential working capacity which will offer service along TXG, ANR, Midwestern, and is currently evaluating for purchase another 21 bcf of potential working capacity which can be serviced by these and other systems in the region. PGSMI also explores for natural gas in the Gulf Coast region through a wholly owned subsidiary. Progas intends to go public through a route of private industry offerings, and an IPO or registration. For more information on services or the company mail to: gastorage@aol.com or for AOL mail to gastorage@aol.com; web site currently under construction at: http://www.progas.net/wip. The company's executive and administrative office is located in Abilene, Texas with storage operations in Owensboro, KY and exploration operations in Corpus Christi, TX. Progas Storage Services, Inc 8610 S. Hwy 277 Abilene, TX 79606 Ph 915 698 3699 Fx 915 698 2859 _____________________________________________ Northeast Power Operators Plan Trading System The New York ISO says it plans to develop a system that will allow energy companies to buy and sell wholesale energy inter-regionally on a single website tied to each company's market scheduling systems. The effort is primarily aimed at enhancing services for energy traders. Over the past few months, the NY ISO, PJM, ISO New England and the IMO have agreed to share energy reserves and have proposed a plan to standardize their power markets. The technology, called a Collaborative Scheduling System, will permit a buyer or seller of wholesale electricity to go to any one market's website and schedule all of their wholesale energy transactions throughout the entire Northeast. ______________________________________________ TRENTON/BLACKRIVER "BOOM" IN WEST VIRGINIA Land and Mineral Development LLC., Vienna, West Virginia, owns 85,000 acres of mineral rights in Southeastern West Virginia. The first Trenton/Blackriver production found in the state, was in a well drilled in 1962 by Tidewater Oil Company adjoining our property. We need an industry partner. Geophysicist report and other information available. The 85000 acres would also make a great gas storage field. We also have another small storage field for sale near the new Trenton Wells. Email - Driller@wirefire.com Qualified Industry Principals only please. This is not an offer to sell anything to anyone. Land and Mineral Development LLC., P.O. Box 5370 Vienna, West Virginia, 26105 (304) 295-3333 _______________________________________________ PG&E Not Responsible for Power Bills Pacific Gas & Electric has reached an agreement with the California ISO that will ensure it will not be left responsible for billions of dollars of state emergency electricity purchases the current energy crisis. The terms were agreed to in a bankruptcy court hearing that allow the judge to draft an order to settle the issue. Both sides would be satisfied with a ruling that runs similar to a federal order already requiring the ISO to only facilitate power sales to credit-worthy buyers. With Pacific Gas & Electric seeking bankruptcy protection, the California Department of Water Resources has emerged as one of the only credit-worthy buyers now purchasing power for the state. The ISO has continued to send Pacific Gas & Electric invoices for power purchases made on its behalf by the DWR, even though the state plans to issue up to $13.4 billion in bonds to recoup the costs of the power. _______________________________________________ CAMINUS ENERGY SOFTWARE SHOWCASE 2001 HOUSTON, TEXAS You're Invited To a four hour exposition of software and services that will set the new standard for the energy trading, scheduling, and risk management. Join us and compare your existing system with our latest product offerings. Thursday, June 14, 2001. 3p.m. to 7p.m. Houston Petroleum Club 800 Bell Avenue, 43rd Floor For more information or to register on-line, visit http://www.caminus.com. You may invite up to two qualified colleagues to join you. Nucleus Software . ZaiNet Software ZaiNet Gasmaster 2 . ZaiNet WeatherDelta ___________________________________________________ Platts Natural Gas Prices Average monthly natural gas spot prices for June fell 24.7% in the US to $3.56 per MMBtu, as continued mild weather allowed storage inventories to build, according to data released by Platts. The June decrease brought the nationwide supply-area average below its year-earlier value for the first time since natural gas prices began their unprecedented run-up in the spring of 2000. In June 2000, the average was $4.20 per MMBtu, 15.3% higher than present levels. In Southern California the average monthly spot price for June dropped by 21.8% to $11.71 per MMBtu from $14.97 per MMBtu in May. Spot prices for delivery to Southern California 172.3% higher than in June 2000 when the average was just $4.30 per MMBtu. The average price of natural gas delivered to New York and New Jersey for June 2001 declined 22.5%, to $4.13 per MMBtu from $5.33 in May 2001. This month's average is 12.5% below the June 2000 average of $4.72 per MMBtu. ____________________________________________________ EnerfactsDaily Job Center at http://www.enerfactsdaily.com New Job Postings Include: * Sales-Business Development * Operations Specialist * Account Director -Marketing/Transportation _____________________________________________________ Need a past issue of Enerfax Daily or Enerfax GOLD. Past issues are available on Sagewave at http://www.sagewave.com/D2/autolog/common/log.asp?KEY=enerfax ______________________________________________________ FINANCIAL SUMMARY The TSE 300 dropped 42.39 points to 8258.82 The CRB Index slipped 0.13 points to 210.21 The US Dollar decreased 0.70 points to 118.52 The Dow rose 114.32 points to 11175.84 The S&P 500 rose 16.46 points to 1283.57 The Nasdaq was up 77.73 points to 2233.66 July NYMEX Crude Oil climbed 0.11 to 28.24 Canadian-US Exchange lost .0030 to 1.5327 Please welcome our advertisers by visiting these websites. http://www.kwi.com http://www.fea.com http://www.caminus.com http://www.progas.net/wip http://risk.sungard.com/energy http://www.energy2001.eee.doe.gov http://www.ziffenergyconferences.com http://www.enernetdaily.com/restruc.pdf Enerfax Daily is North America's gas and power information source. it is sent to you free of charge. 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