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From:stewart.rosman@enron.com
To:portland.desk@enron.com
Subject:Fwd: California Power Plants Get Jolt As Natural-Gas Supplies
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Date:Thu, 16 Nov 2000 00:25:00 -0800 (PST)

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Several customers were asking me about Gas gen off line due to gas cuts -
here is an article from Steve at Seattle City Light that adds light to this.


Stewart

---------------------- Forwarded by Stewart Rosman/HOU/ECT on 11/16/2000
10:28 AM ---------------------------

Enron Capital & Trade Resources Corp.

From: "Steve Lewis" <steve.lewis@ci.seattle.wa.us<
11/16/2000 07:04 AM


To: <srosman@ect.enron.com<
cc:
Subject: Fwd: California Power Plants Get Jolt As Natural-Gas Supplies AreCut


It doesn't say how much capacity was impacted, but it sounds like a
localized problem in San Diego rather than a statewide gas import problem.?
I thought it was nice of Mr. Winters to add his expert commentary.
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Subject: California Power Plants Get Jolt As Natural-Gas Supplies Are Cut
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Nov 16,2000

California Power Plants Get Jolt
As Natural-Gas Supplies Are Cut

By Rebecca Smith
Staff Reporter of The Wall Street Journal

LOS ANGELES -- Southern California power plants, already stressed to their
limits last summer, got another jolt this week as a cold snap caused a sharp
curtailment of supplies of natural gas used to generate electricity.

The power plants were able to switch to burning oil and continue to produce
electricity. But the unusual curtailment of natural gas underlines concerns
that an increased reliance on gas for power generation across the U.S. is
putting the reliability of the nation's electricity supply at risk.

That's because virtually all power plants now under construction in the U.S.
burn gas and only gas. The units affected this week in San Diego were able
to shift to oil only because they were older plants that originally were
constructed to burn oil. Generators have been reluctant to add a dual-fuel
flexibility to plants in recent years because oil is far more polluting than
gas and generally has been costlier.

In California, where gas-supply problems first surfaced on Monday in San
Diego, there is pessimism about a Hydra-like energy crisis that seems to
grow new heads every day. The state weathered three-dozen electrical
emergencies last summer, caused by a shortage of electricity. Officials had
hoped to solve the problem by speeding up construction of new generating
plants. Now, they're finding the state may be building its way out of an
electrical problem and into a gas problem.

One official, who has been warning of the danger of reliance on a single
fuel, said this week's disruption pointed out the necessity of developing a
comprehensive energy policy that recognizes how changes in usage of oil, gas
and electricity affect each other. "We don't just need new generating
plants and transmission lines, we may need pipelines, too," said Terry
Winter, chief executive officer of the California Independent System
Operator, the organization responsible for maintaining adequate electricity
supplies. "You can't look at these things in isolation."

The natural-gas problems surfaced when the local gas-distribution company,
San Diego Gas & Electric Co., notified power-plant operators and a handful
of industrial users that it would be restricting their gas use by about half.
In California, residential and small businesses have first crack at natural
gas, and industrial uses are regarded as secondary, even if they are
generating plants. Dynegy Inc., the Houston-based energy concern that owns
some of the older plants that serve San Diego, immediately switched to oil.
But it didn't like doing so; its plants create three times as much pollution
when they burn oil and exhaust valuable air-pollution emission credits that
power plants here need to operate.

The San Diego units couldn't simply be shut down, because the state was
short of power. Roughly 30% of the state's capacity already was off-line,
including many of its nuclear units, as most of those plants are now
undergoing repair after being run at capacity limits throughout the summer.

What's more, the gas-pipeline system that feeds San Diego isn't big enough
to begin with. The system was built primarily to serve residential customers
and not big power plants.

The problems could persist, off and on, through the winter. That's because
gas-storage levels are down sharply from a year ago throughout the nation,
but especially in California, because it ran its gas-fired units so hard
last summer. This time last year, Southern California had 87 billion cubic
feet of gas in storage. Now, it's roughly 50 billion cubic feet, or 43%
less. Prices also have moved up sharply, from roughly $2.50 a million
British thermal units to around $8 this week. Nationally, storage levels are
down about 8% from a year ago.

"Gas is trading higher in California than anywhere else in the nation," said
John Lavorato, chief operating officer of Enron North America, a unit of
Enron Corp. of Houston. But he said they're headed up in the Northeast,
based on cold weather forecast for the next 10 days to two weeks.

High prices for fuel also push up prices for the end product, electricity.
In California the average price for electricity to be delivered Thursday was
$228 per megawatt hour. That's double the price a week ago and five times
the price a year earlier.