Enron Mail

From:miyung.buster@enron.com
To:ann.schmidt@enron.com, bryan.seyfried@enron.com, dcasse@whwg.com,dg27@pacbell.net, elizabeth.linnell@enron.com, filuntz@aol.com, james.steffes@enron.com, janet.butler@enron.com, jeannie.mandelker@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com, joe.hartsoe@enron
Subject:Energy Issues
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Wed, 21 Mar 2001 02:34:00 -0800 (PST)

Please see the following articles:

AP Wire services, Tues 3/20: "Calif. Officials Order Blackouts"

Dow Jones News, Tues 3/20: "California Panel to Order Utilities to Make $1=
=20
Billion in Back Payments"

SF Chron, 3/20: "As Davis Seeks Money, Lawmakers Want Answers=20
Members of both parties angry at lack of dialogue"

Fresno Bee, Tues 3/20: "Jones rips state on energy crisis "

Sac Bee, Wed., 3/21: "Day 2 -- Battling blackouts: Payment plan sought to=
=20
restart small plants"

Sac Bee, Wed., 3/21: "Hospitals take hit, seek power guarantee"

Sac Bee, Wed., 3/21: "Lodi still won't pull the plug"

San Diego Union, Tues., 3/20: "Blackouts hit for second day; break seen=20
Wednesday"
San Diego Union, Tues., 3/20: "State power regulators working on energy=20
rescue"=20

San Diego Union, Tues., 3/20: "Federal regulators scored for not ordering=
=20
more California refunds"

LA Times, Wed., 3/21: "Second Day of Blackouts Disrupts 500,000 Home and=
=20
Businesses"
LA Times, Wed., 3/21: "Fragile Supply Network Apt to Fail"

LA Times, Wed., 3/21: "Elevator Anxiety is Riding High"

LA Times, Wed., 3/21: "State says it's accelerating plan to buy Power=20
Utilities' Grid"

LA Times, Wed., 3/21: "L.A., Long Beach File Suits Over Gas Companies'=20
Prices "

LA Times, Wed., 3/21: "Davis OKs Subsidy of Pollution Fees"

LA Times, Wed., 3/21: "As Losses Mount, Companies work around outages"

LA Times, Wed., 3/21: Commentary: "A Blackout on Answers"

LA Times, Wed., 3/21: Commentary: "Rolling Blackouts: Blatant Extortion"

SF Chron, Wed., 3/21: "Utilities' Demand Blocks Bailout=20
NEGOTIATIONS HIT SNAG: PG&E, Edison want end to price freeze if they sell=
=20
transmission lines to state"

SF Chron, Wed., 3/21: "Utilities' Demand Blocks Bailout=20
BLACKOUTS ROLL ON: Weather, increased consumption blamed"

SF Chron, Wed., 3/21: "Manners Go Out the Window=20
Pedestrians in peril as drivers turn darkened S.F. streets into free-for-al=
l"

SF Chron, Tues., 3/20: "Historic Blackouts in State=20
Bay Area learns to cope"

SF Chron., Tues., 3/20: "Second day of rolling blackouts in power-starved=
=20
California"

Mercury News., Wed., 3/21: "Bay Area Residents Learning to roll with=20
Blackouts"

Orange County, Wed., 3/21: "Powerless, Again"

Orange County, Wed., 3/21: "The iceman shunneth effects of hourlong blacko=
ut"

Orange County, Wed., 3/21: "Traffic officials are seeing red over blackout=
s"

Orange County, Wed., 3/21: "Alternative power producers cut back or shut=
=20
down as payments from big utilities lag"

Orange County, Wed., 3/21: "O.C. saves its energy -- for blaming others"

Orange County, Wed., 3/21: "Blackout readiness on agenda"

Dow Jones Energy News, Wed., 3/21: "Calif To Order Utils To Pay Small=20
Generators Up Front-Gov"

Dow Jones Energy News., Wed., 3/21: "PG&E Says It Is Negotiating With=20
Qualifying Facilities"

Energy Insight, Wed., 3/21: "New York at the Crossroads"

---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
--------------------------------------------------------------
Calif. Officials Order Blackouts=20
By PAUL CHAVEZ, Associated Press Writer=20
LOS ANGELES (AP) - State power managers ordered rolling blackouts across=20
California for a second straight day Tuesday as demand for electricity agai=
n=20
exceeded supply.=20
The same factors that collided to strap California's power supply on Monday=
=20
hit again, officials with the Independent System Operator said. Those inclu=
de=20
reduced electricity imports from the Pacific Northwest, numerous power plan=
ts=20
offline for repairs and higher-than-expected demand because of warm=20
temperatures.=20
A two-unit Southern California plant that the ISO hoped would be working=20
Tuesday had not been fixed. One of its units might go online at noon to hel=
p=20
the situation, the ISO's Jim Detmers said.=20
In addition, hydroelectric power imports from the Northwest were 800=20
megawatts lower than Monday, he said. The ISO oversees most of the state's=
=20
power grid.=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
California Panel to Order Utilities to Make $1 Billion in Back Payments
By Jason Leopold

03/20/2001
Dow Jones Business News
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

Dow Jones Newswires=20
LOS ANGELES -- The California Public Utilities Commission will order Edison=
=20
International's Southern California Edison and PG&E Corp.'s Pacific Gas &=
=20
Electric unit to pay small power generators that are qualified utilities=20
about $1 billion in past-due payments in order to keep the plant owners fro=
m=20
dragging the utilities into an involuntary bankruptcy proceedings, and to=
=20
also ensure the generation units keep pumping out electricity, people=20
familiar with the matter told Dow Jones Newswires late Monday.
Gov. Gray Davis, state Sen. Debra Bowen, and Assemblymembers Fred Keeley an=
d=20
Robert Hertzberg, all Democrats, spent most of the day y trying to hammer o=
ut=20
an agreement with the so-called qualifying facilities, alternative power=20
producers that use the wind, sun, steam and biomass to generate electricity=
=20
for the state, on supply contracts and past payments the utilities failed t=
o=20
make.=20
The qualifying facilities, which represent about one-third of the state's=
=20
total power supply and signed contracts to sell power directly to the=20
utilities under a government mandate, would then agree to sign power-supply=
=20
contracts with the utilities for a period of five to 10 years for about $79=
a=20
megawatt hour for the first five years and about $61 a megawatt hour=20
thereafter, two sources involved in the negotiations said.=20
The PUC is expected to issue a draft resolution on the issue sometime this=
=20
week, one source said.=20
The lawmakers wouldn't comment on the details of their talks Monday.=20
Representatives with SoCal Ed (EIX) and PG&E (PCG) said they were unaware=
=20
Gov. Davis and his administration were meeting on the issue.=20
The utilities are more than $13 billion in debt and have failed to make=20
payments on their qualifying-facilities contracts since November. PG&E has=
=20
paid some of its qualified facilities just a fraction of what they are owed=
.=20

Legislation To Restructure QF Rates Stalls In Senate Energy Committee=20

Mr. Keeley had recently drafted legislation, along with state Sen. Jim=20
Battin, a Republican from Palm Desert, that would have restructured the rat=
es=20
the qualified facilities charge the utilities, from $170 a megawatt hour to=
=20
$80 a megawatt hour for five years.=20
The bill, SB47X, stalled in the Senate Energy Committee, of which Ms. Bowen=
=20
chairs. SoCal Ed opposed the legislation, saying the rates were still too=
=20
high. A utility spokesman said the qualified-facilities rates should be=20
reduced to under $50 a megawatt hour.=20
But the lawmakers and the governor is trying to avoid the need for=20
legislation, largely because there isn't much support in both houses for su=
ch=20
a bill and the chance that it won't be passed in time to keep the qualified=
=20
facilities from dragging the utilities into involuntary bankruptcy=20
proceedings, the legislative source said.=20
The PUC will take over the issue from the Legislature, the source said.=20
Monday, about 3,000 megawatts of qualified-facilities generation went offli=
ne=20
because the companies that operate the power plants can no longer afford to=
=20
buy natural gas used to fuel the plants due to the utilities' failure to pa=
y=20
money owed to the companies, said Jim Detmers, vice president of operations=
=20
for the state's Independent System Operator.=20
The outages triggered a major shortfall in the state which resulted in near=
ly=20
eight hours of statewide rolling blackouts Monday.=20
Many owners of the qualified-facilities said without immediate relief, they=
=20
would likely force SoCal Ed, and possibly PG&E, into involuntary bankruptcy=
,=20
perhaps as soon as Thursday.=20
One such facility, CalEnergyOperating Co., wants to be freed temporarily fr=
om=20
its contract with the utility and be allowed to sell its electricity to thi=
rd=20
parties until the utility is able to pay its bills. CalEnergy is an affilia=
te=20
of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., which is majority owned by Warren=20
Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRKA).=20
The company sued SoCal Ed last month, and the case is scheduled to be heard=
=20
Thursday in Imperial County Superior Court. If a judge delivers an=20
unfavorable ruling, CalEnergy and other unsecured creditors would drag SoCa=
l=20
Ed into involuntary bankruptcy, three executives with the companies involve=
d=20
said.=20
CalEnergy is said to be organizing a bankruptcy petition now circulating=20
among six of Southern California Edison's independent power suppliers and=
=20
could file the petition very quickly if it fails in its suit Thursday, said=
=20
executives with three of the six companies.=20

Write to Jason Leopold at jason.leopold@dowjones.com=20
Copyright © 2001 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.=20
All Rights Reserved
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
As Davis Seeks Money, Lawmakers Want Answers=20
Members of both parties angry at lack of dialogue=20
Lynda Gledhill, Greg Lucas, Chronicle Sacramento Bureau
Tuesday, March 20, 2001=20
,2001 San Francisco Chronicle=20
Sacramento -- The Legislature has warned it may block further state purchas=
es=20
of electricity as lawmakers' frustration with Gov. Gray Davis' handling of=
=20
the energy crisis increases.=20
A test may come soon because Davis asked yesterday for another $500 million=
=20
to continue buying power.=20
Sen. Steve Peace, D-El Cajon, chairman of the Joint Legislative Budget=20
Committee, wrote to Davis' Finance Department on Friday that the committee=
=20
might deny further spending requests "in the absence any discernable=20
progress" from the Public Utilities Commission to ensure that the state wou=
ld=20
get its money back.=20
Members of the committee, both Republican and Democratic, said they support=
ed=20
Peace's call for more oversight of the spending, given the lack of=20
information from Davis on details of the state's power purchases.=20
"He's been holding things close to the chest, and that bothers me," said Se=
n.=20
John Vasconcellos, D-Santa Clara. "I want to know a lot more."=20
Sen. Dick Ackerman, R-Fullerton, said the administration "has been=20
stonewalling us about how much is being spent, and how much power we're=20
getting for it. When the state is spending that kind of money, at a minimum=
,=20
legislators should know for what."=20
The state had spent $2.6 billion on electricity through March 11. Davis'=20
request for more money would put the state at the $3 billion mark by the=20
middle of April. The state is spending an average of $49 million a day.=20
The money is supposed to be paid back through the rates collected from=20
utilities' customers. It is up to the PUC to decide how to divide that mone=
y=20
among the state, the utilities and the utilities' debtors. The commission i=
s=20
scheduled to take up the issue at its March 27 meeting.=20
The problem is that there appear to be more demands on the money than there=
=20
is money to go around.=20
The utilities have said they need the money to pay off some of their=20
creditors. Among those looking for cash are alternative-power generators th=
at=20
were selling electricity to Pacific Gas and Electric Co. and Southern=20
California Edison. Half of them have shut down because they have not been=
=20
paid.=20
Earlier this month, the PUC granted the Department of Water Resources, whic=
h=20
has been purchasing electricity for the state, the power to recoup its full=
=20
costs through rates.=20
It's unclear whether that can be accomplished without raising electricity=
=20
prices, though Davis has insisted he can solve the crisis without boosting=
=20
rates.=20
Lawmakers said they approved the bill that allowed the state to buy power i=
n=20
the belief such purchases would be a stopgap until the Davis administration=
=20
could sign long-term contracts with power suppliers. However, only about 19=
=20
contracts have been signed to date, out of 42 agreements. If all the=20
contracts are signed, they will account for about 70 percent of the power=
=20
California is expected to need.=20
"It was our expectation some of these contracts would kick in," said=20
Assemblywoman Carole Migden, D-San Francisco. "This was designed to only be=
=20
bridge money to avert a power disaster. We should hold firm and come up wit=
h=20
a plan.=20
"I recall about three weeks ago when we first asked about one of these $500=
=20
million letters," Migden said. "We said maybe this one is necessary, but=20
there won't be carte blanche approval of any future requests. I'm pleased=
=20
Sen. Peace is taking that approach."=20
To Assemblyman George Runner, R-Lancaster, Peace's letter was "another way=
=20
for the Legislature to send a message we need to be in this loop. We're jus=
t=20
getting a small little dribble of information, which just creates more=20
questions."=20
A spokesman for the Department of Finance said officials hoped to work with=
=20
the committee members about their concerns.=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
--------------------------------------------------------------
Jones rips state on energy crisis=20
Secretary of state hints that he'll take on Davis in 2002.=20
By John Ellis=20
The Fresno Bee
(Published March 20, 2001)=20
Officially, he's Bill Jones, secretary of state for California. Unofficiall=
y,=20
he's Bill Jones, 2002 gubernatorial candidate.=20
The evidence is right there between the lines -- in the subtleties of his=
=20
speeches, their subject matter, and the way Jones carries himself when he's=
=20
in public.=20
Monday was no different, as Jones addressed a Rotary Club luncheon in Fresn=
o=20
full of people who are assuming -- though nothing is official -- that the=
=20
Fresno native will soon announce his intention to challenge Gov. Davis next=
=20
year.=20
"Bill, they call me governor," Chas Looney, a former Rotary Club district=
=20
governor, quipped to Jones. "I look forward to the day we all can call you=
=20
governor."=20
Jones then proceeded to deliver a speech to a packed house in the DoubleTre=
e=20
Hotel that touched on his accomplishments as secretary of state, but quickl=
y=20
moved to his main topic: California's crumbling infrastructure and how the=
=20
energy crisis is affecting the state.=20
Always in the background but never mentioned by name was Davis. Jones was=
=20
careful to hew to the Rotary rule that speeches steer clear of partisan=20
politics.=20
Still, Jones looked, sounded and acted like a candidate for governor, and=
=20
near the end of his speech he promised his decision would come soon.=20
The Fresno Republican's speech began by highlighting his work in passing th=
e=20
"Three Strikes and You're Out" initiative in 1994.=20
Jones also talked of his efforts to remove 2 million inactive California=20
voters from the rolls.=20
But it was clearly the energy crisis and its ramifications -- an issue=20
Republicans feel they can pin on Davis and the Democratic-controlled=20
Legislature -- that was the centerpiece of the speech.=20
Today, the energy crisis is being driven, he said, by a lack of power plant=
=20
construction. And while billions go to solve the crisis, he said, the state=
=20
faces $100 billion in unmet infrastructure needs -- everything from school=
=20
repair to road repair.=20
"Doesn't that scare you?" Jones asked.=20
He then recounted the warning signs -- ignored by the state, he said -- of=
=20
the looming energy crisis.=20
He cited the initial warnings that the deregulation bill was flawed, last=
=20
summer's request by Edison and Pacific Gas & Electric to allow forward=20
contracting and the Republican request for a special session to deal with t=
he=20
energy crisis. All ignored, Jones said.=20
Now, Edison and PG&E are near bankruptcy and the state finds itself steppin=
g=20
up as a creditor. "And the solution now becomes California getting into the=
=20
energy business," he said. "Or, even carrying it to a greater degree, not=
=20
just in the short term to buy power to keep the lights on. I'm talking abou=
t=20
basically socializing the energy business."=20
Jones said he prefers low-interest loans to Edison and PG&E, taking the=20
electric grid as collateral.=20
"I just do not believe in California getting into something it does not kno=
w=20
how to do -- has never done before -- on top of all of our other=20
obligations," he said.=20
"It really worries me that California will not be able to endure that type =
of=20
obligation."=20
Jones said polls now show increasing numbers of residents saying the state =
is=20
headed in the wrong direction.=20
"I feel obligated to speak out and say there is a better way," Jones said.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Day 2 -- Battling blackouts: Payment plan sought to restart small plants
By Dale Kasler and Carrie Peyton
Bee Staff Writers
(Published March 21, 2001)=20
Blackouts rolled across California for a second straight day Tuesday,=20
snarling traffic, darkening businesses and sending state officials scrambli=
ng=20
to craft a payment plan to revive the wind farms and other critically neede=
d=20
small energy producers that have shut down because of financial woes.=20
On a day when another 570,000 customers lost power, Gov. Gray Davis said th=
e=20
Public Utilities Commission and the Legislature would move promptly to orde=
r=20
Pacific Gas and Electric Co. and Southern California Edison to start paying=
=20
those small energy producers for their electricity. Davis said the two=20
utilities will face "considerable fines" if they don't pay up.=20
But several of the producers, known as "qualifying facilities," said they=
=20
doubted Davis' plan would go far enough to get them back in operation. And =
it=20
wasn't clear whether the plan would keep the increasingly impatient=20
alternative producers from hauling one or both of the big utilities into=20
bankruptcy court, as some have threatened.=20
The shortage of power from the qualifying facilities -- plus a near-record=
=20
heat wave (downtown Sacramento topped off at 83 degrees, one degree short o=
f=20
the 84 degree record set in 1960), a lack of hydropower and other problems =
--=20
prompted the state's Independent System Operator to order a second day of=
=20
blackouts starting mid-morning. But the blackouts hit only about half as ma=
ny=20
Californians as Monday's, with late afternoon conservation efforts helping=
=20
balance supply with demand.=20
The blackouts, usually about an hour long, hit about 7,600 Sacramento=20
Municipal Utility District customers in Elk Grove and south Sacramento=20
County. PG&E customers in suburban counties were affected as well.=20
The order darkened shops in San Francisco's Chinatown and was blamed for a=
=20
crash that left two motorists seriously injured in the Los Angeles suburb o=
f=20
South El Monte. A Sun Microsystems Inc. factory in Newark had to close for=
=20
several hours.=20
Most Californians took the blackouts in stride, though. Elk Grove High Scho=
ol=20
students filed outside to play hacky sack. Coffee shop patrons in Davis=20
milled outdoors, enjoying the unseasonably warm weather.=20
Yet the blackout order was met with outright defiance by one municipal=20
utility. The city of Lodi refused to cut power to its residents Monday or=
=20
Tuesday, saying it shouldn't have to suffer because of the financial crisis=
=20
afflicting PG&E and Edison.=20
The outlook for today and the near future was brighter, as several big powe=
r=20
plants came back on line after repairs. ISO officials also praised=20
Californians' conservation efforts, which had faltered in the morning but=
=20
came on strong in the afternoon, helping to prevent further blackouts. By=
=20
evening the grid was in a relatively mild Stage 2 power alert.=20
But the second day of blackouts -- plus an increasing threat of utility=20
bankruptcy -- pushed Davis to the brink. The governor cobbled together a=20
payment plan to rescue the qualifying facilities -- some 600 wind farms,=20
geothermal plants and other alternative-energy generators whose production=
=20
has become increasingly vital in recent days.=20
Under Davis' plan, the Legislature and the PUC would order PG&E and Edison =
to=20
pay the qualifying facilities for power delivered after April 1. The=20
utilities are required to buy power from the qualifying facilities under a=
=20
1978 federal law designed to bring cheaper and cleaner forms of electricity=
=20
to market.=20
Davis said the PUC would release a proposed order late Tuesday that would=
=20
require the utilities to pay the qualifying facilities $79 a megawatt hour=
=20
for five-year contracts or $69 for 10-year contracts. The Legislature also=
=20
would have to pass a law authorizing the PUC to issue such an order.=20
But the situation was far from resolved late Tuesday, and PG&E and Edison=
=20
were likely to oppose at least portions of Davis' plan.=20
Edison is willing only to make "some kind of partial payments going forward=
,"=20
said Thomas Higgins, a senior vice president with parent company Edison=20
International. "We have a limited amount of resources available to us in=20
rates, ... and that's the constraining factor."=20
PG&E, which has been making partial payments to the qualifying facilities,=
=20
said it could pay them in advance, in full, for future power deliveries.=20
But PG&E said such payments would eat up half the $400 million it has=20
available each month to buy power -- and unless it gets a rate hike, there=
=20
wouldn't be enough to pay the qualifying facilities and cover other expense=
s,=20
including the cost of reimbursing the state Department of Water Resources f=
or=20
the power the agency is buying on behalf of the troubled utility.=20
PG&E's proposal could represent a challenge of sorts to state officials:=20
Accept less money for the water department, or raise rates.=20
State officials "need to resolve who they want to see paid," PG&E spokesman=
=20
John Nelson said. "There is a limited pool of money."=20
For his part, Davis insisted that the water department would be first in li=
ne=20
to be paid, and he said the PUC will issue a proposed order to that effect.=
=20
"We are getting paid before anybody else," Davis said.=20
Hundreds of qualifying facilities are out of commission because PG&E and=20
Edison haven't paid them. The situation has robbed the state of several=20
thousand badly needed megawatts and is a key reason blackouts have been=20
ordered. In normal times the facilities produce more than 20 percent of=20
California's electricity.=20
Some of the qualifying facilities have been threatening to haul one or both=
=20
of California's beleaguered utilities into bankruptcy court unless they get=
=20
paid soon, saying a bankruptcy filing might be the only way they can save=
=20
their businesses.=20
"You've got to take care of the QF problem or the whole thing blacks out,"=
=20
said Jerry Bloom, a lawyer representing one group of qualifying facilities.=
=20
"(State officials) are starting to understand."=20
One thing that was fairly certain about Davis' still-sketchy payment plan: =
It=20
wouldn't cover PG&E and Edison's existing debt to the qualifying facilities=
,=20
estimated at more than $1.48 billion.=20
In their current financial state, the utilities say they can't afford to pa=
y=20
the existing debt. In addition, paying the debt would create a major=20
complication: Other creditors, including the big power generators, would=20
surely haul Edison and PG&E into bankruptcy court on the grounds that they=
=20
weren't being treated fairly.=20
"You can't give preferential payment treatment to one class of creditors ov=
er=20
another," PG&E's Nelson said. "You virtually assure that (the other=20
creditors) have to file an involuntary bankruptcy proceeding against you."=
=20
But without full payment, it wasn't clear how many of the qualifying=20
facilities would be able to restart.=20
Executives at several plants -- the ones that run on natural gas -- said=20
they're not sure their gas suppliers will deliver unless the existing debts=
=20
are cleared up.=20
"We need to convince a gas company to supply us," said Ed Tomeo of UAE Ener=
gy=20
Operations Corp., which had to shut off its 40-megawatt Kern County plant=
=20
Tuesday. "We're a company that already owes millions of dollars for gas=20
supplies. How do you coax them to sell you millions more?"=20
"It's wishful thinking ... that the gas suppliers are going to sell us gas,=
"=20
Robert Swanson of Ridgewood Power said.=20
I<Bee Capitol Bureau Chief Amy Chance and staff writers Stuart Leavenworth,=
=20
Bill Lindelof, Pamela Martineau and the Associated Press contributed to thi=
s=20
report.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
--------------------------------------------------------------------------









Lodi still won't pull the plug
By Carrie Peyton
Bee Staff Writer=20
(Published March 21, 2001)

In a growing rebellion against blackouts, the city of Lodi has twice refuse=
d=20
to cut power to its residents despite an order from Pacific Gas and Electri=
c=20
Co.=20
The small city-run electric system is among many disgruntled utilities,=20
including the Sacramento Municipal Utility District, that believe their=20
contractual pledges to cut back during emergencies were never meant for tim=
es=20
like this.=20
"It's been a philosophical debate up to this point. Now I guess we've drawn=
a=20
line in the sand," said Lodi utility director Alan Vallow.=20
PG&E said it is reviewing its interconnection contract, the agreement that=
=20
links Lodi to the grid through PG&E-owned high-voltage lines, to determine=
=20
what action it will take next.=20
"It's unfortunate that while the city of Lodi has received the benefit of=
=20
this agreement for years, they are unwilling to bear the burden of this=20
statewide energy shortage," said PG&E's Jon Tremayne.=20
One utility coalition, the Northern California Power Agency, believes that=
=20
PG&E has already violated that agreement by not lining up enough power for=
=20
customers.=20
The agency wrote PG&E on Friday saying that its members -- municipal=20
utilities and irrigation districts -- believe they aren't required to=20
participate in blackouts prompted by financial disputes.=20
And SMUD, which has been considering dropping out of future blackouts, will=
=20
be watching the response to Lodi, said SMUD board President Larry Carr.=20
Some SMUD directors say they're ready to go to court to force the issue. So=
=20
is Lodi, population 58,000, said Vallow.=20
"I've heard an Edison executive describe this as a natural disaster akin to=
=20
an earthquake. That's crap. This is a man-made event," he said.=20
Lodi said it will still help in genuine emergencies, such as fires or toppl=
ed=20
transmission lines. But it decided that on Monday and Tuesday that wasn't t=
he=20
case.=20
"You have 3,000 megawatts of QFs (qualifying facilities) offline because=20
their bills haven't been paid. Well, guess what? Somebody ought to pay thos=
e=20
... bills," Vallow said.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-----------------------------------


Blackouts hit for second day; break seen Wednesday=20




By Audrey Cooper
ASSOCIATED PRESS=20
March 20, 2001=20
SACRAMENTO =01) Rolling blackouts hit California for a second straight day=
=20
Tuesday, closing souvenir shops in San Francisco's Chinatown, snarling=20
traffic and plunging schools and offices around the state into darkness.=20
Roughly a half-million homes and businesses from San Diego to the Oregon=20
border faced outages, blamed on the same factors that collided to force=20
blackouts Monday =01) unseasonably warm weather, reduced electricity import=
s=20
from the Pacific Northwest, numerous power plants offline for repairs and=
=20
less power provided by cash-strapped alternative-energy plants.=20
Five rounds of outages in San Diego affected about 74,000 customers. State=
=20
power grid officials expected to have enough electricity to avoid further=
=20
outages through at least Wednesday, although the supply remained tight.=20








State power regulators working on energy rescue=20
Federal regulators scored for not ordering more California refunds=20
?=20



Gov. Gray Davis blamed the blackouts in part on the failure of Southern=20
California Edison and Pacific Gas and Electric Co. to pay millions of dolla=
rs=20
they owe "qualifying facilities," power suppliers that use cogeneration =01=
)=20
steam from manufacturing plus natural gas =01) or solar, wind and other=20
renewable energy to generate electricity.=20
State power grid officials say California this week has lost about half the=
=20
electricity QFs normally provide. Several cogeneration plants say they=20
haven't been paid by Edison and PG&E for weeks and can't afford to buy=20
natural gas to fuel their plants.=20
Davis said the utilities are taking in money from customers but still faili=
ng=20
to pay the QFs. The state has been spending about $45 million a day since=
=20
January to buy power for customers of Edison and PG&E, which are so=20
credit-poor that suppliers refuse to sell to them.=20
"It's wrong and irresponsible of the utilities to pocket this money and not=
=20
pay the generators," Davis said at a Capitol news conference Tuesday evenin=
g.=20
"They've acted irresponsibly and immorally and it has to stop."=20
Southern California Edison officials said in a written statement that the=
=20
utility is intent on paying creditors and working with the PUC to pay QFs f=
or=20
future power sales. PG&E representatives were out of the office late Tuesda=
y=20
night and didn't immediately return calls from The Associated Press seeking=
=20
comment.=20
John Harrison of the Northwest Power Planning Council, a consortium that=20
monitors power use in several Western states, said blackouts on the first d=
ay=20
of spring are an ominous sign of what lies ahead this summer.=20
"We're in trouble," he said. "We will likely be able to meet our needs this=
=20
summer, but there won't be much to send to California."=20
Tuesday's outages began at 9:30 a.m. PST and continued in 90-minute waves=
=20
until about 2 p.m., when the Independent System Operator lifted its blackou=
t=20
order.=20
Grid officials credited an influx of power from the Glen Canyon hydroelectr=
ic=20
plant on the Utah-Arizona border.=20
The blackouts were blamed for at least one serious traffic accident.=20
Two cars collided at an intersection without traffic lights in the Los=20
Angeles suburb of South El Monte, leaving two people with serious injuries,=
=20
California Highway Patrol Officer Nick Vite said.=20
Ventura Foods in Industry sent its employees out for an early lunch after=
=20
blackouts shut down its phones and computers.=20
"This is mild weather for this time of year. I don't know what's going to=
=20
happen in the summer," manager Frank Hynes said. "This is going to have a=
=20
serious impact on the state's economy. They can't just keep shutting people=
=20
down."=20
Statewide, demand was higher than expected because of warm spring weather.=
=20
Temperatures reached record highs across California on Monday, including th=
e=20
80s and low 90s in Southern California. They were expected to be somewhat=
=20
lower Tuesday but still in the 70s and 80s.=20
The ISO hoped demand would start to subside and conservation would kick in,=
=20
but that did not happen Tuesday morning.=20
"We have not seen the kind of conservation we saw back in January," when th=
e=20
first blackouts hit, ISO spokesman Patrick Dorinson said. "If we don't have=
=20
conservation efforts, that just means that's more power we have to take off=
=20
the grid."=20
In San Francisco's Chinatown, souvenir shops normally bustling with visitor=
s=20
were forced to shut down. Nearby, irritated customers waited for a bank to=
=20
reopen.=20
"It's no good for anybody =01) stores or businesses or people," said Yin Su=
n=20
Chan, among those in line.=20
PG&E, the state's largest utility, accounted for most of the customers=20
affected.=20
At least 438,000 PG&E residential and business customers were affected as o=
f=20
early afternoon, spokesman Ron Low said.=20
Edison cut power to about 50,000 customers. Edison was ordered to cut less=
=20
power than PG&E and saved some due to conservation programs, including one=
=20
that lets the utility shut off air conditioning for 118,500 residential and=
=20
business customers when the power supply is tight.=20
About 73,400 San Diego Gas & Electric customers were hit by the blackouts.=
=20
Los Angeles, whose municipal utility is not on the grid that serves most of=
=20
California, wasn't included in the blackout order.=20
More than 1 million homes and businesses statewide experienced outages=20
Monday.=20
California's power crisis is expected to get even worse this summer, when=
=20
temperatures soar and residents crank their air conditioning.=20
Natural gas supplies are tight, water supplies are down and the state is=20
spending tens of millions of dollars each day to buy electricity for Edison=
=20
and PG&E, who say they are nearly bankrupt due to high wholesale power cost=
s.=20
Edison and PG&E say they have lost more than $13 billion since last June to=
=20
climbing wholesale electricity prices the state's 1996 deregulation law=20
prevents them from recouping from ratepayers.=20
Adding to the problems, the state this week lost about 3,100 megawatts from=
=20
QFs. One megawatt is enough power to serve about 750 households.=20
The plants say they are owed about $1 billion for past sales to PG&E and=20
Edison.=20
PG&E said it is offering to prepay the QFs starting next month to get them=
=20
back in operation. Negotiations were expected to continue Wednesday.=20
California Co-Generation Council attorney Jerry Bloom said he supports=20
proposals that will get the Qfs paid, but the promise of future payments ma=
y=20
not be enough.=20
PG&E and Bloom said the utility's prepayments hinge on an upcoming Public=
=20
Utilities Commission decision on whether the utility's rates are sufficient=
=20
to pay its bills and cover the state's power purchases on its behalf, which=
=20
amount to $4.2 billion since early January.=20
Davis said the PUC planned to issue a draft order late Tuesday directing th=
e=20
utilities to pay their future QF bills.=20
It plans to take action on that order next Tuesday, Davis said. The=20
Legislature plans to approve a bill in the meantime giving the PUC the=20
authority to issue such an order and fine the utilities if they fail to=20
comply, he said.=20
Davis said he is confident the utilities and the state can pay their bills=
=20
without further rate increases for Edison and PG&E customers.=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-----------------------------------


State power regulators working on energy rescue=20




By Karen Gaudette
ASSOCIATED PRESS=20
March 20, 2001=20
SAN FRANCISCO =01) State power regulators continue to delay the release of=
=20
guidelines that will determine a portion of the money the Department of Wat=
er=20
Resources can recoup from financially troubled utilities for electricity it=
=20
has bought on their customers' behalf.=20
These guidelines will help the water department determine whether it must=
=20
raise consumer power rates to reimburse the state for the more than $3=20
billion it has committed to buying electricity.=20
Assemblyman Fred Keeley, D-Boulder Creek, said Tuesday that the Public=20
Utilities Commission would likely have to raise rates by 15 percent to cove=
r=20
the state's costs and the utilities' bills.=20
The PUC guidelines were most recently delayed by a letter from DWR Director=
=20
Thomas Hannigan asking that the water department receive a percentage of=20
ratepayer money collected by the utilities equal to the percentage of=20
electricity it provides to utilities.=20
The DWR currently buys around 40 percent of the power used by Pacific Gas a=
nd=20
Electric Co., Southern California Edison Co. and San Diego Gas and Electric=
.=20
Under the DWR's proposal the utilities would have to hand over 40 percent o=
f=20
the money they continue to collect from ratepayers.=20
The DWR would then also receive whatever money remains after the utilities=
=20
subtract their own generation and long-term contract costs, the letter said=
.=20
That amount would become the "California Procurement Adjustment" =01) an am=
ount=20
that will help the state retrieve money spent on power purchases and help=
=20
establish the size of state revenue bonds that are currently estimated to=
=20
total $10 billion.=20
The state plans to issue the bonds in May to help pay off the more than $3=
=20
billion Gov. Gray Davis' administration has committed to power purchases=20
since January to help the utilities climb out of debt.=20
Ron Low, a spokesman with PG&E, said the utility objects to paying the DWR=
=20
such a large sum, claiming it would interfere with efforts to pay its=20
"qualifying facilities" =01) power plants that use the sun, wind, biomass o=
r=20
natural gas to generate about one third of the state's electricity.=20
The nearly bankrupt utilities owe the QFs more than $1 billion for=20
electricity they have produced since November, said Jan Smutney-Jones,=20
executive director of the Independent Energy Producers.=20
Hannigan also said in the letter the DWR intends to use its authority to=20
raise consumer electricity rates to recoup any money not reimbursed through=
=20
the CPA and other means.=20
The Public Utilities Commission expected to release the guidelines last wee=
k,=20
but was delayed by debates over legislation that would slash the rates of=
=20
environmentally friendly power plants under contract to provide electricity=
=20
to the investor-owned utilities.=20
Without knowing how much ratepayer money the utilities need to pay these=20
"qualifying facilities" for future electricity, it's unknown how much money=
=20
they'll have on hand to pay the DWR.=20
In a written statement, PUC Administrative Law Judge Joseph DeUlloa said th=
at=20
he would issue a temporary decision on the CPA "as soon as is practical."=
=20
Pacific Gas and Electric Co. and Southern California Edison Co. say they ha=
ve=20
lost more than $13 billion since last June to climbing wholesale electricit=
y=20
prices that the state's 1996 deregulation law prevents them from recouping=
=20
from ratepayers.=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-----------------------------------



Federal regulators scored for not ordering more California refunds=20




By H. Josef Hebert
ASSOCIATED PRESS=20
March 20, 2001=20
WASHINGTON =01) House Democrats asked federal energy regulators Tuesday why=
they=20
are not going more aggressively after alleged overcharges for wholesale=20
electricity in California and ordering more refunds.=20
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has asked suppliers to justify $12=
4=20
million in sales during the first two months of the year or refund the mone=
y,=20
but critics charge that thousands of additional questionable sales are not=
=20
being challenged.=20
The three commissioners testifying at a hearing of the House Commerce=20
subcommittee on energy, were asked why they limited their refund demands to=
=20
only power sales that occurred during so-called Stage 3 alerts of acute pow=
er=20
shortages in California.=20
"It appears to me a price is unreasonable when it is unreasonable," and not=
=20
just during a power alert, said Rep. Rick Boucher of Virginia, the panels'=
=20
ranking Democrat.=20
The commission last week ordered six power generators to justify some 1,000=
=20
transactions during February in the California market whenever the price wa=
s=20
above $430 per megawatt hour and occurred during a Stage 3 emergency alert.=
=20
But the lawmakers were told Tuesday that 56 percent of another 14,168=20
transactions, occurring outside a Stage 3 emergency, also exceeded the $430=
=20
trigger, but are not being questioned.=20
"The line was drawn to limit the scope of the refund," said agency=20
commissioner William Massey, a Democrat, who strongly opposed the refund=20
actions because he said they were too limited.=20
Chairman Curtis Hebert, a Republican, defended the way the commission decid=
e=20
on what transactions to challenge saying that it sought to replicate market=
=20
conditions as they existed at the time of the sales.=20
"We deserve a better explanation," retorted Boucher.=20
Massey said that agency's investigation of overcharges for January also=20
failed to consider thousands of transactions that exceeded the refund trigg=
er=20
because they did not occur during Stage 3 supply emergencies.=20
Managers of California's electricity grid, state regulators and utilities=
=20
have accused the agency of refusing to aggressively investigate price gougi=
ng=20
by wholesalers who have charged from $150 to $565 per megawatt hour, as muc=
h=20
as 20 times what prices were in 1999.=20
While Hebert and commissioner Linda Breathitt defended the commissioners=20
attempt to investigate whole electricity prices, Massey has been highly=20
critical.=20
What message does the agency's scrutiny of prices send to the power=20
companies? he was asked.=20
"It makes clear FERC is going to be looking for the wallet under the lamp=
=20
post with the lights shining =01) and nowhere else," replied Massey.=20
Meanwhile, Massey and his two fellow commissioners, also disagreed sharply =
on=20
whether the energy agency should impose temporary price controls on the=20
wholesale power market in the West to dampen further expected price increas=
es=20
this summer.=20
Massey said he fears "a disasters in the making" if some price restraints a=
re=20
not imposed by FERC, which regulates wholesale electricity sales. "We need =
a=20
temporary time out," he said.=20
But Massey is in the minority on the commission. Both Hebert and Breathitt=
=20
are against price caps, arguing they will have long-term detrimental impact=
=20
on power supply.=20
The Bush administration has made its opposition to interfering in the=20
wholesale markets well known for weeks. Vice President Dick Cheney's task=
=20
force is to unveil an energy plan in about a month that is expected to lean=
=20
heavily on energy production.=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-----------------------------------
Second Day of Blackouts Disrupts 500,000 Homes and Businesses=20

Power: Grid operators say the shortage should ease in the next few days, bu=
t=20
officials see a grim summer.=20

By MITCHELL LANDSBERG and ERIC BAILEY, Times Staff Writers=20





A traffic signal that stopped working during Tuesday's rolling blackouts le=
d=20
to this collision be tween a car and a truck at an intersection in El Monte=
.=20
The outages ran from 9:30 a.m. to 2 p.m. AP

?????Electricity blackouts rolled through California for a second straight=
=20
day Tuesday, disrupting business in one of the world's most technologically=
=20
advanced economies and leaving schoolchildren groping in the dark.
?????Jinxed by a combination of bad luck and bad decisions, utilities were=
=20
forced to cut off power to more than half a million homes and businesses fr=
om=20
San Diego to the Oregon border.
?????By day's end, there was some good news from the operators of the=20
statewide power grid, who said the situation had eased and appeared likely =
to=20
improve for the next few days. And Gov. Gray Davis announced a proposed=20
solution to one vexing problem: the utilities' failure to pay the state's=
=20
small, alternative power generators, many of whom have stopped producing=20
power as a result.
?????Davis called the utilities "shameful" for failing to pay, and praised=
=20
the alternative power generators, which include solar, wind and geothermal=
=20
energy producers, as "good corporate citizens" who produced power although=
=20
they weren't being paid.
?????"We are anxious to pay the [small producers], who are dropping like=20
flies," Davis said.
?????Despite the progress, it was hard for some people to look on the brigh=
t=20
side after enduring outages that took place when the state's hunger for pow=
er=20
was almost 50% less than at its summer peak.
?????"This is a taste, almost like an appetizer, of a really unpalatable me=
al=20
that's going to be served up this summer," said Michael Shames of the Utili=
ty=20
Consumers' Action Network in San Diego, himself a victim of a rolling=20
blackout that hit his office in San Diego early Tuesday.
?????Power officials have warned that this could be a grim summer in=20
California, since demand for electricity sharply rises when people turn on=
=20
air conditioners. The state has been struggling to meet its power needs in=
=20
recent months because of rising prices and a flawed deregulation plan that=
=20
has left the two biggest private utilities on the brink of bankruptcy. Stat=
e=20
leaders have so far failed to agree on a comprehensive plan to solve the=20
problems.




Wally Quirk teaches a business class in a borrowed classroom Tuesday at=20
Sonoma State after the state's rolling blackouts cut the power to his usual=
=20
classroom, which does not have any windows.
SCOTT MANCHESTER / The Press Democrat

?????The latest round of blackouts began about 9:30 a.m. Tuesday when the=
=20
California Independent System Operator, which runs the statewide grid,=20
determined that the demand for electricity was 500 megawatts more than the=
=20
supply--an imbalance that meant the state was short on the power needed to=
=20
supply electricity to about 375,000 homes.
?????Grid operators blamed a confluence of events, including warmer weather=
;=20
outages at several major power plants, including one unit of the San Onofre=
=20
nuclear power station; a reduction in imports from the Pacific Northwest, a=
nd=20
the shutdown of many alternative energy producers. Similar blackouts Monday=
=20
were the first since January.
?????The situation improved somewhat by late Tuesday morning, with some=20
supplies restored and Californians conserving energy, and Cal-ISO was able =
to=20
halt the rolling blackouts at 2 p.m.
?????Once again, customers of the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power=
=20
were spared, although the municipally owned utility said its electrical=20
surplus was smaller than usual. The DWP, like Southern California Edison, w=
as=20
affected by an outage at the huge Mohave power plant in Nevada, as well as =
by=20
planned outages at several of its facilities.
?????As in the past, by far the biggest impact was felt by customers served=
=20
by Pacific Gas & Electric, the state's largest utility, which cut power to=
=20
438,000 homes and businesses.
?????Edison cut power to 47,462 customers in about 40 cities, but eventuall=
y=20
was able to avoid blackouts by shutting off the air conditioners of some of=
=20
the 118,500 customers who participate in a voluntary cutoff program.
?????San Diego Gas & Electric cut power to 73,400 customers.

?????Innovative Ways of Coping
?????As on Monday, most people took the outages in stride, as an annoying b=
ut=20
ultimately unavoidable inconvenience.
?????In Palmdale, four schools lost power during one of the hourlong=20
blackouts, but teachers and students pressed on in the sunlight pouring=20
through windows and skylights. At Barrel Springs Elementary, Principal Cruz=
=20
Earls said the biggest problem came when students had to go to the bathroom=
:=20
Hand in hand, they made their way through darkened hallways with flashlight=
s.
?????All in all, it wasn't a terrible experience. Then again, the weather=
=20
wasn't that hot Tuesday, with a high of 79 in Palmdale, so the shutdown of=
=20
air conditioners wasn't much of a hardship. "I don't want to think about th=
e=20
conditions this could create in May or June," Earls said.
?????Businesses of all kinds complained about the lack of warning for the=
=20
outages--and sometimes found innovative ways to get around the problem.
?????Rattled by news reports of Monday's rolling blackouts, El Burrito=20
Mexican Food Products in the city of Industry started its Tuesday shift at =
2=20
a.m. to beat the clock in the event of an outage. That hunch paid off.=20
Workers had just finished cooking and packaging the last batches of salsa a=
nd=20
masa when the lights went out at 10:20 a.m.
?????Company owner Mark Roth said the firm will continue working odd hours =
to=20
avoid further outages. But he isn't buying the line from the utilities that=
=20
they can't provide advance warning because of concerns about looting and=20
rioting.
?????"We're ready to do whatever it takes to get through this thing," he=20
said. "But they've got to give us some notification."
?????At Big O Tires in Elk Grove, just south of Sacramento, owner Daniel Cr=
um=20
had his 14 workers take an early lunch break or head to the warehouse to=20
reorganize the goods. Without electricity, they couldn't repair brakes or=
=20
align front ends.
?????"I'd never let them be idle," said Crum.
?????At least two minor traffic accidents were blamed on the outages.
?????The blackouts resulted from a convergence of factors.
?????Demand was slightly higher than expected, probably because of=20
unseasonably warm weather. Supplies were tighter than usual, in part becaus=
e=20
of several outages, including that at the Mohave plant, half of which was=
=20
brought back on line by the end of the day.
?????The San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station was still limping along=20
without power from one of its two 1,100-megawatt units, which was shut down=
=20
Feb. 3 after a half-hour fire in a nonnuclear part of the plant. Edison,=20
which operates San Onofre, initially estimated the unit would be out for=20
several weeks but recently said "extensive damage" to parts of the turbine=
=20
will keep the unit out of commission until mid-June.
?????Shipments from the drought-stricken Pacific Northwest, which generates=
=20
most of its electricity from large dams, were also down.
?????"Each time we take a measurement, we're closer to the all-time record=
=20
for the driest year," said Dulcy Mahar, spokeswoman for the Bonneville Powe=
r=20
Administration, the network of federal dams that provides the region with=
=20
much of its electricity. "We've been doing what we can, but we simply don't=
=20
have power to sell."
?????Finally, there was the problem of the small and alternative energy=20
producers, which have shut down plants because they haven't been paid by th=
e=20
private utilities since November. Those outages have cost the state about=
=20
3,000 megawatts of electricity, enough for about 2.3 million homes.
?????"You're seeing the system freeze up," said David Sokol, chairman and C=
EO=20
of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., which runs eight geothermal plants in t=
he=20
Imperial Valley through its subsidiary, CalEnergy. His company hasn't shut=
=20
down yet, but Sokol said smaller companies couldn't continue to sell their=
=20
energy to utilities for free.
?????"Why should we fund Edison?" he asked. "That's just ridiculous."

?????A Choice of 2 Rate Plans
?????Davis joined lawmakers in the Capitol on Tuesday to outline his plan t=
o=20
get the producers running again. He said utilities have had no right to=20
collect money from ratepayers and then not use the funds to repay the small=
=20
producers. The state has spent billions to buy power from large conventiona=
l=20
producers on behalf of the utilities but has refused to pick up the tab for=
=20
alternative energy.
?????"The utilities acted in a shameful manner by putting money in their=20
pockets that was designed to pay the [small producers]," Davis said.
?????The plan outlined by Davis would allow the generators to choose betwee=
n=20
two rate plans. They could decide to be paid 7.9 cents per kilowatt-hour ov=
er=20
five years or 6.9 cents a kilowatt-hour over 10 years.
?????The utilities must begin paying the generators the new rates beginning=
=20
April 1 or face fines, Davis said.
?????The question of how the companies will get paid the about $1.5 billion=
=20
they are owed remains unresolved. That issue will be decided in coming week=
s=20
as Davis' negotiators continue to work on rescue plans for the state's=20
financially hobbled private utilities.
?????PG&E spokesman Ron Low said the state's largest utility did not take=
=20
kindly to Davis' criticism, and noted that the governor's plan is similar t=
o=20
a proposal that PG&E made last week to producers.
?????Jan Smutny-Jones, executive director of a trade group that includes so=
me=20
of the small generators, described the plan as a positive step.
?????"The governor got it right in that it's not acceptable for small power=
=20
producers to continue to generate and not be paid," Smutny-Jones said. "But=
=20
we'll need to see what the order says; the devil will truly be in the=20
details."
?????Grid operators said the state's overall energy situation eased by midd=
ay=20
Tuesday because of repairs at the Mohave plant and another large plant at=
=20
Ormond Beach, and because the Western Area Power Administration came up wit=
h=20
300 megawatts of electricity from Glen Canyon Dam.
?????Also, grid spokesman Patrick Dorinson said conservation savings spiked=
=20
upward after earlier complaints that Californians weren't conserving.
?????"We saw the people of California probably conserve 900 megawatts today=
,"=20
he said. "That was probably the difference."
---=20
?????Times staff writers Andrew Blankstein, Jose Cardenas, Marla Dickerson,=
=20
Noaki Schwartz, Nicholas Riccardi, Doug Smith, Rebecca Trounson and Richard=
=20
Winton in Los Angeles, Miguel Bustillo and Julie Tamaki in Sacramento, Mari=
a=20
La Ganga in San Francisco, Stanley Allison, Matt Ebnet, Scott Martelle,=20
Dennis McLellan, Monte Morin, Jason Song, Mai Tran and Nancy Wride in Orang=
e=20
County, and Richard Simon in Washington contributed to this story.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-----------------------------------
Fragile Supply Network Apt to Fail=20

By JENIFER WARREN and ERIC BAILEY, Times Staff Writers=20

?????A lot of people were caught off guard by the blackouts that swept over=
=20
California this week. Debra Bowen wasn't one of them.
?????As chairwoman of the state Senate Energy Committee, she is=20
intimately--and painfully--familiar with the state's energy supply. And she=
=20
is willing to share a secret: It's a fragile system, capable of collapse at=
=20
any time.
?????That knowledge keeps Bowen awake at night, particularly with the=20
approach of summer, when power demand surges as Californians get reacquaint=
ed=20
with their air conditioners.
?????"I sound a bit less like Chicken Little today, don't I?" Bowen said=20
Tuesday, as chunks of the state once again were forcibly darkened. "I know =
a=20
lot of people don't feel we have a problem. But we have a very, very big=20
problem."
?????With the recent slowdown in Stage 3 emergencies, a sense of calm had=
=20
settled over the energy debate, and even some legislators were speaking wit=
h=20
guarded optimism about the hot months ahead.
?????On Tuesday, however, a creeping sense of doom was almost palpable amon=
g=20
energy watchers, and previous supply forecasts--which predict that the stat=
e=20
may yet escape summer blackouts--were being given a second look.
?????"The outages of the last two days are something that Californians are=
=20
going to have to get used to for July and August," said Michael Zenker,=20
California director of Cambridge Energy Research Associates. The=20
Massachusetts consulting firm is predicting about 20 hours of blackouts thi=
s=20
summer.
?????At the California Independent System Operator, which manages 75% of th=
e=20
statewide power grid, officials said the energy cushion the state had in=20
recent weeks was, in some ways, a phantom caused by heavy imports of power.
?????Cal-ISO spokesman Patrick Dorinson said people may have been deluded=
=20
into a false state of comfort: "Maybe there is a tendency to think things=
=20
have improved," he said. In fact, they haven't.
?????More than anything, this week's events illustrate the delicate balance=
=20
of factors that keep California illuminated, from the multitude of supply=
=20
sources to the weather.
?????Temperatures were higher than usual. Alternative-energy suppliers--who=
=20
haven't been paid in months by the cash-strapped utilities--cut their outpu=
t.=20
Suppliers in the Northwest--which faces a drought--slashed exports. Equipme=
nt=20
breakdowns and maintenance at power plants--much of it unanticipated--took=
=20
13,000 megawatts offline. A utility-run program that gives businesses=20
discounts in exchange for cutting power during emergencies is all but dead.
?????"The fragility of the system is such that a small perturbation can tur=
n=20
everything upside down very easily," said Gary Ackerman, executive director=
=20
of the Western Power Trading Forum, a group of electricity generators and=
=20
traders.
?????One factor receiving particular attention is the dip in supply caused =
by=20
unscheduled maintenance. To help officials predict available supply,=20
generators provide an annual maintenance plan that is updated regularly.
?????In addition, however, facilities sometimes shut down for unexpected=20
reasons: leaking tubes, burnt-out transformers, cracked turbines and faulty=
=20
feed pumps. At one point Tuesday, about 8,200 megawatts were unavailable=20
because of unscheduled shutdowns. That's enough to supply about 6 million=
=20
households, and up from 5,700 megawatts a week ago.
?????The huge 1,400-megawatt Mohave power plant near Laughlin, Nev., which=
=20
supplies Southern California Edison and the Los Angeles Department of Water=
=20
and Power, was felled Monday by a transformer problem. That was enough to=
=20
push the state into blackouts.
?????A growing number of skeptics, however, question whether those reasons=
=20
are always valid, accusing generators of withholding power to shrink supply=
=20
and drive up prices.
?????"There's no way to verify it, so you've got to take their word for it,=
"=20
said Frank Wolak, a Stanford University economist who studies California's=
=20
electricity market. "And given that it's very profitable for these things t=
o=20
occur, you start to wonder if they're creating an artificial scarcity."
?????Tom Williams of Duke Energy said the Houston-based company is working=
=20
hard to keep its California power plants, which are capable of producing=20
3,351 megawatts of electricity, in operation after months of near-continuou=
s=20
operation.
?????"It's like riding a moped across the country," he said. "They're just=
=20
not meant to run this hard."
?????Last week, the state Senate formed a committee to investigate charges =
of=20
market manipulation by power suppliers. The chairman, state Sen. Joe Dunn=
=20
(D-Santa Ana), says the issue of unscheduled plant shutdowns is on his agen=
da.
?????"The problem is: How does one prove that a particular outage was part =
of=20
a deliberate strategy to deprive the state of kilowatts, rather than a resu=
lt=20
of normal business operations?" Dunn said.
---=20
?????Times staff writer Nancy Rivera Brooks contributed to this story.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-----------------------------------
Elevator Anxiety Is Riding High=20

Emergencies: Workers in skyscrapers worry about blackouts trapping them in=
=20
their buildings. Some take the risk in stride; others make plans to take th=
e=20
stairs.=20

By JOHN M. GLIONNA and JOE MOZINGO, Times Staff Writers=20

?????SAN FRANCISCO--In Susan Clifton's highly placed opinion, sunny Tuesday=
=20
would have been a picture-perfect day to work atop one of the tallest=20
buildings in San Francisco, a scenic city littered with soaring skyscrapers=
.
?????But Clifton--like many other high-rise office dwellers in blackout-pro=
ne=20
parts of California--couldn't help but feel some high anxiety at the prospe=
ct=20
of being stranded by electrical outages that were sweeping across the state=
=20
for a second day.
?????"I think about it all the time," said Clifton, a 21-year-old=20
receptionist at Deutsche Bank's offices on the 48th floor of a tower in the=
=20
city's financial district who recently moved from rural Virginia. "The way =
I=20
see it, Californians take a lot of things on faith, working atop tall=20
buildings with all these earthquakes and power outages."
?????For Long Beach office worker Dave Suhada, the anxiety has taken the fo=
rm=20
of elevator phobia: a fear of getting stuck on an 80-degree day crammed in =
a=20
pod of sweating, heavy-breathing humans, with no way out.
?????"I'm just eyeing the buttons to see which one I could push as fast as =
I=20
can if the power goes out," he said.=20
?????For 20-year-old Lisa Riley, it means entering the elevator each day in=
=20
her Long Beach office building with a prayer. "I just could not get stuck f=
or=20
an hour and a half," she said, nodding nervously. Often she now opts for th=
e=20
stairs.
?????In San Francisco, emergency services officials say that most of the=20
city's office buildings are equipped with backup generators to run elevator=
s=20
and security equipment in the event of a blackout.
?????Fire Department spokesman Pete House said the city has 19 trucks with=
=20
experts trained to extricate people trapped in elevators. Firefighters=20
handling blackout-related emergencies rescued a person trapped in a downtow=
n=20
building Tuesday and handled five elevator mishaps Monday.
?????Christopher Stafford didn't get caught inside an elevator Monday, but=
=20
suffered the next-worst thing: being stranded in his 15th-floor apartment=
=20
after the power failed when he went home for lunch.
?????So the 41-year-old real estate worker trooped down the stairs to the=
=20
lobby and even made some new friends along the way, helping a few elderly=
=20
women who were struggling down the stairs.
?????"It was a pain," he acknowledged. "But I have to tell you: I really li=
ke=20
my panoramic view, so it's worth the hassle."
?????Nowadays, Sherrie Tellier makes sure her cellular phone is in hand whe=
n=20
she gets i