Enron Mail

From:stinson.gibner@enron.com
To:jeffrey.shankman@enron.com
Subject:Re: P+ spread options
Cc:vince.kaminski@enron.com
Bcc:vince.kaminski@enron.com
Date:Wed, 31 Jan 2001 22:53:00 -0800 (PST)

Jeff,

A short follow up on the P+ options.

Attached is a chart showing historical correlations for calendar spreads
between futures contracts. It shows correlation over four different time
horizons up to the roll of the nearest contract in each pair. As you can
see the level is usually higher than 0.98 and often near 0.99. If our
current book of "index P+" options were re-marked at a 98% correlation, it
would result in a reduction in M-T-M value of about $78 million according to
my estimate.