Enron Mail

From:iris.mack@enron.com
To:ben.parsons@enron.com, tomas.valnek@enron.com, scott.salmon@enron.com,george.albanis@enron.com, joe.dance@enron.com, mike.mumford@enron.com, nigel.price@enron.com, markus.fiala@enron.com, bryan.seyfried@enron.com, tani.nath@enron.com, viacheslav.dan
Subject:RE: Enron Credit Modeling Discussions
Cc:amitava.dhar@enron.com, vince.kaminski@enron.com,vasant.shanbhogue@enron.com
Bcc:amitava.dhar@enron.com, vince.kaminski@enron.com,vasant.shanbhogue@enron.com
Date:Wed, 2 May 2001 16:50:00 -0700 (PDT)



Hi again,

Some of you have been kind enough to supply me with information that can be used for the strategic plan (I am writing for Duffie).

To assist you in gathering further information, it was suggested that I forward a preliminary outline of this strategic plan to your attention.


Thanks in advance for your assistance,
Iris





Table of Contents

Executive Summary
Highlights

Introduction
What is Enron Credit?
What is the business plan?
What are the products planned?
Current status: what we currently trade, how we price.
What new models we need to achieve goals.
What attempts are being made internally and what external commercial sources are available.

SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Weakness
Opportunities
Threats

Pricing Approach
A diagram illustrating how various models are tied together for the overall objective of coming up with final CDS and DBS pricing.
Brief description of each model shown in the diagram.

Public Firm versus Private Firm
What we have as first cut for modeling primarily public firms.
Our understanding on public versus private firms' credit risk characteristics, data availability and possible modeling approaches.
Our proposed approach/plan towards development of private firm model, including comparative analysis, model development, etc..

Portfolio Level Business Feasibility Analysis
Accounting Breakeven Analysis
Portfolio Theory

Alternative (Short term) Measures
KMV' Private Firm Model
Moody's RiskCalc Model for Private Firms
Comparison of KMV vs Moody's Private Firm model

Future Strategy
Development of private firm pricing models (short- and long- tenor models0
Completion of Parent/Subsidiary Model
Risk Management Model for ECT Business

References