Syncrasy Daily Trader Summary for Fri, Dec 28, 2001

=09

[IMAGE] Syncrasy, LLC? 713.228.8470 Off 713.228.4147 Fax 909 Tex=
as Avenue Suite 1314 Houston, TX 77002 www.syncrasy.com S=
ales: 713.228.4407 Development Offices: 970.247.4139 Off 970.247.7951 =
Fax 835 Main Avenue Suite 221 Durango, CO 81301 =09 =09 [IMAGE=
]Complimentary version of Trader Summary from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy=
Inc. [IMAGE]- If you would like to receive this product early in the mor=
ning please call Syncrasy at [IMAGE]713 228 4407for more information =
or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com [IMAGE]- If=
you would like to be added to this daily email list please send an ema=
il to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com [IMAGE]- If you would like to be r=
emoved from this daily email please reply to this email with the words =
"CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com Data la=
st updated: Friday, Dec 28, 2001 at 08:28AM EST [IMAGE]Congratulations A=
ndy Weingarten, APB Energy! Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AM=
S Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS =
or Aquila [IMAGE]New! << Printable [IMAGE]PDFTrader Summary (You must hav=
e Adobe Acrobat Reader to open or print a PDF) Click here for a definitio=
n of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature' Today: Friday, December 28, 20=
01 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix (Click on imag=
e to enlarge) ECAR(CTR) 32 +1 ERCOT(SP) 66 +1 FRCC(SE) 69 NC MAAC(NE) 4=
0 +2 MAIN(CTR) 27 +1 MAPP(HP) 15 +1 NPCC(NE) 33 +2 SERC(SE) 55 +2 SPP(SP) 5=
2 +5 WSCC(NW) 43 -1 WSCC(RK) 33 -1 WSCC(SW) 57 -1 Range Standard Deviat=
ion Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 23 24 31 40 30 53 55 52 Max 30 30 =
35 43 37 59 65 58 Min 20 20 28 38 25 44 48 49 Range 10 10 7 5 12 15 17 9 St=
D-P 2.1 2.8 2.5 1.2 3.4 3.6 5.4 2.6 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Her=
e to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix Tomorrow=
: Saturday, December 29, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility=
Matrix (Click on image to enlarge) ECAR(CTR) 23 +1 ERCOT(SP) 59 +=
1 FRCC(SE) 74 +1 MAAC(NE) 39 +2 MAIN(CTR) 18 +1 MAPP(HP) 11 +1 NPCC(NE) 31 =
+1 SERC(SE) 51 +1 SPP(SP) 34 NC WSCC(NW) 41 -3 WSCC(RK) 28 -2 WSCC(SW) 56 -=
1 Range Standard Deviation Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 18 17 3=
0 39 29 54 50 52 Max 24 24 34 43 36 60 63 58 Min 14 10 25 37 23 50 42 48 Ra=
nge 10 14 9 6 13 10 21 10 StD-P 2.9 3.9 2.7 1.8 3.2 2.8 5.3 3.1 Count 14 14=
14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the =
Volatility Matrix Day 3: Sunday, December 30, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: =
Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix (Click on image to enlarge) ECAR(C=
TR) 23 +2 ERCOT(SP) 52 -2 FRCC(SE) 65 +2 MAAC(NE) 30 +1 MAIN(CTR) 22 +2 MAP=
P(HP) 14 +2 NPCC(NE) 28 +1 SERC(SE) 40 NC SPP(SP) 31 -4 WSCC(NW) 41 NC WSCC=
(RK) 28 -5 WSCC(SW) 57 -1 Range Standard Deviation Reg CT HP NE NW =
RK SE SP SW Mean 17 15 25 39 29 44 46 53 Max 20 19 31 42 33 55 52 57 Min 12=
9 19 36 25 37 41 49 Range 8 10 12 6 8 18 11 8 StD-P 2.2 2.9 3.1 1.7 2.5 4.=
1 2.4 2.6 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Fore=
cast Used Within the Volatility Matrix Day 4: Monday, December 31, 2001 =
Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix (Click on image to=
enlarge) ECAR(CTR) 26 +2 ERCOT(SP) 53 -3 FRCC(SE) 64 +4 MAAC(NE) 33 +2=
MAIN(CTR) 21 +1 MAPP(HP) 11 +1 NPCC(NE) 27 +1 SERC(SE) 40 -3 SPP(SP) 33 -6=
WSCC(NW) 39 -4 WSCC(RK) 26 -9 WSCC(SW) 57 -2 Range Standard Deviation =
Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 15 25 38 27 43 44 53 Max 19 19 28 4=
2 33 46 48 57 Min 12 11 18 34 22 39 41 50 Range 7 8 10 8 11 7 7 7 StD-P 2.4=
2.4 2.7 2.4 2.9 2.2 2.1 2.4 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to Se=
e Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix Day 5: Tuesday=
, January 1, 2002 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix =
(Click on image to enlarge) ECAR(CTR) 26 +2 ERCOT(SP) 51 -6 FRCC(SE) =
68 +5 MAAC(NE) 33 +2 MAIN(CTR) 19 -3 MAPP(HP) 7 -9 NPCC(NE) 28 +2 SERC(SE) =
43 -1 SPP(SP) 30 -9 WSCC(NW) 39 -6 WSCC(RK) 22 -15 WSCC(SW) 55 -3 Range=
Standard Deviation Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 17 13 24 38 23 44 =
42 52 Max 20 20 29 41 31 47 47 57 Min 11 5 17 34 16 40 38 47 Range 9 15 12 =
7 15 7 9 10 StD-P 2.4 4.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 1.9 3.2 2.8 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 1=
0 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Mat=
rix Day 6: Wednesday, January 2, 2002 Click Here for Syncrasy's 6-10 su=
mmary information. Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix =
(Click on image to enlarge) ECAR(CTR) 26 -3 ERCOT(SP) 46 -14 FRCC(SE) =
69 +6 MAAC(NE) 32 -2 MAIN(CTR) 19 -8 MAPP(HP) 12 -10 NPCC(NE) 29 +2 SERC(SE=
) 41 -5 SPP(SP) 27 -18 WSCC(NW) 42 -2 WSCC(RK) 28 -12 WSCC(SW) 56 -3 Ra=
nge Standard Deviation Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 18 25 41 25 =
43 37 52 Max 22 27 29 44 30 47 47 56 Min 11 9 18 38 16 37 30 48 Range 11 18=
11 6 14 10 17 8 StD-P 3.3 5.9 3.0 1.6 5.3 2.7 5.5 2.5 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 =
9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix=
Day 7: Thursday, January 3, 2002 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Vo=
latility Matrix (Click on image to enlarge) ECAR(CTR) 26 -6 ERCOT(=
SP) 50 -15 FRCC(SE) 65 NC MAAC(NE) 34 -2 MAIN(CTR) 22 -10 MAPP(HP) 15 -12 N=
PCC(NE) 30 NC SERC(SE) 43 -7 SPP(SP) 37 -13 WSCC(NW) 42 -1 WSCC(RK) 30 -10 =
WSCC(SW) 56 -3 Range Standard Deviation Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW=
Mean 20 24 26 40 30 42 38 52 Max 29 34 30 42 34 47 47 56 Min 13 13 18 38 2=
7 35 29 48 Range 16 21 12 4 7 12 18 8 StD-P 4.9 5.8 3.5 1.2 2.7 4.2 5.4 2.4=
Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within =
the Volatility Matrix Day 8: Friday, January 4, 2002 Syncrasy's Choice=
: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix (Click on image to enlarge) ECAR=
(CTR) 8 -24 ERCOT(SP) 35 -25 FRCC(SE) 54 -6 MAAC(NE) 19 -10 MAIN(CTR) 1 -36=
MAPP(HP) -1 -34 NPCC(NE) 19 -5 SERC(SE) 30 -17 SPP(SP) 14 -34 WSCC(NW) 37 =
-4 WSCC(RK) 22 -3 WSCC(SW) 46 -6 Range Standard Deviation Reg CT HP=
NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 20 25 27 39 29 43 43 51 Max 30 33 34 42 36 48 50 56=
Min 3 10 18 35 21 35 31 45 Range 27 23 16 7 15 13 19 11 StD-P 8.1 7.2 5.2 =
2.1 4.6 5.2 5.9 3.5 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Fo=
recast Used Within the Volatility Matrix Day 9: Saturday, January 5, 20=
02 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix (Click on imag=
e to enlarge) ECAR(CTR) 8 -29 ERCOT(SP) 24 -25 FRCC(SE) 50 -19 MAAC(NE)=
11 -29 MAIN(CTR) 12 -20 MAPP(HP) 22 -10 NPCC(NE) 7 -27 SERC(SE) 22 -32 SPP=
(SP) 15 -23 WSCC(NW) 36 -6 WSCC(RK) 20 -14 WSCC(SW) 45 -8 Range Standar=
d Deviation Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 23 28 24 39 27 44 43 51 Ma=
x 32 34 35 42 36 53 54 56 Min 13 21 8 35 18 28 21 45 Range 19 13 27 7 18 25=
33 11 StD-P 6.2 3.6 9.8 2.4 6.1 8.1 10.9 4.1 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click H=
ere to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix Day 10=
: Sunday, January 6, 2002 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Ma=
trix (Click on image to enlarge) ECAR(CTR) 20 -15 ERCOT(SP) 34 -17=
FRCC(SE) 55 -10 MAAC(NE) 19 -26 MAIN(CTR) 26 -9 MAPP(HP) 32 -3 NPCC(NE) 13=
-28 SERC(SE) 31 -20 SPP(SP) 30 -18 WSCC(NW) 39 -4 WSCC(RK) 29 -6 WSCC(SW) =
48 -9 Range Standard Deviation Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 24 =
29 22 37 22 41 36 43 Max 28 34 30 39 27 50 41 48 Min 16 20 15 33 16 36 32 3=
7 Range 12 14 15 6 11 14 9 11 StD-P 2.8 4.4 5.7 1.7 3.1 4.6 3.8 4.5 Count 6=
6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Vola=
tility Matrix Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the =
Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall? Trader Summary can also be vi=
ewed from www.syncrasy.com or www.apbenergy.com or www.truequote.com =
=09
=09=09=09