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[IMAGE]=09 [IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE] Syncrasy, = LLC? 713.228.8470 Off 713.228.4147 Fax 909 Texas Avenue Suite 1314 H= ouston, TX 77002 www.syncrasy.com Sales: 713.228.4407 D= evelopment Offices: 970.247.4139 Off 970.247.7951 Fax 835 Main Avenue = Suite 221 Durango, CO 81301 =09 =09 [IMAGE] Complimentary version= of Trader Summary from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc. - If you woul= d like to receive this product early in the morning please call Syncr= asy at 713 228 4407 for more information or send an email to subscrib= e_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com - If you would like to be added to this da= ily email list please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.co= m - If you would like to be removed from this daily email please = reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_trad= ersummary@syncrasy.com Data last updated: Thursday, Oct 18, 2001 at 0= 9:07AM ET Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy! Winner of the $5= 0,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more = information please visit: AMS or Aquila Click here for a definition of = 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature' Today: Thursday, October 18, 2001 = Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IM= AGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(C= TR) 58 NC ERCOT(SP) 79 NC FRCC(SE) 80 +1 MAAC(NE) 57 NC MAIN(CTR) 59 +1 MAP= P(HP) 54 +2 NPCC(NE) 53 -2 SERC(SE) 67 -1 SPP(SP) 71 +3 WSCC(NW) 57 -1 WSCC= (RK) 58 +3 WSCC(SW) 76 +1 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Re= g CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 54 52 49 53 54 64 73 74 Max 61 61 56 59 61 7= 1 80 78 Min 48 45 43 48 47 58 65 70 Range 13 16 13 11 14 13 15 8 StD-P 3.4 = 4.2 3.9 2.7 4.5 3.7 4.5 2.2 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Andy Weingarte= n is unavailable for commentary today. We look forward to his return on Fr= iday. Tomorrow: Friday, October 19, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp= . Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (C= lick on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 58 -1 ERCOT(SP) 77 -1 FRCC(= SE) 82 NC MAAC(NE) 62 -1 MAIN(CTR) 58 NC MAPP(HP) 57 +1 NPCC(NE) 59 -1 SERC= (SE) 72 NC SPP(SP) 70 NC WSCC(NW) 62 NC WSCC(RK) 62 +2 WSCC(SW) 76 NC R= ange Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean = 54 57 56 57 58 69 72 74 Max 61 65 61 62 66 74 79 78 Min 47 48 50 53 48 62 6= 2 70 Range 14 17 11 9 18 12 17 8 StD-P 3.4 4.4 3.4 2.7 5.1 3.5 4.3 2.2 Coun= t 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Day 3: Saturday, October 20, 2001 Syncrasy's = Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] = [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 62 NC ER= COT(SP) 81 -1 FRCC(SE) 83 NC MAAC(NE) 65 +1 MAIN(CTR) 63 NC MAPP(HP) 61 NC = NPCC(NE) 59 NC SERC(SE) 76 +1 SPP(SP) 76 +1 WSCC(NW) 59 NC WSCC(RK) 63 +1 W= SCC(SW) 76 NC Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE N= W RK SE SP SW Mean 57 58 55 53 59 70 75 74 Max 63 66 60 59 66 77 81 76 Min = 51 50 50 48 51 63 68 70 Range 12 16 10 11 15 14 13 6 StD-P 3.2 4.7 2.9 3.3 = 4.9 4.3 4.5 1.8 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Day 4: Sunday, October 21, 2001 S= yncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAG= E][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR= ) 67 +1 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 84 NC MAAC(NE) 66 +1 MAIN(CTR) 65 +1 MAPP(= HP) 57 +1 NPCC(NE) 60 NC SERC(SE) 77 +1 SPP(SP) 76 +1 WSCC(NW) 54 -1 WSCC(R= K) 58 NC WSCC(SW) 72 -1 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg = CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 52 57 50 55 71 76 70 Max 63 59 62 54 62 78 = 81 73 Min 54 46 53 46 50 66 70 66 Range 9 13 9 8 12 12 11 7 StD-P 2.3 4.2 2= .7 2.4 4.2 3.3 3.8 2.4 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Day 5: Monday, October 22, 2= 001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE]= [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] E= CAR(CTR) 66 +1 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 85 +1 MAAC(NE) 69 +2 MAIN(CTR) 62 += 1 MAPP(HP) 54 -1 NPCC(NE) 62 +2 SERC(SE) 78 +1 SPP(SP) 74 +1 WSCC(NW) 55 -1= WSCC(RK) 57 +1 WSCC(SW) 70 -1 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]= Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 55 55 60 50 53 73 77 68 Max 60 60 64 55= 60 79 81 72 Min 51 49 57 45 46 69 74 63 Range 9 11 7 10 14 10 7 9 StD-P 2.= 9 3.6 1.9 3.4 4.8 3.5 2.6 3.3 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Day 6: Tuesday, Octob= er 23, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE= ][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IM= AGE] ECAR(CTR) 69 +3 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 85 NC MAAC(NE) 69 +1 MAIN(C= TR) 65 +2 MAPP(HP) 58 +1 NPCC(NE) 60 -1 SERC(SE) 79 +1 SPP(SP) 74 +1 WSCC(N= W) 54 -1 WSCC(RK) 52 -3 WSCC(SW) 71 -1 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE]= [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 61 53 57 46 48 74 78 69 Max 64 = 57 63 54 54 80 81 72 Min 57 47 54 40 40 72 75 64 Range 7 10 9 14 14 8 6 8 S= tD-P 2.7 4.4 2.7 4.6 6.4 2.4 2.4 3.4 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Day 7: Wednesd= ay, October 24, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix = [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlar= ge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 66 +2 ERCOT(SP) 79 -2 FRCC(SE) 86 +1 MAAC(NE) 69 = +1 MAIN(CTR) 59 -2 MAPP(HP) 52 -4 NPCC(NE) 63 +3 SERC(SE) 76 -1 SPP(SP) 66 = -5 WSCC(NW) 54 NC WSCC(RK) 49 -5 WSCC(SW) 71 -1 Range Standard Deviatio= n [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 46 62 46 42 74 73 6= 7 Max 61 54 65 54 56 78 78 71 Min 54 39 60 42 32 73 66 62 Range 7 15 5 12 2= 4 5 12 9 StD-P 2.2 5.7 1.3 3.4 8.9 1.4 5.3 3.6 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Day = 8: Thursday, October 25, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatilit= y Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image= to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 45 NC ERCOT(SP) 62 -13 FRCC(SE) 77 NC MA= AC(NE) 63 +3 MAIN(CTR) 42 -1 MAPP(HP) 39 -5 NPCC(NE) 61 +5 SERC(SE) 64 -5 S= PP(SP) 49 -14 WSCC(NW) 47 +7 WSCC(RK) 40 -5 WSCC(SW) 67 +3 Range Standa= rd Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 47 46 61 52= 46 70 65 70 Max 54 56 62 56 55 74 74 72 Min 42 41 58 47 42 67 59 67 Range = 12 15 4 9 13 7 15 5 StD-P 4.1 4.4 1.1 4.0 3.9 2.3 4.8 2.2 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5= 5 5 Day 9: Friday, October 26, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. = Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click= on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 38 -11 ERCOT(SP) 61 -17 FRCC(SE= ) 70 -7 MAAC(NE) 44 NC MAIN(CTR) 38 -12 MAPP(HP) 36 -8 NPCC(NE) 45 NC SERC(= SE) 54 -14 SPP(SP) 50 -17 WSCC(NW) 53 +13 WSCC(RK) 50 +13 WSCC(SW) 69 +4 = Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Me= an 42 50 49 53 53 60 64 70 Max 53 58 55 59 58 64 75 75 Min 37 44 44 46 50 5= 7 58 68 Range 16 14 11 13 8 7 17 7 StD-P 5.5 6.1 4.6 3.3 2.8 2.4 5.6 2.1 Co= unt 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Day 10: Saturday, October 27, 2001 Syncrasy's Choic= e: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMA= GE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 36 -16 ERCOT(= SP) 67 -5 FRCC(SE) 64 -12 MAAC(NE) 42 -18 MAIN(CTR) 41 -1 MAPP(HP) 50 +14 N= PCC(NE) 43 -11 SERC(SE) 51 -17 SPP(SP) 64 +13 WSCC(NW) 46 -5 WSCC(RK) 54 +1= 1 WSCC(SW) 67 -3 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP N= E NW RK SE SP SW Mean 39 49 42 47 46 55 61 60 Max 41 56 44 49 55 62 67 67 M= in 36 37 42 45 35 51 53 51 Range 5 19 2 4 20 11 14 16 StD-P 2.1 7.3 0.6 1.2= 9.2 3.5 6.2 7.0 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Trader Summary is designed around= and formatted for the [IMAGE]Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall? = Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com or www.apben= ergy.com or www.truequote.com [IMAGE] =09 =09=09=09
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