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[IMAGE]=09 [IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE] Syncrasy, = LLC? 713.228.8470 Off 713.228.4147 Fax 909 Texas Avenue Suite 1314 H= ouston, TX 77002 www.syncrasy.com Sales: 713.228.4407 D= evelopment Offices: 970.247.4139 Off 970.247.7951 Fax 835 Main Avenue = Suite 221 Durango, CO 81301 =09 =09 [IMAGE] Complimentary version= of Trader Summary from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc. - If you woul= d like to receive this product early in the morning please call Syncr= asy at 713 228 4407 for more information or send an email to subscrib= e_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com - If you would like to be added to this da= ily email list please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.co= m - If you would like to be removed from this daily email please = reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_trad= ersummary@syncrasy.com Data last updated: Tuesday, Oct 23, 2001 at 08= :45AM ET Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy! Winner of the $50= ,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more i= nformation please visit: AMS or Aquila Click here for a definition of '= Average-Daily Maximum Temperature' Today: Tuesday, October 23, 2001 S= yncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAG= E][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR= ) 70 +1 ERCOT(SP) 88 NC FRCC(SE) 84 -2 MAAC(NE) 70 +1 MAIN(CTR) 67 +2 MAPP(= HP) 61 +2 NPCC(NE) 58 NC SERC(SE) 83 +1 SPP(SP) 81 +1 WSCC(NW) 54 +2 WSCC(R= K) 58 +1 WSCC(SW) 72 NC Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg = CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 62 56 61 47 52 78 82 70 Max 69 63 65 54 61 83 = 87 75 Min 58 49 58 42 47 73 74 65 Range 11 14 7 12 14 10 13 10 StD-P 3.0 4.= 3 2.0 4.2 4.4 3.1 4.3 2.5 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Due to Andy Wein= garten's absence there will be no commentary today. Tomorrow: Wednesday, = October 24, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [= IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) = [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 70 -1 ERCOT(SP) 86 -1 FRCC(SE) 87 +1 MAAC(NE) 76 NC M= AIN(CTR) 57 -5 MAPP(HP) 47 -3 NPCC(NE) 69 +1 SERC(SE) 85 NC SPP(SP) 69 -2 W= SCC(NW) 52 +1 WSCC(RK) 46 +4 WSCC(SW) 72 +2 Range Standard Deviation [I= MAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 45 67 47 42 78 77 70 Ma= x 63 52 72 52 50 85 83 74 Min 51 39 62 42 34 73 68 65 Range 12 13 10 10 16 = 12 15 9 StD-P 2.4 3.5 3.2 3.2 5.2 3.7 4.9 2.7 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10= Day 3: Thursday, October 25, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Vo= latility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click o= n image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 51 -1 ERCOT(SP) 73 NC FRCC(SE) 86= +1 MAAC(NE) 68 +1 MAIN(CTR) 48 NC MAPP(HP) 43 NC NPCC(NE) 64 +1 SERC(SE) 7= 4 NC SPP(SP) 62 NC WSCC(NW) 56 -1 WSCC(RK) 52 +1 WSCC(SW) 75 +1 Range S= tandard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 43 45 = 62 51 50 71 67 72 Max 47 51 64 56 55 76 77 75 Min 38 38 59 47 41 68 57 67 R= ange 9 13 5 9 14 8 20 8 StD-P 2.5 3.6 1.6 2.7 4.5 3.2 5.2 2.1 Count 8 8 8 8= 8 8 8 8 Day 4: Friday, October 26, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp= . Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Cl= ick on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 47 +2 ERCOT(SP) 75 +1 FRCC(S= E) 77 +2 MAAC(NE) 53 +1 MAIN(CTR) 47 +2 MAPP(HP) 40 -1 NPCC(NE) 50 -1 SERC(= SE) 66 +2 SPP(SP) 63 +1 WSCC(NW) 58 -2 WSCC(RK) 52 -5 WSCC(SW) 75 +2 Ra= nge Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 4= 1 42 45 55 48 61 66 73 Max 44 48 50 58 55 68 72 76 Min 37 35 42 51 38 55 57= 69 Range 7 13 8 7 17 13 15 7 StD-P 2.7 4.6 2.0 2.3 6.4 4.2 5.9 2.4 Count 6= 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Day 5: Saturday, October 27, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: De= lta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IM= AGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 43 NC ERCOT(SP) 69 = -3 FRCC(SE) 75 +2 MAAC(NE) 49 +1 MAIN(CTR) 42 -4 MAPP(HP) 41 -7 NPCC(NE) 47= +1 SERC(SE) 59 +1 SPP(SP) 58 -5 WSCC(NW) 59 +3 WSCC(RK) 57 -4 WSCC(SW) 73 = +2 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP = SW Mean 36 42 42 57 52 58 60 70 Max 41 49 47 61 59 63 67 73 Min 31 34 38 54= 42 52 51 66 Range 10 15 9 7 17 11 16 7 StD-P 3.0 5.5 2.4 2.3 5.9 3.7 5.8 2= .2 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Day 6: Sunday, October 28, 2001 Syncrasy's Cho= ice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [I= MAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 44 -3 ERCOT= (SP) 67 -6 FRCC(SE) 70 -3 MAAC(NE) 49 -1 MAIN(CTR) 46 -4 MAPP(HP) 47 -4 NPC= C(NE) 46 -2 SERC(SE) 56 -4 SPP(SP) 59 -6 WSCC(NW) 56 +1 WSCC(RK) 61 +1 WSCC= (SW) 72 +4 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW R= K SE SP SW Mean 40 52 40 50 56 52 59 67 Max 48 60 46 56 62 58 70 72 Min 31 = 44 38 48 50 45 48 65 Range 17 16 8 8 12 13 22 7 StD-P 6.4 5.8 2.5 2.4 4.8 5= .2 8.6 1.8 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Day 7: Monday, October 29, 2001 Syncra= sy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IM= AGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 49 = -2 ERCOT(SP) 68 -7 FRCC(SE) 73 -1 MAAC(NE) 52 -1 MAIN(CTR) 49 -4 MAPP(HP) 4= 9 -3 NPCC(NE) 49 NC SERC(SE) 60 -3 SPP(SP) 62 -4 WSCC(NW) 56 +1 WSCC(RK) 58= +4 WSCC(SW) 73 +5 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP= NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 43 51 41 50 53 53 61 69 Max 51 56 50 56 60 62 71 73= Min 36 45 37 47 47 45 52 67 Range 15 11 13 9 13 17 19 6 StD-P 5.9 4.6 3.4 = 2.3 4.8 6.1 7.1 1.5 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Day 8: Tuesday, October 30, 200= 1 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IMAGE][IMAGE] = [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) [IMAGE] ECA= R(CTR) 37 NC ERCOT(SP) 61 -3 FRCC(SE) 62 -1 MAAC(NE) 38 +3 MAIN(CTR) 43 -3 = MAPP(HP) 49 NC NPCC(NE) 38 NC SERC(SE) 43 -4 SPP(SP) 55 -2 WSCC(NW) 52 +4 W= SCC(RK) 49 +5 WSCC(SW) 70 +8 Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] = Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 46 53 42 52 51 54 63 69 Max 53 58 52 57 5= 9 65 71 72 Min 42 47 38 46 46 47 60 63 Range 11 11 14 11 13 18 11 9 StD-P 4= .2 3.4 5.1 2.3 3.7 6.3 3.9 2.7 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Day 9: Wednesday, Oc= tober 31, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matrix [IM= AGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to enlarge) = [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 44 +2 ERCOT(SP) 61 -2 FRCC(SE) 66 -2 MAAC(NE) 45 +1 MAI= N(CTR) 47 NC MAPP(HP) 48 -5 NPCC(NE) 43 -1 SERC(SE) 47 -3 SPP(SP) 54 -3 WSC= C(NW) 54 +8 WSCC(RK) 49 +3 WSCC(SW) 68 +10 Range Standard Deviation [IM= AGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 49 53 47 50 49 57 64 65 Max= 55 57 51 54 50 63 69 68 Min 46 50 43 46 49 51 60 62 Range 9 7 8 8 1 12 9 6= StD-P 3.4 2.7 3.2 3.6 0.5 6.0 4.1 2.9 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Day 10: Thur= sday, November 1, 2001 Syncrasy's Choice: Delta Temp. Volatility Matr= ix [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE] (Click on image to en= large) [IMAGE] ECAR(CTR) 45 +2 ERCOT(SP) 61 -4 FRCC(SE) 67 -4 MAAC(NE) = 47 NC MAIN(CTR) 46 NC MAPP(HP) 47 -4 NPCC(NE) 45 -1 SERC(SE) 50 -5 SPP(SP) = 58 NC WSCC(NW) 48 +5 WSCC(RK) 52 +10 WSCC(SW) 68 +8 Range Standard Devi= ation [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 44 49 43 42 45 54 = 59 58 Max 45 53 45 48 53 57 61 68 Min 42 42 36 35 34 51 56 48 Range 3 11 9 = 13 19 6 5 20 StD-P 1.1 3.9 3.4 6.2 7.4 1.6 1.8 9.7 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 = Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the [IMAGE]Plasma dis= plays, RainbowWall? and DataWall? Trader Summary can also be viewed from = www.syncrasy.com or www.apbenergy.com or www.truequote.com [IMAG= E] =09 =09=09=09
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