Enron Mail

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Subject:Fwd: NumeriX Solutions for Enron
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Date:Sun, 8 Apr 2001 16:46:00 -0700 (PDT)

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From: "Dean Tallam" <dtallam@numerix.com<
To: <vkaminski@aol.com<
Subject: NumeriX Solutions for Enron
Date: Fri, 6 Apr 2001 16:16:40 -0400
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Vincent,

?

It was good speaking with you this afternoon.

?

NumeriX provides versatile solutions for the pricing and risk management of
complex derivative instruments. Of particular interest to Enron may be the
use of NumeriX Tools for supporting energy derivatives.

?

The energy solution provided is a versatile Excel/C/C++ environment for
structuring and pricing complex derivatives in the electricity marketplace.
The model is based on a microeconomic determination of one or multiple
electricity forward curves. Power demands by utility companies are balanced
with power generating plants'?production to determine the marginal price of
electricity for multiple geographic regions. Inter-regional transmission
constraints are imposed to calculate monthly forward prices for border
stations.

?

The?energy solution is based on Monte Carlo simulation. The regional power
demands and fossil fuel prices are modeled as random processes where model
parameters are determined from historical data. Marginal prices from
different regions are used to determine border prices. This procedure is
iterated over many scenarios and subsequent averages are taken to determine
the forward COB prices.

?

I. Overview

NumeriX is a leading provider of?modular analytical toolkits and
off-the-shelf applications that are used for structuring,?pricing
and?quantifying the risk?of any?type of complex?financial instrument?or
exotic derivative.?NumeriX solutions are designed for easy integration with
existing in-house or third-party trading or risk management applications.
NumeriX solutions include:

NumeriX Tools
NumeriX FI
NumeriX FX
NumeriX EQ

Some of the key benefits of NumeriX solutions include:

Support for all asset classes
Fixed Income Instruments
Equity Instruments
Foreign Exchange Instruments
Commodity Derivatives
Credit Derivatives
Insurance Products
Ability to value any complex?financial instrument?or exotic derivative
Increased instrument-valuation precision
Leading-edge valuation models and calibration routines
Enhanced risk management solutions
Stable development platform for building pricing and riskmanagement solutions?

II. NumeriX Analytics

?

NumeriX?provides comprehensive solutions?that feature advanced tree,
simulation (Monte Carlo), stochastic mesh and calibration methods for the
following models:

One-factor models:
Hull-White/Extended Vasicek
Black-Karasinski
Black-Derman-Toy
Black-Scholes
Multi-factor models:
Multi-factor Hull-White
Multi-factor Black-Karasinski
Brace-Gatarek-Musiela/Jamshidian

NumeriX provides a Monte Carlo methodology that employs leading-edge
technology with the following features/benefits:

Increased accuracy and faster convergence
Better sampling of tail events
Adaptive number generation
Points do not cluster or leave voids
Support for correlated sequences
Generates normal and lognormal sequential processes or
concurrent?distributions with optional continuous or discrete bounds
Supports public domain and NumeriX developed sequence generators

III. NumeriX Tools

?

NumeriX Tools is a suite of innovative development tools that provide speed,
flexibility and ease of use for all aspects of derivatives pricing and risk
management, including building new instruments and new models. A collection
of object-oriented modules accessed through a well-designed interface
available in C or C++, it includes core mathematical and computational
functions required for complex derivatives pricing and risk management.?
NumeriX Tools supports all financial asset classes and is designed to
maximize flexibility and minimize development and computation time, each
component of the NumeriX Tools integrates many cutting-edge algorithms into
one intelligent, easy-to-use API.

?

IV. NumeriX Applications

?

NumeriX FI, designed for traders and risk managers, is a comprehensive and
flexible off-the-shelf application for structuring, pricing, and quantifying
the risk of any type of complex fixed-income instrument, interest-rate
derivative, or exotic structure. NumeriX FI offers flexible and robust
instrument-definition and structuring capabilities with advanced tree,
simulation (Monte Carlo), stochastic-mesh and calibration methods for both
single-factor and multi-factor pricing models.

?

NumeriX FX provides valuation and risk management for a wide collection of
plain and exotic foreign exchange options. NumeriX FX includes a variety of
Black-Scholes pricing models with a choice of tree- or Monte Carlo-based
simulation methodologies.

?

NumeriX EQ provides valuation and risk management for a wide collection of
exotic equity derivatives including barriers, basket options, chooser
structures and convertible bonds. Please note that NumeriX EQ is in
development and scheduled for release in Q3 of 2001.

?

NumeriX CR provides valuation and risk management for a wide collection of
exotic credit derivatives including credit swaps, asset swaps, total return
swaps, spread options, credit-linked notes and credit basket structures.
Please note that NumeriX CR is in development and scheduled for release in
the later half of 2001.

?

NumeriX solutions are?platform independent (Windows NT or Unix) and provided
in?the form of C and C++ libraries?that are available either as?a modular
toolkit,?designed to minimize?the development time for?structuring new
products or models, or?as an application solution. NumeriX application
solutions are available as an Excel application or as?DLLs designed for quick
and easy integration with any third-party trading, risk management or
straight-through processing trade support application.

?

Attached you will find some additional materials describing specific NumeriX
solutions.

?

I look forward to speaking with you on Monday April 9, 2001 at 1:30 your time
(2:30 PM NY time).

???

If you have any questions please feel free to give me a call at (212)
302-6225.

?

Sincerely,

?

?

Dean Tallam

?
- NumeriX Tools-Detailed 2001.pdf
- NumeriX FI 2001.pdf