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From:a..roberts@enron.com
To:ragan.bond@enron.com, home.greg@enron.com, jay.knoblauh@enron.com,dan.mccairns@enron.com, gregory.schockling@enron.com, stephane.brodeur@enron.com, chad.clark@enron.com, mike.cowan@enron.com, john.disturnal@enron.com, chris.dorland@enron.com, lon.dr
Subject:Saturday 11/17 WX 4KZ
Cc:
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Date:Sat, 17 Nov 2001 06:59:24 -0800 (PST)

Good Morning!

Bottom line: No Changes.

For the near term (1-5), we see some cool anomalies arriving into the Dakotas by Monday already, with highs in the Dakotas in the mid-30s and lows in the mid-teens.By Tuesday, Texas and the Midwest will be in the below normal category, with Dallas overnights in the mid-30s (normal low 43), Houston's low in the mid-40s (normal upper-40s) and Chicago will freeze, with a mid-20 overnight. Progressing into the Northeast by wednesday, Philly and New York will get into the below normal category, but 5 or 6 degree anomalies are most likely. Looks like a three day event as it moves easterly and then is followed by moderation into the...

6-10 Day time period, which will see a cool shot over the Midwest/East towards next weekend, moderating again by early the following week. Then, early in the...

11-15 Day time period, more cool air moves in, beginning with central cooling, then even into the Southeast.

So, with normals dropping across the nation, this first cool air anomaly event arriving in the Midwest by Tuesday will elevate the nation's gas demand requirements into the 60 Bcf/d plus regime from here on through the winter. Here's the strip beginning with today:

Sat 11/17 47 Bcfd
Sun 11/18 52 Bcfd
Mon 11/19 55 Bcfd
Tue 11/20 67 Bcfd
Wed 11/21 69 Bcfd
Thu 11/22 65 Bcfd
Fri 11/23 65 Bcfd
Sat 11/24 63 Bcfd
Sun 11/25 63 Bcfd
Mon 11/26 65 Bcfd
Tue 11/27 65 Bcfd

Till tomorrow,

The Weather Team