Enron Mail |
Jeff, I understand at last week's PRC you asked Dick what the difference was
between EECC, and, say, Brown and Root. Let me try and answer that and at the same time provide my recommendations on how EECC should evolve inside the new Enron. a. Enron does not "need" EECC; however, Enron has realized extra value from the EECC model since 1990. b. EECC has taken an Enron liability (construction risk) and turned it into an asset (net income). The risk was incurred by Enron's decision to build assets around the world. c. Enron could have out-sourced most or all of its engineering and construction management since 1990; but for about the same market price and contract value, EECC has performed this work and accumulated over $250MM of net income for Enron. d. In addition, EECC has performed the work generally in a manner superior to the rest of the industry. We have avoided disasters experienced by Brown and Root, Black and Veatch, Snamprogetti, Raytheon, and Stone and Webster, which presumably could have occurred while performing Enron's work. We've out performed them because we had better risk management skills. e. Cost avoidance: In addition to performing this work at market price and at the same time making $250MM net income, as Jack Urquhart pointed out at the last Board meeting, we have avoided tens and tens of millions of dollars of extra cost during execution. The Enron portfolio of construction risks averages in billions of dollars, so even 1 or 2 percent in nuisance-type change orders from outside contractors would have added up to substantial extra costs. f. ROIC: as we recognized the Enron deal flow was decreasing, we were asked in the last two to three budget cycles to maintain or grow our net income. Therefore, we embarked on non-Enron third-party construction business. This marginal income has increased our use of working capital. Still, this year's return on all our working capital will be about $22%, down from 29% last year, but still a 25% average over two years which is not unreasonable. You asked about the details of our working capital; I'm scheduled to brief you on 2 Oct. g. Internal flexibility: there have been many instances over the years where having an internal contractor has enhanced the ability of an Enron developer to close the deal. For example, on the 1999 Peakers, although other companies have out-sourced the same type of work, I assure you that because of the late start getting going by the Enron developers, having to out-source would of easily cost us four to six weeks of summer revenues on the schedule. On our current Dabhol LNG project, an outside turnkey contractor would never be motivated to try and maintain the current schedule, given the weaknesses in the Owners' contractual positions, including quarry suitability and subsea surface rock surprises, etc. Many other examples abound. h. Downsizing risks: I think the risk to Enron of what happens to a large EECC in the event of downsizing during a market cycle is misconceived. EECC in Houston has about 350 employees, many of whom are accountants, lawyers, contract specialists, program managers, all of whom have skill sets which are in demand in other Enron business units. Therefore, any downsizing of EECC, if done over a reasonable period of time should be able to avoid a significant severance cost risk. Nevertheless, as Enron changes to a less-asset dependent company, and because of the current value in monetizing assets, the need for change is necessary. I think it is important to agree on a clear plan and brief our employees, all of whom are stressed by the uncertainty of where they're going. This will have a negative impact on the company's performance, unless addressed. My recommendations for evolving EECC is as follows: a. Sell NEPCO and phase out other non-Enron third-party lump sum work (already on-going). b. Define a "slice" of EECC in Houston as "NEPCO-Houston," and package this with the NEPCO sell. A buyer might value the EECC-Houston expertise in cogeneration and gas-related services. c. Finish the Enron work now under contract, which will take from one to two years. d. Continue to self-perform any new Enron work in the future which I see centered in North America, Europe and possibly Brazil where assets may be required to enhance the Enron networks being developed for trading purposes. I think it would be a mistake to allow the decentralized business units to attempt to manage outside EPC contractors without a residual Center of Excellence (EECC). e. Move EECC inside EES, allowing EES to take advantage of a continued income stream from EECC. A subsequent step would be to merge the infrastructure between EES' Global Services and EECC. f. Slowly downsize the company as the current work evolves and the work load permits. g. Continue to develop engineering services for customers, without taking construction risks, but taking advantage of our reputation for due diligence and risk mitigation. I think this effort could fit well inside EES as another service provided by Enron. h. Continue EECC's initiative to develop an E-commerce revenue stream, currently being undertaken in coordination with Enron Networks, but relying on EECC's intellectual capital, lessons learned and contacts in the industry. I think we have good potential for this opportunity, which is actively underway. In summary, EECC's assets are the intellectual capital of its people and the collective systems and procedures it has developed. Both can continue to provide value to Enron inside EES. I've been discussing details with Lou and Joe, but I strongly recommend we agree on a clearly defined plan and allow me to communicate it to our employees. LI43200
|