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Subject:(ClearStation) Recommendation : EMC (Long) by kensey , Wed Dec 13
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Date:Wed, 13 Dec 2000 07:01:00 -0800 (PST)

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'kensey' has recommended EMC (Long) at Dec 13 2000 3:15PM

EMC Corp ( NYSE : EMC )
Computer - Storage Devices : 0 new highs in group of 31

Symbol Last Time Change High Low Volume
----- ---- ---- ----- ---- --- -----
EMC 79.12 2:55PM -3.00 87.00 77.75 11,779,800

Community Take
--------------
627 Long / 26 Short

'kensey' said:
Wed Dec 13 15:05:07 2000

find EMC attractive at 77 1/2. launching accumulation operations.
meaning, time perspective is 'long term core technology holding'.
unless (of course) the fundamentals deteriorate.

will they?

briefings take from a bit ago.

16-Nov-00 11:23 ET

EMC Corp. (EMC)90 +1 3/16: A forward p/e of 87x is not scaring Bank of
America Securities from initiating coverage of the king of storage
infrastructure
with a Strong Buy and a 12-month $120 price target. The analyst views EMC as
a core holding for technology investors and believes storage is an essential
component of Internet infrastructure. Also, Bank of America believes EMC is
one of five pillars of technology, joining Microsoft, Intel, Cisco and
Sun....EMC's
two goals are: 1) while EMC dominates the storage area network (SAN) arena,
they are looking to penetrate the network attached storage (NAS) space and 2)
increase software to reach 20% of sales. Entering the NAS field is a cause
for concern for investors of players in that space, particularly Network
Appliance
(NTAP), the NAS leader. EMC's management believes the company will be the
leader in the NAS market in 2001. The company believes that the upcoming
launch of its new mid-market appliance will go a long way towards achieving
this goal. This mid-range NAS product, code-named Chameleon could be a drag
on the shares of NTAP when unveiled. While EMC has a long way to go before
outstaging NTAP in the NAS space, this launch will be a precursor of
additional
competition which would pressure margins. Network Appliance recently warned
of slowing sequential growth rates. On the software front, EMC's recent
purchase of CrosStor is the latest of several software acquisitions in its
effort to boost software sales to 20%. The industry is realizing that
software is one of the
key features that separates a million-dollar EMC storage system from a few
dozen $500 hard disks. EMC uses software to fend off increasing competition
from
IBM, Sun Microsystems and others. However, the CrosStor acquisition is a help
to both of EMC's goal as its software is primarily used in the NAS
market....EMC is unique in that it provides an end-to-end storage
infrastructure portfolio consisting of storage systems (both SAN and NAS),
software,
networking and service and support. We believe the company has tremendous
upside, but at such a high multiple, we would be wary of entering the stock
at these
levels. -- Robert J. Reid, Briefing.com

the key point briefing seems to make is that the fundamental story is
intact and that management is moving in agro fashion to get more
revenue streams on-line. one objective : number 1 category player
in NAS. that sounds overly agro. which is good regardless of
whether they get there by 2001.

the caveat briefing notes is that valuation issues need to be worked out.
this note was penned with the stock at 90. it is now at 77. so these
issues do seem to be working themselves out.

support at 76 and then 72.

important to watch interactive of price and volume at these
important support points.

what moves the market next? that seems quite clear : the tuesday FOMC
meeting. feeling here is that after this bit of selling dries up, the market
rallies into the FOMC meeting. the selling seems to be on relatively low
volume and of the profit taking garden variety.

kensey




See the annotated graph of this recommendation at:

http://www.clearstation.com/cgi-bin/bbs?Cmd=post&post_id=1864135
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