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Enron Mail |
Dave,
Per my voicemail. Please give me a call on this. Mike ---------------------- Forwarded by Mike McConnell/HOU/ECT on 08/08/2000 09:04 AM --------------------------- Daniel Reck 08/07/2000 06:34 PM To: Mike McConnell/HOU/ECT@ECT, Jeffrey A Shankman/HOU/ECT@ECT cc: George McClellan/HOU/ECT@ECT Subject: draft Mike and Jeff: Attached is a copy of the Pacificorp presentation from last week. To reiterate, the key commercial risk issues are: 1) Tax--Jordan Mintz has a high degree of confidence regarding the qualifications of the Pacificorp machines. Thorough due dilligence will be required to investigate the representations made in the private letter ruling applications. 2) Syndication--Joe Deffner and Tim Proffitt are working to find monetizers. Ideally, the monetizers would close when we do. Realistically, we have to assume that we will bridge the deal and wear equity risk until we can shed our ownership. Pacificorp has expressed an interest in staying in as 25% owner, which should reduce the bridge risk, since we can show the former owner staying in the game. 3) Operations--The risk of operations will lie with the holders of the equity. Post-syndication, the new owners can contract directly with an operator. For tax purposes the owner needs to have some risk. We will guide the monetizers to this risk. If we have to indemnify them in this area, we will need to better understand the available insurance products. 4) Marketing--This is the risk the coal desk is trying to acquire. The desk believes that the coal/synfuel spread risk will decrease dramatically over the next 12-18 months. We have put $6.00/ton into the model, and the desk will buy $3.00/ton today for seven years. The current market is anywhere from $1.00-3.00/ton. We have also developed a list of strong sites that are looking for machines, three of which we control, either through options or marketing agreements. The economics of the deal are compelling. We put out $100mm to Pacificorp as an equity bridge (maybe less if they stay in as 25% owner). We collect $30-50mm in commodity spread origination, and another $30-50mm in equity origination. Commercially, the deal makes sense, and I am confident that we can structure around the risks. The decision we need from senior management is whether this is a game we want to play. The machines fit into the letter of the law. Big companies (AIG, Florida Progress, Detroit Edison, etc.) have joined in the reindeer games. We can put on the position we want by bridging this deal. On the flip side, people have heartburn over "spirit of the law" issues and those are questions that senior management has to decide. We have a chance to move on these machines, but need to make up our mind by the end of this week whether to put resources on it. We can back out later (our commitment so far is non-binding), but we can't get back in. Please let me know your thoughts. Regards, Dan
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