|
|
Enron Mail |
=20 -----Original Message----- From: TD Waterhouse [mailto:eServices@tdwaterhouse.com] Sent: Monday, February 04, 2002 4:07 PM To: sneal4@houston.rr.com Subject: Market Insight: Economic Recovery to the Rescue [IMAGE] [IMAGE] =09 [IMAGE]=09 =09Open an IRA and get a year of MONEY from TD Waterhouse Get control of = your retirement when you open a TD Waterhouse IRA - and receive a complim= entary one-year subscription to MONEY magazine. Learn more . =09=09 [IMAGE]=09[IMAGE]=09[IMAGE]=09 [IMAGE]=09 Market Insight for February 4, 2002=09 [IMAGE]=09 [IMAGE] Economic Recovery to the Rescue By Arnie Kaufman, Editor, The Ou= tlook =09 Stay with a positive investment approach. =09 Corporate accounting and earnings quality issues, high P/Es and fear of a= dditional terrorism remain a drag on the market. Another restraint: Dynami= c leadership is absent and may not be seen until signs of improvement in = information technology spending breathe new life into that deeply depresse= d sector. But barring dramatic new financial irregularity disclosures, th= e chances are good the market will soon start moving forward again. The dr= iving force, we believe, will be an improving economy. S&P chief economi= st David Wyss feels that if inventory rebuilding accelerates sharply in th= e period just ahead, it is possible the first quarter will show strong GDP= growth and the second quarter a relapse into negative territory. He point= s out that the 1990-91 recession was the only one since the 1950s that did= not have a positive quarter sandwiched between down quarters. Wyss thinks= the more likely scenario, however, is a smoother pace of inventory accumu= lation and rising quarter-to-quarter GDP growth through 2002. This forecas= t implies upward-trending earnings this year and next. Investors, burned= badly by the 2000-2001 bear market, are in a show-me state of mind. Short= sellers and others who bet stocks will fall have become bolder lately, an= d institutions have been moving cautiously. All of this suggests that a go= od deal of fuel for an advance exists. It wasn't a good omen that the S&= P 500 index slipped in January, losing 1.6%. As mentioned a week ago, of t= he 19 times in the postwar period that the "500" has fallen in January, th= e index then went on to score a gain for the full year only seven times an= d suffered a loss for the year 12 times. That was against a backdrop of 2.= 4 up years for each down year for the 56 years from 1946 through 2001. O= n the other hand, a decline in the S&P 500 this year would be the third in= a row, and that hasn't happened since 1941.=09 As a TD Waterhouse customer, you can view a complete copy of S&P's The Out= look (a $298 value) for FREE. Just select 'News & Research' when you login= to yourTD Waterhouse account . The Outlook is available under Other Repor= ts.=09 =09=09 [IMAGE] =09 =09=09 Access Your Tax Documents Online You can now access your tax docume= nts online. To view and print a FREE copy of your Consolidated 1099 or Yea= r-End Summary Statement, login to your account , click on 'My Account,' th= en 'eServices.' =09 [IMAGE]=09[IMAGE]=09[IMAGE]=09 Your feedback is important to us! E-mail us with any questions or comment= s at eServices@tdwaterhouse.com TD Waterhouse Investor Services, Inc. = Member NYSE/SIPC. Access to services and your account may be affected by = market conditions, system performance or for other reasons. Under no circu= mstances should the information herein be construed as a recommendation, o= ffer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy a particular security. The= article and opinions herein are obtained from unaffiliated third parties = and are provided for informational purposes only. While the information is= deemed reliable, TD Waterhouse cannot guarantee its accuracy, completenes= s or suitability for any purpose and makes no warranties with regard to th= e results to be obtained from its use. To unsubscribe to this service, l= ogin to your account and select 'My Account' then 'My Info.' Or e-mail us= at eServices@tdwaterhouse.com =09
|