Retail short

Don,

We got curves and spread option value from Structuring. Ben and I are
finalising the first model based on following valuation method;

Valuation of Retail Short =
+ 1. Revenue from serving load (to get 12% IRR)
+ 2. Expense from serving load at the market
+ 3. Spread option value for full capacity
+ 4. ICAP ($1.00/kw-mo for first 6 months)
- 5. Fixed expenses

Someone may think #2 (Expense from serving load at the market) is redundant,
which maybe true, but I still think it is not double counting.

#1, 2, and 3 can be written as follows: (Pees - Pmkt)*Lees + Max[(Pmkt - MC),
0]*Capa, where Pees is Energy price charged to EES, Pmkt is Market price of
power, Lees is EES load, MC is Marginal cost of peaker, and Capa is Capacity
of peaker. Therefore,

If (Pmkt - MC) < 0, (Pees - Pmkt)*Lees,
If (Pmkt - MC) < 0, (Pees - Pmkt)*Lees + (Pmkt - MC)*Capa,
(Pees - Pmkt)*Lees + (Pmkt - MC)*Lees + (Pmkt - MC)*(Capa-Lees),
(Pees - Pmkt + Pmkt - MC)*Lees + (Pmkt - MC)*(Capa-Lees),
(Pees - MC)*Lees + (Pmkt - MC)*(Capa-Lees).

This correctly shows our structure, I think. I will try to talk to you today
after we finish model. Thank you.

Jinsung
(37330)