Enron Mail

From:lisa.mellencamp@enron.com
To:b..sanders@enron.com
Subject:FW: Current Fate of SB 78xx
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Tue, 11 Sep 2001 08:16:10 -0700 (PDT)



-----Original Message-----
From: =09Jonathan Thomas <jthomas@saybrook.net<@ENRON =20
Sent:=09Monday, September 10, 2001 8:59 PM
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Subject:=09RE: Current Fate of SB 78xx


Based on numerous discussions with members and staff in Sacramento, the be=
st speculation on the status of the SCE bailout legislation is as follows.=
The Senate is reviewing the amended SB 78xx approved by the Assembly las=
t Thursday. They will not approve it as is. Instead, they will "hijack" =
one of a number of Assembly bills on energy currently before the Senate fo=
r concurrence. "Hijacking" means gutting a bill and substituting in langu=
age on related but different matters. Hence, they would in this instance =
keep the energy theme but change the bill in question to an SCE bailout bi=
ll, one that largely resembles the Polanco-Sher bill approved by the Senat=
e in July. The hijacked bill will deal with the bailout itself (DCR for n=
on-generator creditors, etc.) and the conservation easements, but will str=
ip out other elements that differ from the Polanco-Sher bill like direct a=
ccess, renewables, lowering the rate payer base to 20 kwh, etc. The direc=
t access and renewables elements might or might not be added on to some ot=
her energy bills currently before the Senate. The rate payer threshold wi=
ll be included in the hijacked bill and will likely be increased from 20 k=
wh to 125 kwh (note that the latter would be a reduction from the original=
500 kwh level in the Polanco-Sher bill).
=20
The Senate will send the hijacked bill back to the Assembly, probably on W=
ednesday. The Assembly will have the choice of taking it or leaving it OR=
calling for a conference committee to work it out before session ends mid=
night on Friday. The latter is the likely alternative, setting up round t=
he clock all nighters for the conferees through Friday. If the conference=
committee reaches consensus, the resulting bill will have to be approved =
by both houses before sending it to the Governor. If the conferees think =
there's a deal there but they need more time, they can ask the Governor to=
extend the session into next week. That scenario seems unlikely. The me=
mbers want to either pass or reject the bill this week and get out of Do=
dge.
=20
If there is no hope of consensus this week, the bill will likely die at th=
at point and the bailout will be history. The Governor can try to prolong=
things to give him more time to persuade members to pass the bill by eith=
er extending the session into next week or by adjourning the session and c=
alling for a Third Extraordinary Session next week or at some later date. =
The Senate and Assembly would be compelled to go into session, but just a=
s with a normal session, individual members would not be compelled to atte=
nd. If there were either (1) not enough members present for a quorum or (=
2) not enough "yes" votes present even if there is a quorum, the bill dies=
.
=20
I emphasize again that this is all conjecture at this point (albeit reason=
ably informed) and that things could change dramatically at any time. I'l=
l keep you posted as things play out day to day this week. Please feel fr=
ee to give me a call with any questions.
=20
JT