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FYI
----- Forwarded by Dan Lyons/HOU/ECT on 03/23/2001 10:53 AM ----- Garrick Hill 03/21/2001 06:17 PM To: Charles Ward/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Dan Lyons/HOU/ECT@ECT cc: Christopher Coffman/Corp/Enron@Enron, Dan Lyons/HOU/ECT@ECT Subject: Steve Tick's Restructuring Proposal Steve Tick's PPA restructuring proposal (which we now refer to as the "ten points of light") is generally as follows: The partnership agrees to amend the interest rate adjustment to capacity charges, which effectively lowers capacity revenue by virtue of a lower $/kW-mo. charge. Per Steve, the modified adjustment should take into account plant capacity, use of the term vs. construction loan amount and a 1.00 vs. 1.25 coverage ratio. Steve also advocates that the loan balance be reduced for the development fee collected by Tenaska at close; I wouldn't go there, as Steve has told me on a number of occasions that Brazos doesn't know about this fee. The partnership agrees to change how the capacity rate is applied (he advocates charging the new capacity rate on 240 MW and charging 50% of the new capacity rate on the next 23 MW), which effectively lowers capacity revenue by virtue of fewer billing determinants. Steve's view is that items 1 and 2 need to amount to at least $3.5 MM in savings to Brazos per year; more is better, <$5.0 MM is a slam dunk The effects of items 1 and 2 are mitigated by (a) collecting a higher capacity rate for some period of time after 2019 and (2) adjusting energy rates through 2006 to recapture marginal energy losses. Steve's advice on these point is that we shouldn't be pigs. As I think you know, our exposure on point (b) is greatest when the plant runs at higher levels of capacity, which causes us to consume more than 45,000 Dth/day without adequate compensation through the PPA. Brazos purchases the development site for $x (he likes to use $15 MM, which I think is a stretch). Steve understands that we have a $7.5 MM termination payment obligation back to the original Tenaska IV partners to the extent we wish to convey the development assets, but believes Tenaska, Inc. would be willing to assume all or a portion of this commitment in exchange for an agreement w/Brazos that totally eliminates its officers' liability on fraud. Steve appears to believe this risk is real, or he wouldn't make such a big deal out of it. He points to the use of the 1.25 coverage assumption in the interest rate adjustment as clear evidence that Brazos made decisions based on an assumption that the Tenaska partners would earn only a reasonable risk-adjusted return on this project. Even Merrill Lynch, Brazos' financial advisor, bought off on this provision of the agreement. Steve is willing to go to bat with both Brazos and Tenaska on this point to see this to resolution. To the extent he's successful and we receive, for example, $10 MM for the development assets, this would be an immediate offset to the capacity payment reductions set out under items 1 and 2. The partnership converts the facility to EWG and, per Steve, shares the benefits with Brazos. My view is that this could just as easily be done by adjusting the heat rates used for tolling purposes (i.e., after 2006 and, to the extent applied in the energy pricing used to address his item 3, through 2006). The partnership removes distilled water equipment and sells it in the market. Steve thinks proceeds realized from the sale should be (a) shared (up to 100%) with Brazos or (b) used to purchase replacement blades that could be installed during the May outage to prevent summer downtime (obviously, timing is a key issue here). Brazos is granted the right to further reduce its contract payment obligations in ways that are similar to its Apache demand charge buy-out. This is a Steve Tick soap-box item; he uses it as an opportunity to remind Brazos that other value has been created during the facilitation process. Steve speaks to project-level debt restructuring, and suggests that Brazos be granted the right to affect this restructuring within parameters that are set by the partnership. I don't know what to do with this, but to say that I believe there is value to restructuring debt at the project-level with existing lenders in a way that leaves existing swaps in place. Inasmuch as we have always planned to take on structurally subordinated debt obligations, there is borrowing capacity at the project level. Since we would need to go to the banks for consents on any of the PPA/structural changes advocated by Steve, it would appear to make sense to tackle debt restructuring on the same pass. The banks would love a solution that puts the disputes to rest and should be willing to both consent and lend against the cash flow of the restructured project. CoBank, who has $70 MM of the project debt (which amortizes beginning in 2012), is one of the banks in the total return swap with KBC by virtue of syndication. Steve also advocates what he refers to as "equitable adjustments". In effect, he would establish a market index against which the all-in PPA price could be compared, and would have Brazos pay a premium over it's PPA price to the extent the market price floats above the PPA price. I think this is an interesting concept, but we can't count on value here. More importantly, I'm not aware of a transparent enough price to make this work in ERCOT. Finally, Steve advocates turning management of the project over to Brazos in return for a "hell or high water" commitment on capacity payments. Steve's view is that the "hell or high water" commitment, together with the settlement itself, makes PPE's partnership interests more marketable. I'm not sure we agree with his view of the risks relative to the overall liquidity of our interests. However, we need to recognize that he's working with substantially more information than we are at this point from the perspective of what he knows about Brazos' side of the case. My reaction is that there are things we can work with in Steve's proposal. Chris and I are looking at the pricing/cost offset details more closely, and should have something to discuss shortly. Dan, sorry I missed you yesterday. Let me know when you'd like to place the call to Tom Moore to update him on the current activity. Also, do you have a sense yet for who we'll be working with on this internally? Happy Trails... Rick
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