Enron Mail

From:jeffery.fawcett@enron.com
To:jeff.dasovich@enron.com
Subject:Textbook case of Leadership... not
Cc:susan.scott@enron.com, mbaldwin@igservice.com
Bcc:susan.scott@enron.com, mbaldwin@igservice.com
Date:Wed, 6 Dec 2000 01:23:00 -0800 (PST)

I've got Bilas's "winter of discontent." What a buffoon. It takes more guts
than a train robber to, on one hand, propose a spineless, ineffective
approach to dealing with what are now recognized as serious flaws in the
current regulatory structure, and in the same breath, go to the court of
public opinion and whine about a gas market spinning madly out of control.
Apparently, he's also setting the table for possible intervention in the
market by state lawmakers or regulators if we get any more "out of whack."

Are you going over to see Bilas today with Mike Day, et al.? Are we to
assume by Bilas's wishy-washy statements to the media that the Comprehensive
Settlement is still on the table? Thoughts, please.


Natural Gas Intelligence, Wednesday, December 6, 2000
CA Officials See Potential Gas Supply Problems
Some state officials already are dubbing the upcoming heating season as
California's "winter of discontent" as continued high wholesale natural gas
prices are driving up consumer bills and state regulators look at options for
unbundling Southern California Gas Co.'s transmission and storage system.
According to other state energy officials he talks with, Richard Bilas,
commissioner at the California Public Utilities Commission, said, "We could
have some real problems." Bilas, the former energy commissioner and
immediate-past president of the CPUC, has proposed a modest unbundling of
SoCalGas' system, given the current energy price volatility, in a proposed
settlement decision now being reviewed. Action on the proposed decision could
come Dec. 21, but observers predict alternate orders will be offered by some
of Bilas's colleagues on the five-member CPUC, and that could push into next
year final action.
If gas prices continue at their precedent-setting levels, California likely
will be intervening at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission as it already
has been doing regarding last summer's electricity price spikes, Bilas said.
"There are a lot of things the state can do, but whether they are done is a
matter of philosophical and political judgment," he said. "If gas prices get
totally out whack in the view of a number of state decision-makers, there is
likely to be intervention on behalf of the state into gas pricing. And I
don't know if any of that serves the public well in the long run, but this is
a short-run political problem."
As for his proposed decision on settlement for the unbundling of the
SoCalGas's system, Bilas is unsure at this point if it will stimulate a more
robust core aggregation market --- now almost a decade old --- with added
volumes and marketers. He said he needs to hear from participants in the
market in response to the proposed decision, which basically adopts the more
modest compromise of three different settlements filed with the CPUC.
"I'll know better where this proposed decision is going in another two weeks
after I have talked with the other commissioners and some of the parties,"
said Bilas, noting that the pending gas settlements should be the last major
changes in California's gas market for awhile, unless the state legislature
decides to get involved as it has on several occasions in the past three
years.
"Everything to do with gas matters statewide is on the table and I am not
going to make any predictions," Bilas said during a telephone interview in
which he expressed concerns about both natural gas and electricity issues in
California in the coming year. He said the supply-demand imbalance for the
state's electricity market needs long-term solutions, but he thinks
short-term political answers will win out.
Bilas said the recent state energy commission conclusion that California's
electricity needs can be met with the existing plants underway or proposed
could pan out, but only if an unlikely combination of three factors converge:
all the plants now on the drawing board actually get built, no major electric
or gas transmission bottlenecks occur, and energy prices stabilize.
"Even if all of the proposed plants came on line in two years rather than
three, I think we still would have problems," he said. "Let's face it, demand
for electricity in the Pacific Northwest and California is growing like
crazy. So, until there is something done on the demand side, so we get some
demand responsiveness, just attacking the supply side I don't think is going
to do it."