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Enron Mail |
Dear Equity, Good morning! * The Bush Administration is working with members of the Senate Banking Committee to reach an agreement on terrorism insurance legislation. The design of the plan resembles the Bush Administration's proposal of a temporary program under which the federal government will pay a certain percentage of claims from a terrorist attacks during the next few years. * We are now in the 5th week of the end of recession rally. Each week that goes by where stocks and bonds move up together, the more convinced we get of a V shaped recovery. * There is a great package of news suggesting that inflation plunges over the next few months: -- Consumer inflation expectations down sharply -- German import prices declining -- Tokyo CPI continues to decline -- Philly Fed Prices Paid plunging * After bouncing for 3 weeks, our overall company surveys index of 14 industries declined last week. * Although capex has already been weak, it is likely to continue to weaken in Q4 as suggested by surging layoff announcements. Managements making the tough decision to lay off workers are likely to also cut capex. * JIM MOLTZ HAS SWITCHED HIS RECOMMENDATION IN TECH FROM AN UNDER-WEIGHT TO MARKET-WEIGHT. TABLE OF CONTENTS p.5....5th Week For End-Of-Recession, Liquidity Driven, S&P Strong Advance p.4....Inflation Set To Plunge p.6....Economic Bounce Fading? p.9....Extreme Weakness In Capex p.12...More Synchronized Weakness p.13...2002 Growth Likely To Be Stronger Than Expected Please click below for the entire ECONOMY, MONEY & MARKETS report. http://www.isigrp.com/isip/lib21/1501/31632/10-29emm.html If you have problems working with PDF files integrated in your browser, then click below to access the link in a way that will let you save the file to disk before viewing or printing it. http://www.isigrp.com/isip/down/1501/31632/10-29emm.pdf All the best, Freddy Victoria 212/446-9413
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