Re: US Election

Thanks. I like this format...please keep me updated. Jeff

Robert Johnston
10/26/2000 05:16 PM
To: Mike McConnell/HOU/ECT@ECT, Jeffrey A Shankman/HOU/ECT@ECT
cc:
Subject: US Election

We are tracking the poll numbers and trends heading into the election. Still
too close to call, but momentum may be swinging back to Gore.

The major tracking polls: Bush Leading in 4, Gore in 1.

ABC CNN MSNBC Voter W.Post
Bush 48 49 43 44 47
Gore 46 42 45 40 45

Note that Bush is leading in West Virginia and Louisiana, what should be Gore
states, but Gore is leading in Florida and Ohio, two "must-win" Bush states.
Gore is trending favorably in large vote-rich states including not only
Florida and Ohio, but also New Jersey and Pennsylvania as well as traditional
Democratic strongholds such as Minnesota and Wisconsin. One caveat is that
today's NYT Florida poll is the flip of yesterday's Florida Sun Sentinel
Florida poll that showed Bush leading (46-41). Bush has changed his schedule
and is on his way to Ohio tonight.

Latest State Polls: "Bad News" for Both

??? ??? AZ CO FL* LA* MI NJ

Bush 49 44 42 45 42 41
Gore 39 40 46 34 44 47
Nader 3 3 3 4 3 4
Buchanan 0 1 1 3 -- 1

OH* OK PA WA WV* WI

Bush 43 51 33 37 46 39
Gore 45 40 44 46 36 46
Nader 1 -- 1 3 -- 5
Buchanan -- 2 0 -- -- --