Enron Mail

From:marc.ulrich@enron.com
To:janine.migden@enron.com
Subject:Re: Com Ed
Cc:jeff.ader@enron.com, mark.bernstein@enron.com, edward.baughman@enron.com,harry.kingerski@enron.com, james.steffes@enron.com, roy.boston@enron.com, daniel.allegretti@enron.com, eric.letke@enron.com, mike.roan@enron.com, susan.landwehr@enron.com, rich
Bcc:jeff.ader@enron.com, mark.bernstein@enron.com, edward.baughman@enron.com,harry.kingerski@enron.com, james.steffes@enron.com, roy.boston@enron.com, daniel.allegretti@enron.com, eric.letke@enron.com, mike.roan@enron.com, susan.landwehr@enron.com, rich
Date:Mon, 30 Apr 2001 07:56:00 -0700 (PDT)

Below is a rough estimate of the book impact if ComEd succeeds in ending PPO
early. That is, if they terminate PPO starting Jan. 2005 it should cost us
$1.2m, if they want to terminate Jan. 2004 it would be an impact of $3.1m
($1.2m for 2005 + $1.9m for 2004), etc.



These costs can be reduced with a liquid market for wholesale power and
ancillary services.

Let's discuss our suggested changes.

Marc Ulrich






Janine Migden@ENRON

04/30/2001 10:09 AM

To: Jeff Ader/HOU/EES@EES, Mark Bernstein/HOU/EES@EES, Edward D
Baughman/Enron@EnronXGate, Marc Ulrich/HOU/EES@EES, Harry
Kingerski/NA/Enron@Enron, James D Steffes/NA/Enron@Enron, Roy
Boston/HOU/EES@EES, Daniel Allegretti/NA/Enron@Enron, Eric Letke/HOU/EES@EES,
Mike Roan/ENRON@enronXgate
cc: Susan M Landwehr/NA/Enron@Enron, Richard Shapiro/NA/Enron@Enron
Subject: Com Ed

Last week, Sue and I, along with Phil O'Connor of New Energy met with Frank
Clark ( Senior V.P. Exelon - Government Affairs, etc) and Arlene Juracek
(V.P. Rates and Tariffs). Sue and I also met with Commissioners Hurley and
Harvill.

Information Gleaned From the Meeting:

1. Com Ed does not think price volatility will be acceptable to the
residential customers and wants to create a structured rate. They are not
open to any alternative that causes them to lose money.
2. They will file a rate case in 2004 to be effective in 2005. They are not
sure the statute requires them to file an MVI plus 10% at the end of the PPO
period and need to study the statutory requirements. Their preference is to
initiate performanced based ratemaking instead for bundled rates.
3. Com Ed's view is that the energy situation is a national problem. Com
Ed wants to be protected through its commodity price.
4. Com Ed does not want the obligation to serve industrial customers and on
a longer term basis, would like to shed its obligation to serve residential.
5. Com Ed has arbitrarily defined mass market as 400kw or less and has
therefore lumped these commercial customers in with their residential,
however, they are open to separating them out.
6. Com Ed does not want the legislation reopened which may provide us with
some leverage.

At the conclusion of the meeting it was decided to start an open forum
process to get ideas on the table. Com Ed is shying away from any formal
process. Their concern seems to be that they do not want to take the
political heat for high prices and volatility and would rather give up its
default customer service obligations.

Possible Deal Opportunities:

1. Either through negotiations (preferred choice) or through competitive
bidding, become the default service provider for some or all of Com Ed's
industrial customers. This would allow us to upsell additional products to
the industrial class.
2. Segregate the commercial customers (100 - 400 Kw) customers from the
residential customers and negotiate to become the default service provider.
3. Joint venture between ENA and New Power to be the default service
provider for portions of the residential class through an opt-out program
like municipal aggregation or some other format.

Next Steps:

1. Mark Ulrich is to complete an analysis of the Com Ed proposal in terms of
its impact on our current book of business
2. Develop a position boiled down to just a few key points that we can push
with regulators and Com Ed. In a conference call with Harry, Mark, Roy, Sue
and me, we have tentatively distilled the list to the following:
a. Default deal for industrial customers
b. Negotiate for Com Ed to provide load following and balancing
c. Default deal for commercial as opposed to PBR

Janine