Enron Mail

From:kristin.walsh@enron.com
To:john.lavorato@enron.com, louise.kitchen@enron.com
Subject:California Update 5/29/01
Cc:christopher.calger@enron.com, christian.yoder@enron.com,steve.hall@enron.com, mike.swerzbin@enron.com, phillip.allen@enron.com, tim.belden@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com, chris.gaskill@enron.com, mike.grigsby@enron.com, tim.heizenrader@enron.com
Bcc:christopher.calger@enron.com, christian.yoder@enron.com,steve.hall@enron.com, mike.swerzbin@enron.com, phillip.allen@enron.com, tim.belden@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com, chris.gaskill@enron.com, mike.grigsby@enron.com, tim.heizenrader@enron.com
Date:Tue, 29 May 2001 04:31:00 -0700 (PDT)

Executive Summary
? California Treasurer Angelides Sets Dates for Bridge Loans & Bonds
? California's Supreme Court May See Challenge to "Plan B"

Angelides on Bridge Loans and Bonds
CA Treasurer Angelides has said that beginning 15 August, the state will set
up a bridge loan. The revenue bonds will not be issued until September or
October. Angelides is not concerned about a cash crisis in July or August.
However, he is quite worried about problems with cash flow in October and
November. This is based on calculations he has done with numbers from the
DWR and from other parts of the government, not on payment terms for power.
He fears there will be a cash management problem.

California Supreme Court to Challenge "Plan B"
California Attorney Michael Sturmwasser is expected to challenge "Plan B"
before the California Supreme Court on the basis that it results in a
retroactive rate increase and that it removes the PUC's authority to review
power purchases. This is because "Plan B" enables SoCal to collect a
dedicated rate component to pay both its undercollect and its expenses going
forward. SoCal (and PG&E) would have to be guaranteed this dedicated rate
component to be able to operate going forward and remain credit-worthy. This
takes the burden of financing the energy crisis away from the state and off
the state's balance sheet, a key goal of lawmakers. However, at the same
time, it also abrogates the PUC from its responsibility to review power
purchases. The state cannot give the utilities a blank check (in the form of
a dedicated rate component) to operate without taking authority away from the
PUC. According to the California constitution, the legislature can add to
the responsibilities of the PUC, but it cannot take away powers from the
PUC. At the same time, ratepayers will be paying an additional surcharge for
power that they have already used. Sources describe Sturmwasser's case as
"arguable"; in other words, it has a fair chance of succeeding. However,
regardless of whether the challenge succeeds or fails, it is very likely to
cloud the issue of the bail-out and significantly deflate the prospects of
the Plan B.

If FERC were to impose cost-based controls on power prices, sources believe
it might "go a long way toward avoiding these problems." Were this to
happen, the PUC could declare FERC's rates "just and reasonable," which would
likely greatly lessen the crisis and keep SoCal liquid. However, such
measures by FERC require significant lead time. Sources state that "the
state needs to tease the feds into doing this." This can be done by
conducting studies to obtain current cost data and update the data FERC would
use for determining the cost controls. Sources report that this process of
"teasing" FERC has not yet started. This is chiefly because California
politicians are focused on flat price caps, which FERC is very unlikely to
impose. It appears the state is asking FERC for the wrong measures, which is
delaying the process. The only way for the state to avoid these
constitutional issues would be for the state to purchase the utilities, as
municipal entities would not be subject to PUC regulation. However, there
remains very significant opposition to this idea, especially on the
Republican side. A state purchase of the utilities would likely only gain
momentum once Plan B began to fail for the reasons cited above.
Additionally, a state purchase of the utilities would be less expensive were
both utilities in bankruptcy.

Sturmwasser is a partner at Sturmwasser & Woocher, a Santa Monica law firm.
(His offices are on the top floor of the tallest building in Santa Monica,
overlooking the beach.) He has been a utilities lawyer for over 30 years.
His clients include the consumer advocacy group TURN (Toward Utilities Rate
Normalcy), among others. Sturmwasser will reportedly look for funding to
support the legal challenge, but if he cannot find money elsewhere, he will
likely be able to support it out of his own pocket.