Enron Mail

From:linda.robertson@enron.com
To:mark.palmer@enron.com, richard.shapiro@enron.com, steven.kean@enron.com,pat.shortridge@enron.com, john.shelk@enron.com
Subject:Fantastic Article in wash post on Refunds
Cc:
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Date:Fri, 6 Jul 2001 02:02:00 -0700 (PDT)

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California Changes Stance on Refunds
Two Sides Far Apart In Energy Talks
By Peter Behr
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, July 6, 2001; Page E01
California officials have abruptly shifted tactics in their attempt to
recover billions of dollars in alleged overcharges for electricity, saying
they may reduce their demands for huge refunds if generators renegotiate $43
billion in long-term electricity contracts that the state signed this year.
Gov. Gray Davis (D) said part of the $8.9 billion in refunds the state is
seeking could be offset by reductions in energy prices in the long-term
contracts, whose costs have become a growing political embarrassment for
Davis.
"We've made suggestions, we've offered various ways in which people could get
us $8.9 billion," Davis told the San Jose Mercury News in a report yesterday.
"You can renegotiate our existing contracts and save us money. However you
want to do it, it's just got to net out close to $8.9 billion."
The new offer was introduced this week into the closed negotiations over a
California settlement being conducted in Washington by Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission Judge Curtis L. Wagner Jr., according to sources close
to the negotiations.
Yesterday, Wagner said he may issue his own preliminary finding today on the
amount of overcharges if California officials and the generators cannot reach
a compromise.
"What I'm trying to do is get people in a settlement mood," Wagner told
reporters. "In the event we're unable to do that, [Friday] at some point I
may offer a preliminary assessment." The settlement conference is set to
conclude on Monday.
Wagner, FERC's chief administrative judge, has been trying to push both sides
toward a compromise that would resolve the huge energy pricing controversy.
Mountainous energy prices have bankrupted California's largest utility,
drained billions of dollars out of the state treasury and put Davis at
sword's point with generators that help keep the state's lights on.
Last Friday, Wagner rebuked Davis's chief representative, Michael Kahn,
chairman of California Independent Grid Operator -- the state's power grid
manager -- indicating that the state's demand for nearly $9 billion in
refunds from power generators and marketers was too high, sources said.
Wagner's settlement conference, which has involved more than 100 lawyers for
all sides, is closed to the public and media.
Wagner complained last month that Kahn was following a political agenda, and
his lack of independence in the negotiations was such a "joke" that the
parties might as well wear "clown suits," according to a Dow Jones report
confirmed by sources close to the talks.
But he has also criticized the generators and power marketers, led by Reliant
Energy Inc., Williams Energy Services, Duke Energy and Southern Co., for
failing to make serious settlement offers, these sources said. The suppliers
have offered to refund $600 million, provided the state is able to call off
various California lawsuits demanding far larger refunds, sources said.
Wagner's leverage is his ability to propose his own refund figure to FERC's
commissioners. FERC has tentatively called for $124 million in refunds, but
now is taking a harder line on preventing a new escalation of California's
electricity prices this summer and is likely to be receptive to a higher
refund figure, some energy analysts believe.
Davis's tactical change, offering to make the long-term contracts part of an
overall settlement, comes amid growing criticism of what the state will have
to pay for energy under those deals.
California's energy calamity stemmed in large part from its failed
deregulation plan, which relied heavily on short-term power purchases at
volatile "spot market" prices. When energy costs shot upward last summer, so
did the state's electricity bills.
In response, Davis's aide, S. David Freeman, and his staff began negotiating
long-term power contacts with suppliers. The $43 billion in deals signed so
far would require the state to pay about $70 per hour for a megawatt of power
for a large part of the electricity it will need over the next 10 years.
That's well under the average of $250 per megawatt-hour that the state was
paying at the beginning of this year, but above current power prices -- and
considerably higher than what electricity may cost in the next decade, energy
analysts say.
A new agreement to lower those contract prices could relieve political
pressure on Davis and focus settlement negotiations away from the state's
controversial demand for the $8.9 billion refund. Davis will argue that
reducing future power charges that his administration negotiated should count
as a "refund" because the deals were reached "under commercial duress,"
according to sources close to Wagner's negotiations.
Industry supporters say Davis's refund figure is impossible to justify.
"There's no benchmark for what a fair and reasonable price should be," said
Michael Zenger, California director of Cambridge Energy Research Associates.
The state's advocates counter that if FERC enforced a "just and reasonable"
standard for power prices based on operating costs and a generous profit, the
overcharges by all sellers could easily reach the $9 billion figure.
"It's not rocket science, but it does require the regulators to regulate,"
said Frank Wolak, a Stanford University economist who heads an oversight
committee for the California grid.
Those polar-opposite views have left both sides in Wagner's conference room
"billions of dollars apart," as the talks approached their final weekend,
sources said.
, 2001 The Washington Post Company