Enron Mail

From:mark.palmer@enron.com
To:steven.kean@enron.com, richard.shapiro@enron.com, james.steffes@enron.com,kenneth.lay@enron.com, jeff.skilling@enron.com, pat.shortridge@enron.com
Subject:Great editorial
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Tue, 10 Jul 2001 05:36:00 -0700 (PDT)

Here's an editorial that gets to the heart of the matter.


Tuesday, July 10, 2001






Ghost of Bob Citron roaming halls of capitol
Gray Davis is following footsteps of former O.C. treasurer into fiscal chaos




JOHN M.W. MOORLACH
Mr. Moorlach is the Orange County treasurer-tax collector.

A recent L.A. Times poll found that Californians still remain unconvinced
that our state suffers from a shortage of energy. Perhaps the state's
subsidizing of the actual costs for electricity these past five months has
caused us to believe that everything is fine. It is not.
The state has been spending an average of $57 million, a medium-sized city's
annual budget, per day for electricity. Now California is headed toward the
same financial catastrophe that was imposed on its shareholder-owned
utilities, finding one of them in Chapter 11 bankruptcy and another on the
precipice. At this pace, it will not be long before the state will be staring
a Chapter 9 bankruptcy filing in the face.
That's why I'm gnawed by this "d,j. vu" sensation. The similarities and
parallels between California of 2001 and Orange County of 1994 are
frightening. Here's a refresher. In 1994 the county, through former Treasurer
Robert Citron, was borrowing at variable rates and investing at fixed rates.
The "experts" and the "politicos" were comfortable with the investment
scheme.
No wonder the electorate was convinced that there were no investing
improprieties. Even while their former treasurer was very secretive about how
he was investing and what his "exit strategy" would be. Guess what? The
unexpected happened. Short-term borrowing rates doubled. The cost of
borrowing suddenly exceeded the revenues being generated.
It caused the investment pool to implode and Orange County taxpayers realized
a $1.64 billion loss. In spite of pleas to avoid or minimize this train wreck
the county's leadership, he ignored it. The rest is history. In a
half-pregnant deregulation scheme, the state capped the retail price that the
utilities can charge. It also eliminated the availability to acquire
electricity through the use of long-term contracts.
Guess what? The unexpected happened. The wholesale price for electricity
spiked dramatically above the inflexible retail price cap. It depleted the
available funds for the utilities, and then some, and they are imploding. In
spite of pleas from the utilities imploring Gov. Gray Davis to avoid or
minimize this train wreck, he ignored them. The rest is also history.
It gets worse. Davis doesn't allow for the immediate raising of retail rates
and decides to have the state secretly purchase electricity. Guess what? The
expected happened. He depleted our budget surplus! Our reserves! Nearly $9
billion - and counting! He's a Citron, only quintupled!
And in the light of day, the secret purchases were not attractively priced
and only compound this financial nightmare. Gov. Davis has done what no
Libertarian or Republican could ever dream of doing in such a short time. He
has returned the budget surplus created by taxpayers to the residents of
California by subsidizing their electricity bills.
Bravo! It may not be the most equitable way of refunding taxes, but has
anyone ever thought up a more efficient method? But, that's not all. He wants
it back! Davis now wants to borrow some $13 billion to replace the spent
reserves and purchase even more electricity at rates in excess of the retail
prices! When does this train wreck in slow motion stop?
And how do we pay off these bonds? Davis did not want to raise rates last
summer or this past winter. But now he will to pay off this historically
largest municipal bond offering with a significant utility rate increase. The
ratepayers will be reminded for 10 years after Davis is gone about his
expensive brilliance. And this elected official wants to purchase the power
grids and bureaucratically manage the utilities? I say "no."
If we don't show some leadership in Sacramento soon, potential bond buyers
will also say "no," unless they receive an attractive interest rate. Just ask
Edison International about attractive interest rates. It just subscribed $800
million in bonds paying 14 percent. Tragically, Gov. Davis walked into his
position with an existing budget surplus and now has no tangible legacy to
show for it. No reserves. No improved highways. No new schools. No
infrastructure improvements. Only interest payments.
Wasn't that Citron's legacy? If amortized over 10 years at 6 percent, the
citizens of California will pay an additional $4.4 billion in interest costs.
Over 15 years it's $6.7 billion. And therein lies the true legacy of Davis,
squandering the entire budget surplus that he inherited on interest resulting
from his indecisiveness and lack of leadership!
It is so tragic that the perpetrator of this colossal mess is still in denial
and continues to play the "blame game." Orange County played the "blame
game," too. But it had obvious perpetrators and succeeded in a court of law
in securing a significant amount in retribution payments. I'm not so sure
California will have a similar result.