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Enron Mail |
I just had the opportunity to review a report issued by the ICC assessing
retail and wholesale competition in Illinois. If you would like a hard copy, let me know. Salient facts/ conclusions are as follows: 1. Switching rates are high in Com Ed territory only. By end of 2000, 22% of eligible customers had switched, representing 62% of usage. Larger usage customers are switching with greater frequency than smaller usage customers. Approximately 40% of delivery service customers were using the PPO. Approx. 8 marketers are active in Com Ed with only 3or 4 acquiring significant numbers of customers. 2. ICC believes retail prices may increase dramatically in 2005 by the time the general rate freeze expires. 3. ICC is concerned about wholesale competition noting that utilization of the PPO evidences little physical delivery by suppliers. ICC is also concerned about the ability of the Illinois transmission system to support a competitive wholesale market within and between utilities. The number of TLR's attained record levels last years and there are concerns about managing load pockets. If the situation remains unchanged, retail prices will be higher than they would have been had the market structure supported wholesale competition. 4. Non-Coincident Peak demand in Illinois in 1999 was 29,561Mw and 28,040MW in 2000, however overall growth in demand is 1.4%. 5. The most successful suppliers are either Illinois utilities or affiliates of Illinois gas and electric utilities, raising market power concerns. 6. ICC is investigating the capacity of the Illinois utilities' transmission and distribution systems. As part of the study, the ICC will be developing a comprehensive computer simulation model of the regional transmission grid to identify problem spots on the grid including potential load pockets as well as inter-utility constraints that may limit wholesale deliveries during critical peak hours. This will assist in state and federal proceedings. 7. The ICC is concerned about the market power exercised by utilities and has been collecting data on each utility's interconnection and transmission queues to watch for signs of favoritism directed towards their affiliates or any other violations of FERC Order 888. Hope this is useful. Janine
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