Enron Mail

From:luiz.maurer@enron.com
To:sergio.assad@enron.com, richard.shapiro@enron.com
Subject:Intervention in the MAE
Cc:jose.bestard@enron.com, fred.sampaio@enron.com, debora.klinger@enron.com
Bcc:jose.bestard@enron.com, fred.sampaio@enron.com, debora.klinger@enron.com
Date:Mon, 7 May 2001 03:04:00 -0700 (PDT)

As per Sergio's and Rick's request, please find enclosed a quick summary on
the ANEEL's "intervention" in the MAE.

This note is organized in four main sections:

a) What was it?
b) Initial reactions
c) Enron's view
d) Next steps


a) WHAT WAS IT?

Aneel has recently issued a series of three Resolutions (160/161/162)
significantly changing the structure and governance of MAE. It has also
amended some of the MAE rules regarding penalties and guarantees on financial
settlement.

In terms of structure, ANEEL has empowered ASMAE to develop its
responsibilities. ASMAE is the organization in charge of developing MAE's
basic operational functions, such as metering, contract registering, spot
price calculation and financial settlement. It also has a role in developing
the MAE rules, an effort which started in November 1998 and has not yet come
to fruition. ASMAE formerly reported to COEX, the MAE Board of Directors,
According to the recently enacted Resolution ASMAE will have now a solid line
relationship with ANEEL and it was empowered to develop it basic
organizational functions more independently from the Board of Directors.

In terms of governance, ANEEL has terminated COEX, a 26 stakeholder Board in
charge or runinng MAE and preparing the MAE rules. The Resolution was
effective immediately. In lieu of COEX, ANEEL has created COMAE, a new 6
member professional Board, in charge of overseeing ASMAE and developing MAE
rules, on an ongoing basis. COMAE should be operational in two months.
ANEEL,Distributors and Generators should appoint two voting members each.
Similarly to COEX, COMAE will still report to the MAE General Assembly, where
all stakeholdershave a seat (votes are equally split between generators and
distributors)

In terms of MAE rules, ANEEL has now imposed penalties and guarantees. Those
were part of the MAE rules since the very beginning, but they have never been
implemented. The original MAE rules encompassed a broader range of penalties.
ANEEL has focused solely on the the penalties of financial nature, the ones
strictly necessary to have the financial settlement up and running.

There is a 60 day period to put the new organization and governance in
place. In the meantime, ASMAE will continue its routine functions. If doubts
arise, ASMAE will clarify directly with ANEEL


b) INITIAL REACTIONS

Most companies were shocked with the new Resolutions. The Resolutions were
issued on a Friday, late afternoon, to allow agents to dissipate their anger
over the weekend. The measures were considered a unilateral "coup-de-etat"
kind of intervention. A lot of criticism was raised on the "legality" of the
process. Initial reactions challenged ANEEL's ability to intervene in the MAE
rules and terminate COEX.

Similar reactions were expressed the following week. A COEX meeting (void in
legal terms) was held the following week to verbalize people's angers and
discuss next steps. An immediate General Assembly was scheduled. Several COEX
members got really upset. Reasons vary: some are questioning the necessity of
those actions, although most agree that COEX was not a functioning organic
body. Some COEX member got very emotional: afterall, their hierarchical
positions inside their organizations depend on the status granted by being a
COEX member.

ANEEL invited CEOs from all affiliated companies to explain the rationale
behind those measures and avoid direct confrontation with COEX, whose members
are motivated by more parochial views. The meeting was useful and most of the
negative reaction was placated.

No one is now is now considering any legal action against ANEEL. Most
stakeholders agree that something had to be done, despite the fact that the
way ANEEL invervened was disastrous and with doubtful legal validity. The
issue now is to prepare a new Market Agreement, containing the basic mandates
and addressing utility's concerns.


c) Enron's view

Enron thinks that the proposed changes were badly needed. Enron has publicly
and in several occasions expressed its view about COEX role in MAE
implementation. In Informativo Regulat?rio # 3, issued back in November 2000,
we blamed the stakeholder nature of COEX for most of MAE problems. Nothing
was being decided. COEX attempted to get the MAE rules in place for more than
two years without success. No one (except a few, including Enron) was
interested in getting MAE up and running. Rather, most agents were interested
in conforming the MAE rules to meet their ad-hoc individual parochial
interests. The COEX attempt to deal with the nuclear issue was a clear na<ve,
retreat to objectives. Procrastination was the rule of the game. In sum, COEX
was not working. The California experience served to surface and enlighten
the maladies of stakeholder's Board. In several instances, we proposed a
professional Board and some form of ANEEL's intervention, as it had the
ultimate responsibility to have a functioning market. R

ANEEL has reportedly taking our comments into account. Regulatory Affairs
is proud to have influenced this process. However, we think ANEEL should
have acted a long time ago. ANEEL now has a sense of urgency. It fully
understands that a non-functioning market would be an obstacle to anyone's
building new short term generation, on a merchant basis. This incremental
generation is key to mitigate the impact of rationing.

No one doubts that ANEELs intervention was a "coup-de-etat". Legally
speaking, it is also questionable. ANEEL is backed by the Ministry of Energy
and by other Federally owned generations, who have many votes in the MAE.
Despite those deficiencies, we believe the changes are in the right
direction.

ANEEL has called Enron and asked for our individual support as well as to
use our influence in the coalitions groups we are part of (ABRADEE, APINE,
CBIEE and ABRACEEL), to help mitigate the anger and help get the new Market
Agreement in place. Apparently ANEEL did not call any other private utility.
We explained ANEEL how delicate the situation is. The only way to proceed is
to shift the spotlight from the legal issues and try to focus on a new MAE
Agreement, to be signed by all parties. This would require ANEEL some
willingness to negotiate and compromise. They accepted our suggestion. We
have also expressed our view that ANEEL should not further interfere in the
MAE rules, spot pricing and contracts. Our support is contingent on the
integrity of market and contracts, even during a serious rationing. The
impending rationing indeed represents a temptation for the regulator to
further interfere, set caps on spot and the like.

We have focused most of our effort in examining the three Resolutions and
proposing changes & improvements to be incorporated into a new MAE Agreement.
There are many aspects which need to be clarified/improved in the new
governance and structure as proposed by ANEEL. For example, the hierarchical
lines between ANEEL, COMAE, ANEEL, General Assembly and Board of ASMAE need
clarification. Similarly, the penalty rules need a lot of work to be ready to
be implemented.

We have prepared several suggestions and we have circulated among industry
players, asking for inputs and feedback. No one is really focused on the new
MAE Agreement. Discussions are still very emotional at this point in time.
However, we feel that some progress has been made. Coalition groups are not
talking about challenging the Resolution on legal grounds. This is unlikely
to happen on an individual basis. The situation is relatively under control.

d) Next Steps

Despite the progress in mitigating the initial anger, there is still a long
way to go. Our initial recommendations to improve the Resolutions,
distributed to industry players, should be technically discussed and agreed.
COMAE members should be appointed: ideally, utilities should agree on the
COMAE members specs, on a slate of candidates and on a process for final
COMAE members selection. Finally, a new MAE Agreement should be signed. None
of them are trivial tasks from a political standpoint. ANEEL has established
a 60 day transitional period and a safety net if nothing happens: ANEEL
itself would choose the members and will maintain the Resolutions as they
are.

We are also going to use ABRACEEL to lobby for COMAE seats (one or two) to
be appointed by traders. So far, this group has not been represented in the
COEX and in any other MAE formal or informal discussion groups. We feel
traders are handicaped and that this is detrimental to the market as a whole
Distributors avoid retail competition while generators avoid wholesale
compatition. Collectively, they avoid competition and therefore the
implementation of the market. Traders are the only ones who strongly advocate
competition, on a genuine basis.

All of this will keep Regulatory Affairs busy for the next months.