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Enerfax Daily NORTH AMERICA'S FREE POWER AND GAS INFORMATION SOURCE Friday, February 1 2002 No. 925 Visit: http://www.enerfax.com to view our web version or for Oil Prices & News http://www.enerfaxgold.com PHYSICAL NATURAL GAS PRICES Gulf/Eastern Region | Agua Dulce | 2.00 | | ANR SE | 2.10 | | Carthage TG | 2.09 | | Chicago Citygate | 2.17 | | Columbia Gulf Onshore | 2.10 | | Dominion South Point | 2.31 | | Henry Hub | 2.14 | | Houston Ship Channel | 2.17 | | Katy Hub | 2.11 | | NGPL LA Pool | 2.10 | | NGPL - Midcontinent | 2.06 | | NGPL STX | 2.06 | | NGPL TX/OK | 2.07 | | NNG Demarc. | 2.15 | | Niagara | 2.29 | | Sonat Tier 1 | 2.12 | | TCO IPP Pool | 2.25 | | Tetco ELa | 2.07 | | Tetco M-3 | 2.37 | | Tetco STX | 2.01 | | TGP Zone 0 | 2.04 | | TGP Zone 1 (500 Leg) | 2.08 | | TGT Zone SL | 2.10 | | New York Citygate | 2.40 | | Transco Station 65 | 2.13 | | Transco Zone 6 (NY) | 2.41 | | Trunk ELa | 2.11 | | Western Region | California Border | 2.18 | | El Paso Keystone | 2.06 | | El Paso San Juan-Blanco | 2.07 | | Waha Hub | 2.08 | | Canadian/Rockies Region | Nova/Aeco (C$/gig) | 2.91 | | Dawn Hub/Union | 2.26 | | Northwest Stanfield | 2.06 | | Wyoming Pool | 1.94 | | Opal | 1.94 | | PGT-Malin | 2.12 | | Sumas | 2.02 | Flow Date 2/1 ------------------------------------------------------------- NATURAL GAS FUTURES Henry Hub 12 Month Strip 2.5179 +0.0122 18 Month Strip 2.6173 -0.0024 | Month | High | Low | Close | Change | | MAR | 2.150 | 2.095 | 2.138 | +0.058 | | APR | 2.205 | 2.150 | 2.190 | +0.043 | | MAY | 2.280 | 2.230 | 2.258 | +0.028 | | JUN | 2.345 | 2.310 | 2.326 | +0.016 | | JUL | 2.425 | 2.380 | 2.391 | +0.011 | | AUG | 2.485 | 2.430 | 2.448 | +0.008 | | SEP | 2.475 | 2.430 | 2.448 | +0.008 | | OCT | 2.495 | 2.455 | 2.472 | +0.006 | | NOV | 2.735 | 2.685 | 2.699 | +0.005 | | DEC | 2.945 | 2.904 | 2.904 | -0.005 | | JAN | 3.030 | 2.985 | 2.994 | -0.013 | | FEB | 2.980 | 2.940 | 2.947 | -0.018 | ------------------------------------------------------------- - RISK MANAGEMENT Across the Energy Enterprise e-Acumen, Inc., is uniquely positioned to help you manage risk and increase value. That's because our analytics, data and applications cover all strategic aspects of the energy enterprise, from short-term forecasting to comprehensive risk analysis and portfolio optimization, to asset valuation and weather risk management. Dedicated to the needs of energy and trading companies in a dynamic and competitive world, our approach combines best-in-class physical fundamentals with industry-leading statistical methodologies. e-Acumen is a venture-backed company founded in January, 1997. Since then we have listened attentively to the market and assembled a stellar cast of seasoned energy industry professionals and Silicon Valley technologists. Join us as we help the industry continue its path toward liquidity and profitable, risk-managed growth in the exciting years ahead! Click here to find out more about current special offers, or go to http://www.e-acumen.com ------------------------------------------------------------- Natural Gas Futures Higher on Colder Weather Natural gas futures for March delivery on the NYMEX gained $0.058 yesterday to $$2.138 per MMBtu, propped up by cold weather in the Midwest and Northeast. The April contract climbed $0.043 to $2.19 per MMBtu. The market opened higher on colder weather across much of the nation, but dipped below $2.10 briefly in the early afternoon before short-covering boosted prices before the close, holding in a $0.055 range. Funds were buying early with the cold weather keeping the sellers at bay. Look for the cold weather to drive the market to test $2.15 resistance today, with a good chance of testing the $2.21 level. The market is still bottom building, moving quietly in a sideways range, causing any short-covering rally to be met with selling into resistance. With winter ending soon and a Tcf in excess storage, the gravitational pull on the market is tremendous. The withdrawals over the last several weeks have been larger than just pure weather-related withdrawals, so a marginal amount of natural gas coming out storage is supplementing daily production in the market. The estimated volume was 69,100 contracts, with 34,800 of those hedges or spreads. Natural gas for next day delivery across the US and Canada was generally $0.05 - $0.15 higher yesterday on short-term cold weather in the Midwest to the Northeast, forcing price squeezes at certain pipelines on marketers who were short to begin the new month. The trend for this month is still softer cash prices. Natural gas for next day delivery at the Henry hub gained $0.07 to $2.14 per MMBtu. ------------------------------------------------------------- Exploit the enterprise-wide transaction management power deployed by the big names in gas. NUCLEUS Software ZAINET Gasmaster The most comprehensive, totally-integrated natural gas information system available today. Ask about out limited-time offer competitive upgrade program. CAMINUS Your Competitive Edge in Energy. Call Caminus at (212)515-3700 or visit the website at http://www.caminus.com ------------------------------------------------------------- Today's Power Bulletins * Ice Storm Sweeps Across Midwest Knocking Out Power for One Million Customers * DQE Reports 4th Quarter Loss as Company Takes $78.3 Million Charge * Report Says Price Cap Had Little Impact on California Power Prices * Ontario Chooses BMO Nesbitt Burns, Goldman Sachs and RBC Dominion Securities as Joint Underwriters to Take Hydro One Public in C$5 Billion IPO * Calpine Reports 23% Drop in 4th Quarter Earnings Due to Weak Wholesale Power Prices * Mirant Shares Fall 6.5% Yesterday After Spending Plans Cut * El Paso Energy Files $1 Billion Debt Securities Shelf * AEP to Invest $7 Million to Address Community Concerns Over Plume Appearance at Gavin Plant * Duke Energy Sells Duke Engineering & Services ------------------------------------------------------------- DO YOU JUST SEE TREES? WE SEE A FOREST! See the forest with NewEnergy MarketPower by efficiently obtaining information for critical market-based investment decisions and mitigate your risk. Use MarketPower to determine the effects of transmission congestion, fuel costs, generator availability and load growth on market prices to better execute your company's strategic direction. Designed specifically for today's energy industry, MarketPower is accurate and easy-to-use, so you can plan for tomorrow...today! New Ideas...New Solutions...NewEnergy. For a free 30-day trial visit us at http://www.NewEnergyAssoc.com/justdownloadit or call us at 770 779 2957 for more information ------------------------------------------------------------- FERC Drops Complaint Against BPA and Others The FERC has dismissed a complaint by Californians for Renewable Energy, a citizens group that claimed BPA and 3 other firms withheld badly needed electricity during the state's power crisis. The group filed a complaint last April, during the height of the crisis, when wholesale power prices had galloped 10 times higher and customers were hit with a series of rolling blackouts. The group accused BPA, Canada's BC Hydro, Powerex and Mirant of withholding wholesale power supplies to boost prices during the crisis. The BPA, which supplies about half of the Pacific Northwest's power through huge hydropower dams, is owned by the federal government. BC Hydro is owned by the provincial government of British Columbia. The FERC dismissed the complaint because the group's allegations are vague and similar issues were decided by the commission in other cases. ------------------------------------------------------------- FAST. FLEXIBLE. PROVEN. The AURORA(TM) electric market model helps you deal with the challenges and risks of today's energy marketplace. Exceptionally fast and easy to learn, AURORA(TM) reflects fundamental market drivers and gives power marketers, resource developers and portfolio managers a better way to manage against market uncertainty and price volatility. AURORA delivers - ? Price forecasts - hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, yearly ? On-peak, off-peak pricing ? Resource valuation and net power costs ? Portfolio analyses ? Capacity expansion analyses ? Effects of emissions ? And much more . . . AURORA's comprehensive databases cover all electricity markets throughout the U.S. and Canada. The model also handles storage, congestion pricing, and offers detailed reporting and data export capabilities. It can be used as a stand-alone tool or be integrated with your other business tools. Visit us at http://ww.epis.com or call (503) 722-2023. EPIS, Inc. Market Information Solutions for the Electric Power Marketplace ------------------------------------------------------------- Natural Gas NYMEX Volume 02MAR 37,565 02APR 14,609 02MAY 4,126 02JUN 2,322 02JLY 2,884 02AUG 4,356 02SEP 1,940 02OCT 3,605 02NOV 870 02DEC 1,052 03JAN 1,512 03FEB 320 03MAR 1,286 03APR 55 03MAY 64 03JUN 103 03JLY 103 03AUG 271 03SEP 3 03OCT 54 03NOV 471 03DEC 2 04JAN 352 04FEB 289 ------------------------------------------------------------- GET REAL about energy risk management with KWI In today's fast moving energy markets you need to be able to manage risk in real time. That means knowing before you hit a risk problem, not afterwards when it may be too late to prevent big losses spreading right through your enterprise. With kW3000(tm), our multi-commodity, integrated front to back office software, you can monitor your Profit At Risk(tm), counterparty risk and mark-to-market all in real time. Keep alert to risk. Do it in real time. Call KWI -Americas: +1-281-681-3301 / Europe: +44 (0) 20-7386-2700 / Asia Pacific: +61(0) 2-9976-6111 http://www.kwi.com -------------------------------------------------------------- Dynegy Takes Over Northern Natural Gas Pipeline Dynegy, which acquired the Northern Natural Gas pipeline from Enron after investing $1.5 billion in the energy trader, will take over the pipelines trading and marketing today. The system, valued at $2.7 billion, runs 16,600 miles from Texas to the Great Lakes. Enron had contested the takeover after Dynegy backed out of its plan to buy Enron for $23 billion in November. Earlier this month, Enron gave up the pipeline, but is proceeding with a $10 billion lawsuit against Dynegy for terminating their deal. Northern Natural has a capacity of 4.3 Bcf of natural gas per day and has valuable connection points with other pipelines. Although Dynegy operates many pipelines, Northern Natural is their first foray into pipeline ownership. Dynegy paid $23 million to complete the purchase and named Daniel Dienstbier as the systems president, a position he held before becoming president of Enron's Gas Pipeline Group in 1985. Dynegy also assumed $900 million of Northern Natural's debt. Enron employees will run and maintain Northern Natural until Enron's option to buy it back expires June 30th. But most think that is unlikely to happen, given Enron's current state of affairs. ------------------------------------------------------------- ENERGY. @ENERGY(r), FEA's Complete Suite of Energy Products, BUILT FOR THE FUTURE. *Manage all your energy risks. *Build and Price deals. *Value physical assets (generation, storage, etc.) *Report and reduce your energy risks FEA FINANCIAL ENGINEERING ASSOCIATES Inc. http://www.fea.com/?cId=17 main phone number: 1 510-548-6200 email address: info@fea.com ------------------------------------------------------------- PHYSICAL POWER PRICES | | High | Low | Average | | | $/MWh | $/MWh | $/MWh | | Cinergy | 21.00 | 19.00 | 19.40 | | ECAR | 22.25 | 16.50 | 20.25 | | ERCOT | 21.00 | 18.50 | 19.10 | | Entergy | 19.00 | 17.00 | 18.35 | | TVA | 23.00 | 20.15 | 22.55 | | ComEd | 20.25 | 19.75 | 20.10 | | Nepool | 29.50 | 29.25 | 29.30 | | PJM West | 22.75 | 21.75 | 22.00 | | Main | 20.25 | 18.00 | 19.55 | | MAPP | 21.25 | 19.00 | 20.40 | | Palo Verde | 26.50 | 23.50 | 24.95 | | Mid C | 21.00 | 19.00 | 19.60 | | COB | 24.00 | 22.00 | 22.60 | | 4 Corners | 24.25 | 23.25 | 23.90 | | Mead | 25.75 | 24.00 | 24.95 | | NP 15 | 27.00 | 24.00 | 24.80 | | SP 15 | 27.50 | 24.00 | 25.35 | Power Delivered 2/1 ------------------------------------------------------------- FERC Approves Tuscarora Pipeline Expansion The has given final approval to Tuscarora Gas Transmission's plan to expand its pipeline system to bring more natural gas to industrial customers in northern Nevada. The Tuscarora natural gas pipeline was built in 1995 in a partnership between Sierra Pacific Resources and TransCanada PipeLines. The $60 million, 14-mile pipeline extension would almost double the capacity in the area from 125 MMcf per day to 220 MMcf per day. The expanded pipeline capacity will serve Duke Energy's 540 MW plant near Wadsworth, Nevada and Morgan Stanley's 360 MW power plant near Reno. The 229-mile pipeline stretches from Malin, Oregon through northern California to Sierra Pacific's Tracy power station near Reno. ------------------------------------------------------------- Allegheny Energy Supply Company, Salt River Project (SRP) and Sempra Energy Resources announce Open Season for proposed Desert Crossing Gas Storage and Transportation System. Open Season for customers interested in capacity begins Jan. 10, 2002 and extends through Feb. 8, 2002. For information, visit http://www.desert-crossing.com ------------------------------------------------------------- Todays Gas Bulletins * Pemex December Natural Gas Output 4.488 Bcf per Day Vs 4.596 Bcf per Day Year Ago * Anadarko to Continue to Defer Some Natural Gas Development Drilling * Former Enron CEO Ken Lay Scheduled to Appear Before 2 Separate Congressional Committees Next Week * FERC Approves Colorado Interstate Gas' Plan to Expand Pipeline System by 282 MMcf per Day to Serve Power Plants and LDCs * President Bush to Propose Barring Executives from Selling Stock During Blackout Periods Like One that Kept Workers from Bailing While Company's Shares Plunged * North Dakota Democrat Senator Byron Dorgan Says Enron Not Cooperating Over Records * Natural Gas Processor MarkWest Energy Files $48.3 Million IPO * Energy Firms Sacrificing Expansion Plans to Shore Up Balance Sheets * El Paso 4th Quarter Earnings Up Slightly * Williams Sells 3 Texas Gathering Systems ------------------------------------------------------------ Ziff Energy Group presents Gas Storage 2002 Redefining the Fundamentals: Is Gas Still in the Storage Game? Power Drives Storage Will the recession affect plant and storage development? Will record high volumes in storage further depress gas prices? Is it possible to mitigate storage risk while dealing with year-round price volatility? Plus Two Important Workshops Calpine Corporation Hear what the Power Generator wants from the storage industry Bruce Bernard Learn from the expert how to mitigate storage price risk in the 2002 gas marketplace February 6 & 7 Houston Four Season Hotel 1300 Lamar Street Register Today for this Important Conference Call 1-800-853-6252 Email: gasconference@ziffenergy.com Visit: http://www.ziffenergyconferences.com ------------------------------------------------------------- FERC to Probe Enron's Role in California Power Crisis At the urging of Democrats representing Western states, the FERC has launched a probe into allegations that Enron illegally manipulated wholesale power prices during California's power crisis last year. One California senator also demanded that the FERC provide a list of meetings and telephone calls between the commission and Enron executives from August 2000 through June 2001. Enron has denied any wrongdoing. The Democratic senator pointed to news reports that former Enron chairman Ken Lay met with Vice President Cheney in April, 2001 and discussed the California power crisis. The next day, Cheney said he opposed price caps, the senator said. The senator is questioning whether Enron used influence in secret meetings with the vice president or the FERC to persuade them to do nothing about the state's soaring power prices. However, the administration has always opposed price caps. But the FERC chairman said that his staff has already started to look into the allegations. The probe will involve FERC's office of general counsel and office of market tariffs and rates. The chairman declined to elaborate on the scope of the probe. The legislators cited a study by an independent consultant showing that California prices fell by 30% soon after Enron declared bankruptcy in December. The Democrats say that a key factor in higher power prices was Enron's dealings in unregulated financial derivatives in the natural gas market while controlling a large share of the market. ------------------------------------------------------------- R. W. Beck is an engineering and management consulting firm serving utilities, developers, financiers and governments worldwide. Founded in 1942, we help our clients face energy market challenges by providing: Portfolio Analysis to improve diversification and risk-adjusted performance of energy assets. Risk Control to help reduce the probability of losses. Asset Valuation to understand the market value and risk characteristics of physical and financial energy assets. Training to improve your ability to identify and manage tactical and strategic risks. Please visit our web site at http://www.rwbeck.com ------------------------------------------------------------- POWER FUTURES | Month | COB | Change | PV | Change | | MAR | 19.00 | +0.00 | 21.45 | +0.45 | | APR | 19.75 | +0.00 | 22.75 | +0.00 | | MAY | 19.00 | +0.00 | 24.25 | +0.75 | | JUN | 21.00 | +0.00 | 27.25 | +0.00 | | JUL | 28.50 | +0.00 | 37.50 | +0.00 | | AUG | 38.50 | +0.00 | 42.75 | +0.00 | | SEP | 32.00 | +0.00 | 33.00 | +0.50 | | OCT | 29.00 | +0.00 | 28.00 | +0.25 | | NOV | 28.25 | +0.00 | 27.00 | +0.25 | | DEC | 30.00 | +0.00 | 27.50 | +0.25 | | JAN | 30.00 | +0.00 | 29.00 | +0.50 | | FEB | 27.50 | +0.00 | 28.50 | +0.50 | | Month | Entergy | Change | Cinergy | Change | | MAR | 19.60 | +0.10 | 21.40 | +0.40 | | APR | 19.60 | -0.40 | 21.40 | -0.10 | | MAY | 23.10 | -0.15 | 24.75 | +0.00 | | JUN | 27.50 | +0.00 | 29.75 | -0.25 | | JUL | 35.00 | +0.25 | 38.35 | +0.20 | | AUG | 35.00 | +0.25 | 38.25 | +0.20 | | SEP | 21.75 | -0.05 | 23.25 | +0.25 | | OCT | 22.00 | -0.25 | 23.00 | +0.40 | | NOV | 22.00 | -0.25 | 23.00 | +0.40 | | DEC | 22.00 | -0.25 | 23.00 | +0.40 | | JAN | 24.25 | +0.00 | 26.10 | +0.10 | | FEB | 24.25 | +0.00 | 26.10 | +0.10 | ------------------------------------------------------------ Power Futures | Month | PJM | Change | | MAR | 24.90 | +0.65 | | APR | 24.90 | +0.15 | | MAY | 28.60 | +0.20 | | JUN | 35.50 | +0.50 | | JUL | 46.20 | +0.20 | | AUG | 46.20 | +0.20 | | SEP | 27.00 | +0.20 | | OCT | 26.00 | +0.25 | | NOV | 26.00 | +0.25 | | DEC | 26.00 | +0.25 | | JAN | 30.35 | +0.25 | | FEB | 30.35 | +0.25 | ------------------------------------------------------------- Plains States Hit with Icy Storm and Power Outages A brutal ice storm in the Plains states and Midwest knocked out power to one million utility customers, causing some of the biggest storm-related outages in history, according to the utilities. In Oklahoma, the governor declared a state of emergency in 28 of the state's 77 counties. The storm may leave some customers without power for up to a week. Freezing rain and ice downed power lines and snapped trees around Oklahoma, leaving more than 230,000 customers without electricity with temperatures in the low 20s. Oklahoma Gas & Electric said it was the worst storm in the 100-year history of the company in terms of customers affected. Yesterday evening, about 176,000 OG&E customers still had no electricity, about 123,000 of them in Oklahoma City. The utility said at least 60 miles of high-voltage transmission lines, ranging from 69 kV to 345 kV, were on the ground, but it has been able to reroute power around the downed transmission lines. Kansas City was also hit by the worst ice storm in 16 years, with more than 100,000 customers without power. Repair crews from other areas were being brought in to clear downed trees and restore electricity. Kansas City Power & Light had 90 line crews and 100 tree crews working around the clock. KCP&L said as many as 285,000 customers were without power overnight. In the upper Midwest, the storm knocked out power to almost 100,000 customers in southern Michigan, but did not damage the high-voltage transmission grid in Michigan. ------------------------------------------------------------- Energy Seminars, Inc. Announces Key Seminar Offerings for February: Energy Seminars will be going to Florida and Calgary in 2002! Click to http://www.energyseminars.com to see our 2002 schedule. Register on-line at http://www.energyseminars.com or call Registrar Gina Patrick Phone: 281-362-7979 FAX: 281-296-9922 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FERC Drops California Natural Gas Price Reports After reviewing what data it needed to monitor all US energy markets, the FERC plans to stop requiring companies to report monthly California natural gas prices. The FERC began requiring monthly California price data from natural gas sellers and pipelines last July during the state's power crisis. Last summer, natural gas prices oared above $18 per MMBtu in the state's spot market while other US prices remained much lower. However, the commission indicated that it might require other kinds of energy pricing data to be reported on a regular basis. The decision to drop the reporting was supported by energy companies which said the requirement was costly and burdensome. ------------------------------------------------------------- Progas Storage and Services, Inc. Progas can custom build gas storage in the Upper Midwest. ? Design to your specifications ? Close to your markets ? Unregulated storage ? Lower transportation fees ? Lower storage rates Progas is now accepting proposals and orders for years 2002-2007 for approxamately 5 bcf of storage on Midwestern system serving Indiana, Illinois, and 3 bcf on Texas Gas Transmission system serving Tennessee, northern Kentucky, Indiana, and Ohio. Additional potential storage filds beding acquired at this time on Midwestern, anhandle Eastern and A & R (Coastal) systems serving the Upper Midwest. Inquiries from potential partners, investment bankers, and brokers welcome. Progas Storage and Services, Inc. 8610 South Highway 277 Abilene, TX 79606 Phone: 915-698-3699 Fax: 915-698-2859 Email: gastorage@aol.com ------------------------------------------------------------- California PUC Reaches Agreement on Bonds The California PUC has agreed on a plan to let the state sell up to $12.5 billion of bonds, the largest municipal bond sale in US history. The governor and PUC argued over options for repaying the bonds after the regulator rejected an initial proposal in October. Bond proceeds would be used to cover the state's cost of buying electricity for utilities that ran up billions of dollars in debt under the state's deregulation law. The PUC has issued a proposed plan that would let the state Department of Water Resources sell the bonds. The state has spent $11.8 billion buying electricity. Comments on the plan are due by February 5th and the FERC expects to vote on the agreement at a February 21st meeting. But it may be very difficult to sell the bonds by June 30th, even if a plan is approved soon. ------------------------------------------------------------- FINANCIAL SUMMARY The TSE 300 gained 99.66 points to 7648.49 The CRB Index climbed 0.36 points to 187.29 The US Dollar increased 0.54 points to 120.16 The Dow advanced 157.00 points to 9920.00 The S&P 500 climbed 16.63 points to 1130.20 The Nasdaq was up 20.59 points to 1934.03 March NYMEX Crude Oil added 0.40 to 19.48 Canadian-US Exchange rose 0.0009 to 1.5923 ------------------------------------------------------------- ENERGY MANAGEMENT INSTITUTE Higher Education for refined product professionals NOW ENROLLING RISK MANAGEMENT COURSES: PROFESSIONAL GASOLINE AND DISTILLATE MANAGEMENT, PETROLEUM MARKETER, and ADVANCED GASOLINE AND DISTILLATE MASTER LEVEL. REGISTER NOW, CLASS SIZES ARE LIMITED. SEE COMPLETE DETAILS CLICK HERE :http://www.energyinstitution.org ------------------------------------------------------------- Pure Text, Lotus, AOL, Yahoo, Excite, Readers-subscribe by writing to: enerfax-subscribe@egroups.com Outlook Email Readers-subscribe to webmail by writing to: mailto:join-EnerfaxDaily@relay.netatlantic.com ------------------------------------------------------------- To view past issues of Enerfax Daily -Sign up for free at Divine's Sagewave at http://www.sagewave.com/D2/autolog/common/log.asp?KEY=enerfax ------------------------------------------------------------- Please welcome our advertisers by visiting these websites. http://www.e-acumen.com http://www.kwi.com/ http://www.fea.com/ http://www.caminus.com/ http://www.progas.net/wip http://www.ziffenergyconferences.com/ http://www.energyseminars.com http://www.desert-crossing.com http://www.epis.com http://www.rwbeck.com http://www.NewEnergyAssoc.com enerfaxtext, forward to delete@enerfax.com to unsubscribe.
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