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fyi
-----Original Message----- From: Cantrell, Rebecca Sent: Friday, April 27, 2001 10:10 AM To: Miller, Stephanie Subject: PGT CP01-141 Fuel and Roll-In FYI. I think his cc: must have gone to Kevin Heal in the Calgary office. ---------------------- Forwarded by Rebecca W Cantrell/HOU/ECT on 04/27/2001 10:08 AM --------------------------- "Houston, Tim, (HOTS)" <HOTS@chevron.com< on 04/26/2001 07:50:04 PM To: "'enronNA-rebecca cantrell'" <rebecca.w.cantrell@enron.com< cc: "'enron-kheal'" <kheal@ect.enron.com< Subject: PGT CP01-141 Fuel and Roll-In The enclosed spreadsheet contains data extracted from PGT's semi-annual fuel tracker filings which might be of interest. It is possible PGT might claim the increasing fuel cost parts of your intervention as "unsubstantiated" and therefore should be excluded and ignored by the Commission. <<PGTfuel.xls<< There could well be a case for roll-in. If there is, PGT didn't include it in their filing. I guess we will see how it all shakes out. It's interesting no-one has yet asked FERC to require a new rate case by a specific date or to force the trivial rate reduction through to Shippers. Tim Estimate of marginal/incremental fuel consumption due to new capacity: NEW CONTRACTS 210,800 dt; 612.46 mi =< (210,800)/(1 -0.0050%*612.46)*(612.46) = 133,185,095 dt-miles/day 20,380 dt; 612.46 mi =< (20,380)/(1 -0.0050%*612.46)*(612.46) = 12,876,244 dt-miles/day annual average (5 mo winter, 7 mo summer) = 138,550,197 dt-miles/day BASE CASE, FULL EXISTING SYSTEM 1.385 e9 dt-miles/day, useage of 68.6 Mdt/day, or 0.0050%/mile MARGINAL FUEL PERCENTAGE ESTIMATE 0.0101 %/mile, slope of line from chart 'ex5' as computed on sheet 'regr' Sheet 'ex8' has all the historical data points and their derivations. Additional Fuel estimate 0.0101 %/mile * 138,550,197 dt-miles/day = 14.0 Mdt/day Total Fuel Used 68.6 + 14.0 = 82.6 Mdt/day Total Throughput 1.385 + 0.139 = 1.524 e9 dt-mi/day Estimated resultant average fuel: 82.6 Mdt/day / 1.524 e9 dt-mi/day = 0.00542 %/mile. Increase in average fuel to existing shippers 0.00542%/mile - 0.0050%/mile = 0.00042 %/mile 612.46 mi * 0.00042 %/mile = 0.257% on a Kingsgate-to-Malin path. At $5.00 /dt, 0.257%*$5 = $0.013 /dt Since the combined toll (cash toll plus fuel value) goes up, PGT must make a case that roll-in is beneficial. The previous filings by PGT that provide the historical data are: 12/22/93 RP94-88 5/31/94 TM94-3-86 12/1/94 TM95-2-86 5/31/95 TM95-3-86 12/1/95 TM96-3-86 5/31/96 TM96-4-86 11/27/96 TM97-2-86 5/29/97 TM97-3-86 11/26/97 TM98-2-86 5/29/98 TM98-3-86 12/1/98 TM99-1-86 6/1/99 TM99-3-86 12/1/99 RP00-109 5/30/00 RP00-304 12/1/00 RP01-153 - PGTfuel.xls <Embedded Picture (Device Independent Bitmap)<
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