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Enerfax GOLD
NORTH AMERICA'S FREE? GAS, OIL, LIQUIDS & DERIVATIVES
INFORMATION SOURCE
Tuesday, January 22 2002? No. 466
Visit our website at: http://www.enerfaxgold.com/,

PETROLEUM PRICES ???
| Bonny Light | $18.27
| Brent | $18.14
| Butane | $ 0.36
| Fuel Oil #2 | $ 0.52
| Louisiana | $18.40
| Medit. | $17.19
| Propane Non-tet | $ 0.28
| Propane Wet-tet | $ 0.29
| W. Tx Int Cush | $18.03
| W. Tx Sour | $16.45

| Euro in US equiv | 0.8844
-------------------------------------------------------------
Todays Petro Bulletins
* Baker Hughes Says Rigs Searching for Oil and Natural Gas in US Up
13 to 869 Last Week, Compared to 1128 Year Ago; Canada Up 10 to 437,
Compared to 561 Year Ago; Gulf of Mexico Up 6 to 122 Compared to 176
Year Ago
* British Energy Minister Against Takeover of Enterprise Oil
* Court Overturns Approval of AEP and Central and South West Merger
* DEPI to Acquire Oil and Gas Service Provider
* Diamond Offshore Drilling Declares Cash Dividend of $0.125 per
Common Share
* China 2001 Crude Oil Imports 60.3 Million Tons, Down 14%
* Oil Prices Creep Higher Monday Morning in Effort to Reverse 2-Week
Slump
* France Signs Up for Egyptian Natural Gas Exports
-------------------------------------------------------------
NYMEX - NY Harbor Heating Oil? ? ? ? ? ?
Month ??High ??Low? ? Last ? Change
FEB 02 0.5290 0.5125 0.5141 -0.0004
MAR 02 0.5315 0.5150 0.5166 -0.0014
APR 02 0.5295 0.5170 0.5181 -0.0019
MAY 02 0.5295 0.5225 0.5196 -0.0019
JUN 02 0.5370 0.5250 0.5236 -0.0029
JUL 02 0.5430 0.5290 0.5291 -0.0034
AUG 02 0.5500 0.5500 0.5366 -0.0034
SEP 02 0.5590 0.5500 0.5456 -0.0034
OCT 02 0.5680 0.5580 0.5546 -0.0034
NOV 02 0.5765 0.5660 0.5626 -0.0034
-------------------------------------------------------------
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures ($ / Barrel)
Month ?Open ?High ??Low ?Last Change
FEB 02 18.03 18.50 17.90 18.00 +0.03
MAR 02 18.65 19.14 18.52 18.66 +0.03
APR 02 19.25 19.50 18.95 19.06 +0.03
MAY 02 19.32 19.70 19.20 19.30 +0.03
JUN 02 19.47 19.82 19.40 19.48 +0.03
JUL 02 19.55 19.63 19.50 19.56 +0.04
AUG 02 19.95 19.95 19.57 19.63 +0.04
SEP 02 19.80 19.85 19.80 19.69 +0.05
OCT 02 19.69 19.69 19.69 19.74 +0.05
NOV 02 20.05 20.05 19.80 19.80 +0.06
-------------------------------------------------------------
Crude Oil Futures Inch Upward

Crude oil futures for February delivery on the NYMEX inched
upward by $0.03 to $18.00 per barrel in an abbreviated session on
Friday. The IEA reported that OPEC exports moved closer to the
cartels limits. According to the agency, the cartels total
production, including Iraq, dropped from 26.04 million bpd in
November to 25.65 million bpd for December. However, excluding Iraq,
the other 10 members of OPEC increased their December production by
380,000 bpd to 23.65 million bpd, still above its self-imposed limits
of 23.2 million bpd. The IEA said that global oil demand rose 100,000
bpd last year, the smallest rise since 1985. For 2002, the agency
projects a 600,000 bpd increase in oil consumption, assuming an
economic recovery has begun by mid-year. In the US, inventories are
at their highest levels in over 2 years as the peak heating oil
season slips into spring. OPECs latest production cut on January 1st
has yet to be felt in the US and there are many concerns about the
degree to which exports have been reduced. The IEA says that the
implementation of the production cut commitments have the potential
to support crude prices and set the stage for later price gains. A
draw in oil stocks should deepen in the 1st quarter because of the
cuts, and an expected seasonal build in the 2nd quarter should be
less than previously expected, the IEA said. Heating oil futures for
February delivery on the NYMEX gained $0.0004 to $0.5141 per gallon.
February gasoline futures on the NYMEX rose $0.0031 to $0.5392 per
gallon. In London, Brent crude oil futures for March delivery on the
IPE were up $0.04 to $18.45 per barrel.
-------------------------------------------------------------
??????????????????????
NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures
12 Month Strip ?2.5336 -0.0053 ? ? ?
18 Month Strip ?2.6575 +0.0048 ? ?
| Month | High | Low | Close | Change |
| FEB | 2.274 | 2.210 | 2.236 | -0.018 |
| MAR | 2.270 | 2.210 | 2.236 | -0.018 |
| APR | 2.290 | 2.255 | 2.279 | -0.012 |
| MAY | 2.360 | 2.330 | 2.352 | -0.007 |
| JUN | 2.430 | 2.400 | 2.412 | -0.007 |
| JUL | 2.500 | 2.475 | 2.480 | -0.009 |
| AUG | 2.540 | 2.520 | 2.526 | -0.009 |
| SEP | 2.545 | 2.515 | 2.529 | -0.007 |
| OCT | 2.570 | 2.535 | 2.552 | -0.005 |
| NOV | 2.790 | 2.755 | 2.772 | +0.005 |
| DEC | 2.990 | 2.945 | 2.972 | +0.010 |
| JAN | 3.065 | 3.040 | 3.057 | +0.013 |
-------------------------------------------------------------
Allegheny Energy Supply Company, Salt River Project (SRP) and Sempra
Energy
Resources announce Open Season for proposed Desert Crossing Gas
Storage and
Transportation System. Open Season for customers interested in
capacity
begins Jan. 10, 2002 and extends through Feb. 8, 2002. For
information,
visit www.desert-crossing.com
-------------------------------------------------------------
California Nears Deadline to Remove MTBE from Gasoline

California has until the end of this year to remove MTBE from
gasoline and replace it with ethanol. But state officials are worried
they won't meet the deadline and that could drive up gasoline prices.
The delay could also prove a problem for the governor. In early 1999,
he declared MTBE a threat because studies showed it was leaking into
the state's groundwater. He ordered it banned by the end of 2002, in
favor of ethanol, which is made from corn. But three years later,
MTBE is still in use in the state's reformulated gasoline. The
gasoline additive problem has parallels to last year's energy crisis.
Davis faces several infrastructure obstacles to getting ethanol-based
fuel in California. Last year, US ethanol production was more than
1.8 billion gallons. California will need nearly 950 million gallons
per year, requiring a production increase. That increase would
necessitate production and transportation upgrades for the ethanol
plants, which are behind schedule in making the changes. It also
requires an estimated $100 million in new equipment and refineries in
California. A lack of rail transport could also contribute to supply
problems, making gasoline prices rise as much as $0.50 per gallon.
-------------------------------------------------------------
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-------------------------------------------------------------
Book Predicts Imminent Decline of World Oil Supplies


Even though the world is now experiencing what appears to be an
overabundance of oil, with lowered demand and brimming inventories, a
new book "Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage" advances
the idea that crude oil supplies will peak within the next 7 years,
then slowly begin to dwindle. The book contends that the world will
not be prepared to deal with the situation when the peak in
production occurs. The book says several events could zap supplies
and create an energy crisis, including a big war in the Middle East.
It points out that while there still may be a few huge oilfields left
to discover, most have, or will shortly reach their maximum output
level and begin to dry up. According to the book, most new
discoveries since 1975 have been mediocre. The book is based on
theories by a geologist who accurately predicted in the mid 1950s
that US crude production would reach its zenith in 1970. The US now
depends on imports for over half of its crude consumption. Critics of
the theory do not argue with the eventual outcome, but they do argue
that the timetable is too severe. They acknowledge that there will be
a day when the world's oil output will start to shrivel, but point
out that improved technologies and economies will delay the decline.
Many believe that there is still sufficient oil supply in the Middle
East, but Western powers have imposed economic sanctions that have
restricted its production. In addition, new technologies being
developed will decrease demand, expanding the timetable for the
deterioration of oil supplies. Detractors point to the increased
usage of natural gas, development of fuel cells, conservation, new
methods that allow oil sands mining as well as solar, wind and
geothermal technologies will diminish dependence upon oil as a fuel.
-------------------------------------------------------------
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-------------------------------------------------------------
Refiners to Begin Seasonal Maintenance Early

Poor refining margins and sizable gasoline imports expected from
Europe have prompted some US refiners to begin planned 1st quarter
maintenance earlier than usual this year. The shut down of refineries
for retooling could mean that gasoline stocks may not build as fast
as usual in the near future, but plants should be ready to produce at
high levels leading into the peak summer driving season. Summer
gasoline prices will likely be less than the last 2 years, but the
seasonal rise in gasoline demand should cause retail prices to rise
above current levels. Valero has announced an ambitious schedule for
planned maintenance at half of its refineries. Orion, ChevronTexaco,
Citgo, Premcor, and Crown Central all have gasoline units down for
maintenance which are expected to return to operation in February.
ChevronTexaco's 295,000 bpd Pascagoula, MS refinery and Citgo's
310,000 bpd Lake Charles, LA refinery are expected to close their
gasoline units for scheduled maintenance sometime in the first
quarter. Venezuela's state oil company will shutdown a 108,000 bpd
gasoline unit in early February. The scheduled maintenance is not
expected to produce the restricted supply that the nation experienced
last year when gasoline futures hit a record of $1.17 per gallon in
May. Gasoline demand has been unexpectedly heavy recently, spurred on
by low prices, a decrease in flying since September 11th and record
sales late last year for SUVs. However, isolated markets in the
Midwest and California, where a lack of pipeline capacity and heavy
environmental controls on gasoline limit supply options, could see
prices spike.
-------------------------------------------------------------
IPE-Brent Crude futures (US $/barrel)
Month ?First ?High ?Low ??Sett ?Chg
MAR 02 18.80 18.80 18.30 18.45 +0.40
APR 02 18.80 18.99 18.50 18.64 +0.06
MAY 02 18.92 19.07 18.65 18.79 -0.02
JUN 02 18.97 19.07 18.74 18.82 +0.15
JUL 02 19.00 19.00 18.84 18.88 -0.18
AUG 02 19.04 19.10 18.93 18.93 -0.30
SEP 02 19.08 19.08 18.98 18.98 +0.00
OCT 02 19.10 19.10 19.03 19.03 +0.00
NOV 02 19.07 19.07 19.07 19.07 +0.00
DEC 02 19.21 19.30 19.09 19.11 +0.00
-------------------------------------------------------------
NYMEX-Mont Belvieu Propane
Gas Futures($ / Gallon)
Month ? ?High ??Low ??Last ? Change
Feb 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.2875 +0.0100
Mar 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.2750 +0.0070
Apr 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.2875 +0.0075
May 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.2900 +0.0075
Jun 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.2975 +0.0075
Jul 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.3075 +0.0075
Aug 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.3125 +0.0075
Sep 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.3125 +0.0075
Oct 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.3225 +0.0075
Nov 02 0.0000 0.0000 0.3225 +0.0075
-------------------------------------------------------------
CNOOC to Purchase Repsol's Indonesian Assets


CNOOC has agreed to buy the Indonesian assets of Spanish oil
major Repsol-YPF for $585 million in cash, its biggest international
expansion ever. The purchase will bring 360 million barrels of oil
equivalent in proved net working interest reserves and add 15 ? 20
million BOE to CNOOC's annual output. Standard & Poor's estimated in
a report that the acquisition would increase daily output by 17% to
356,000 BOE in 2002, and boost reserves to 1.985 billion BOE. CNOOC
is now targeting 2002 output of 125 ? 130 million BOE. Its previous
target was 110 million BOE. CNOOC plans to keep its annual output
growth rate of 15% in the next several years, and estimates its 2001
output at 95 million BOE. For Repsol, the sale is part of its
longstanding strategy of selling non-core assets to reduce its $20
billion debt. Repsol plans to cut its capitalization ratio, debt to
market cap plus debt, to 30% - 35% from 47% at the end of the 3rd
quarter. The acquisition will make CNOOC the largest offshore oil
producer in Indonesia. It already has a presence there through a
39.5% interest in the Malacca Strait production-sharing contract.
Merrill Lynch is the advisor to the acquisition. CNOOC expects its
capital expenditure for 2002 to reach $1.5 ? $1.6 billion, including
the purchase.
-------------------------------------------------------------
IPE - ARA Gas Oil Futures $ / Tonne
Month ??High ??Low ???Sett ?Change
FEB 02 161.00 157.00 157.25 - 0.25
MAR 02 162.00 158.25 158.50 - 0.50
APR 02 163.25 159.75 159.75 - 0.75
MAY 02 164.50 161.25 161.25 - 0.75
JUN 02 166.50 163.00 163.00 - 0.75
JUL 02 167.25 164.75 164.75 - 0.75
AUG 02 169.00 166.50 166.50 - 0.75
SEP 02 170.50 168.25 168.25 - 0.75
OCT 02 172.25 170.00 170.00 - 0.75
NOV 02 171.25 171.25 171.25 - 0.75
-------------------------------------------------------------
NY HARBOR UNLEADED GAS FUTURES
Month? ?High ? Low ???Last ??Change
FEB 02 0.5485 0.5360 0.5392 +0.0031
MAR 02 0.5600 0.5490 0.5502 +0.0004
APR 02 0.6300 0.6210 0.6212 -0.0008
MAY 02 0.6400 0.6310 0.6289 -0.0009
JUN 02 0.6400 0.6325 0.6312 -0.0013
JUL 02 0.6350 0.6325 0.6274 -0.0013
AUG 02 0.6270 0.6270 0.6169 -0.0013
SEP 02 0.6100 0.6060 0.6017 -0.0141
OCT 02 0.5835 0.5835 0.5762 -0.0136
--------------------------------------------------------------
Shell Begins Production from Two New Gulf of Mexico Fields

Two new sub-sea fields in the Gulf of Mexico, Crosby and Einset,
have started up, according to Shell Exploration & Production. All
three wells at the Crosby development, located in Mississippi Canyon
Blocks 898 and 899, are online and producing 20,000 barrels of oil
per day. Peak production for Crosby is expected to be 60,000 bpd and
90 MMcf per day by the end of the first quarter. Shell operates
Crosby, located in 4,400 feet of water, and has a 50% interest in the
project. BP owns the other 50%. Einset is currently producing at a
rate of 30 MMcf per day. It is expected to recover in excess of 30
Bcf of natural gas. Peak production is expected to reach at least 60
MMcf per day. It is located in 3,500 feet of water and is a single
well project located in Viosca Knoll Block 872. Shell operators
Einset and holds a 50% interest. Dominion Exploration & Production
holds the remaining interest.
-------------------------------------------------------------
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-------------------------------------------------------------
PHYSICAL GAS PRICES? ? ?
Gulf/Eastern Region
| Agua Dulce | 2.14 |
| ANR SE | 2.19 |
| Carthage TG | 2.16 |
| Chicago Citygate | 2.22 |
| Columbia Gulf Onshore | 2.23 |
| Dominion South Point | 2.37 |
| Henry Hub | 2.28 |
| Houston Ship Channel | 2.27 |
| Katy Hub | 2.16 |
| NGPL LA Pool | 2.17 |
| NGPL - Midcontinent | 2.11 |
| NGPL STX | 2.15 |
| NGPL TX/OK | 2.14 |
| NNG Demarc. | 2.15 |
| Niagara | 2.44 |
| Sonat Tier 1 | 2.22 |
| TCO IPP Pool | 2.35 |
| Tetco ELa | 2.25 |
| Tetco M-3 | 2.63 |
| Tetco STX | 2.16 |
| TGP Zone 0 | 2.15 |
| TGP Zone 1 (500 Leg) | 2.20 |
| TGT Zone SL | 2.24 |
| New York Citygate | 2.67 |
| Transco Station 65 | 2.28 |
| Transco Zone 6 (NY) | 2.67 |
| Trunk ELa | 2.19 |
| Western Region
| California Border | 2.16 |
| El Paso Keystone | 2.04 |
| El Paso San Juan-Blanco | 2.03 |
| Waha Hub | 2.08 |
| Canadian/Rockies Region
| Nova/Aeco (C$/gig) | 2.92 |
| Dawn Hub/Union | 2.28 |
| Northwest Stanfield | 2.05 |
| Wyoming Pool | 1.98 |
| Opal | 1.99 |
| PGT-Malin | 2.12 |
| Sumas | 2.04 |
Flow Dates 1/19-22
-------------------------------------------------------------
Washington DC
January 24, 2002
Spencer Abraham U.S. Secretary of Energy to address energy community
on
potential security and commerce threats. Also to speak will be key
directors
from the CIA, SPR, IEA, SPR and more. See complete
detail and register today at
http://www.wesc.org
-------------------------------------------------------------
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
The TSE 300 slid 47.92 points to 7604.79
The CRB Index dropped 1.84 points to 190.07
The US Dollar decreased 0.41 points to 117.51
The Dow declined 78.19 points to 9771.85
The S&P 500 fell 11.301 points to 1127.58
The Nasdaq was down 55.48 points to 1930.34
February NYMEX Crude Oil rose 0.03 to 18.00
Canadian-US Exchange gained 0.0025 to 1.6132
-------------------------------------------------------------
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