Enron Mail

From:nikita.varma@enron.com
To:nikita.varma@enron.com
Subject:From the Enron India Newsdesk- May 22nd newsclips
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Tue, 22 May 2001 05:41:21 -0700 (PDT)


THE HINDU
Tuesday, May 22, 2001, http://www.the-hindu.com/stories/06220007.htm
Not too late to save Enron project , Prem Shankar Jha=20
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001, http://www.financialexpress.com/fe20010522/news1.htm=
l
Centre calls meet on May 25 to resolve termination notice crisis, Sanjay J=
og

The above article also appeared in the following newspaper:

THE INDIAN EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.indian-express.com/ie20010522/bus2.html
Centre calls meet on May 25 to resolve Enron's PTN issue, Sanjay Jog
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THE ECONOMIC TIMES
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.economictimes.com/today/22econ20.htm
FIs seek Centre's intervention in DPC-MSEB row
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THE ECONOMIC TIMES
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.economictimes.com/today/22econ14.htm
Maha seeks legal opinion on termination notice

The above article also appeared in the following newspaper:

THE TIMES OF INDIA
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.timesofindia.com/today/22indi30.htm
Maharashtra for legal opinion on termination notice=20
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.financialexpress.com/fe20010522/corp7.html
Domestic DPC lenders seek Centre's advice on course of action=20
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THE HINDU BUSINESSLINE
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.hindubusinessline.com/stories/14225601.htm
Dabhol lenders draw blank with Finance Ministry , Shaji Vikraman , Balaji C=
. Mouli=20
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THE TIMES OF INDIA
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.timesofindia.com/today/22busi3.htm
Re-negotiation best: Deshmukh; lenders' SOS to Centre=20
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THE HINDU BUSINESSLINE
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.hindubusinessline.com/stories/14225602.htm
Uncertainty over DPC presence at Godbole meet=20
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THE INDIAN EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.indian-express.com/ie20010522/nat2.html
Pawar urges Centre to buy Enron power
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.financialexpress.com/fe20010522/news2.html
MSEB not to pay capacity charges until receipt of Rs 401-crore rebate from =
DPC=20
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THE ECONOMIC TIMES
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.economictimes.com/today/22econ04.htm
Finding new buyers key to DPC's future
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.financialexpress.com/fe20010522/top4.html
DPC to gain from ST waiver on naphtha, Sanjay Jog
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THE ECONOMIC TIMES
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.economictimes.com/today/22worl05.htm
Enron sells stake in Dolphin to UAE Offsets

The above article also appeared in the following newspaper:

THE TIMES OF INDIA
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.timesofindia.com/today/22inte2.htm
Enron pulls out of major Gulf gas project=20

THE INDIAN EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.indian-express.com/ie20010522/bus9.html
Enron walks out of $3.5-bn UAE project
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BUSINESS STANDARD
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.business-standard.com/today/opinion3.asp?m=
enu=3D8
FOCUS: THE ENRON CONTROVERSY, Dabhol: more heat than light
A V Rajwade highlights some basic errors of omission and commission in the =
Enron deal
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THE TIMES OF INDIA
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.timesofindia.com/today/22edit1.htm
Business Unusual=20
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.financialexpress.com/fe20010522/fed3.html
What happens when ignorance is bliss=20
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.financialexpress.com/fe20010522/fed1.html
Learning by undoing=20
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THE INDIAN EXPRESS
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.indian-express.com/ie20010522/ed1.html
Enron unplugged
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THE HINDU BUSINESSLINE
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.hindubusinessline.com/stories/042221ed.htm
Messier and messier=20
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BUSINESS STANDARD
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.business-standard.com/today/edit1.asp?Menu=
=3D9
Enr-off and Enr-out
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BUSINESS STANDARD
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.business-standard.com/today/edit2.asp?Menu=
=3D9
The Godbole findings
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Financial Times; May 21, 2001
Enron to quit India over unpaid bills POWER PROJECT COOLING-OFF PERIOD LOOK=
S UNLIKELY TO SETTLE ACRIMONIOUS DISPUTE=20
BETWEEN US COMPANY AND BOMBAY CLI: KHOZEM MERCHANT
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Financial Times, May 21, 2001
http://globalarchive.ft.com/globalarchive/articles.html?id=3D010521000893&;q=
uery=3Denron
India's power struggles: Enron's plight could mark a turning point in Indi=
a's attempts to attract foreign investment, David Gardner:
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Financial Times; May 22, 2001
http://globalarchive.ft.com/globalarchive/articles.html?id=3D010522001152&;q=
uery=3Denron
India unplugged=20
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Financial Times; May 22, 2001
http://globalarchive.ft.com/globalarchive/articles.html?id=3D010522000904&;q=
uery=3Denron
Maharashtra pays the price for bad governance: Dispute with Enron has calle=
d into question its status as India's preferred home for
investment, KHOZEM MERCHANT
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Financial Times; May 22, 2001
http://globalarchive.ft.com/globalarchive/articles.html?id=3D010522000903&;q=
uery=3Denron
Ally threatens to desert BJP coalition, DAVID GARDNER
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THE ECONOMIC TIMES
Tuesday, May 22, 2001,http://www.economictimes.com/today/22edit09.htm
LETTERS TO THE EDITOR - Power corrupts...
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THE HINDU
Tuesday, May 22, 2001, http://www.the-hindu.com/stories/06220007.htm
Not too late to save Enron project , Prem Shankar Jha=20

After months of tortured haggling and increasing bad blood, the Indian stat=
e and Enron, the giant American energy transnational, have reached a partin=
g of ways. Having failed to get the Maharashtra State Electricity Board pay=
for the electricity it is buying from its Dabhol Power Compay; having fail=
ed to get the Maharashtra Government to honour its commitment to pay MSEB's=
dues in case the latter is unable to do so, and having failed to make the =
Central Government honour its counter-guarantee of MSEB's dues, Enron has =
served a preliminary notice of termination. This gives the two parties six =
months to settle the dispute. After that the Government will have to pay En=
ron a large sum in termination costs. If the MSEB fights this and loses, th=
e compensation and penalties could add up to Rs. 17,000 crores or one and a=
half times the cost of the entire project. Predictably, the air is full of=
brave statements by the Maharashtra Chief Minister, State officials, bank =
managers and Central Power Ministry officials, that this would be good ridd=
ance. The Central Government virtually said as much first by claiming that =
this was simply a dispute between a single power company and a State govern=
ment; then by refusing to honour its counter-guarantee of MSEB's dues, and =
finally by not sending its representative to the first meeting of the reneg=
otiating committee that the State Government thrust down Enron's throat on =
April 23.=20

By doing all this it implicitly endorsed the view expressed by the Godbole =
Committee that the power purchase agreement was faulty; that Enron had infl=
ated its costs and that the pricing system adopted was extortionate. The tr=
uth is that renegotiation alone cannot save the Enron project because it ca=
nnot bring the cost of power sold by it down to the level that the MSEB is =
being allowed by the State Government to pay. Here are the bald facts. Thir=
ty one per cent of the power generated by the MSEB is stolen or lost during=
transmission. The balance 69 per cent is bought by 12 million paying consu=
mers, of whom, by government orders, 10 million receive subsidised electric=
ity. Chief of these are the so-called agriculturists who pay 16 to 25 per c=
ent of the average book value cost of generation, the smaller of the small =
scale industries, which pay a fraction less than the cost of generation, an=
d the bulk of the domestic consumers. The MSEB attempts to recover the loss=
by making industry and commercial establishments pay almost double the cos=
t of generation.=20

But since a disproportionate share of these consumers is in Mumbai, where t=
hey are served by Tata Electric Companies and BSES, in spite of charging 20=
per cent more from industrial consumers than they do, the MSEB has been un=
able to recover costs through cross-subsidisation. Between April 1997 and M=
arch 2000, a succession of populist and irresponsible governments have forc=
ed the MSEB to dole out Rs. 2,800 crores worth of subsidies. In 2000, the M=
SEB was incurring a cash loss of about Rs. 5 crores a day, that is, 14 per =
cent of the cost of generation. This was the situation in which Dabhol's fi=
rst phase came on stream in June 1999. Since at 90 per cent capacity utilis=
ation it would have added only 6 per cent to power generation and, even at =
Rs. 5 per unit, the MSEB would have been able to cover the extra cost of En=
ron power by raising average tariffs by a mere 5.5 per cent. But there has =
been no increase in tariff since September 1998. That is the reason why the=
MSEB simply could not face the prospect of buying the additional power tha=
t Enron was capable of providing. It, therefore, sought to minimise its add=
itional loss by buying barely a third of the Dabhol's generating capacity. =
But since the capital charge was fixed, it found that this did not save muc=
h. That was when it baulked at paying and began to look for a way to break =
the power purchase agreement.=20

The Maharashtra Government's absolute refusal to reduce subsidies or curb p=
ower theft spells the death of private power generation, whether by Indian =
or foreign companies. This is because Maharashtra is no exception. Each and=
every State electricity board is being prevented today from charging an ec=
onomic price for power by populist and unstable State governments, while th=
e Centre looks helplessly on. As a result, two foreign companies, Cogentrix=
and Electricite de France, have already formally pulled out. Thirteen priv=
ate power projects with a generation capacity of 6,275 MW have not invested=
a single rupee so far despite having achieved financial closure and obtain=
ed all necessary permissions. Among them is a third foreign investor, Daewo=
o. This has forced the participating banks to cancel their loans to 10 of t=
hem.=20

In Maharashtra, two more large plants, Ispat's 1,082 MW plant at Bhadravati=
and Reliance's 437 MW plant at Patalganga, which were awaiting the outcome=
of the Enron struggle, will now almost certainly be given up. All this is =
happening when the country faces a 10 per cent overall and 32 per cent defi=
cit in peak power supply. It is still not too late to salvage the Dabhol pr=
oject on terms that are fair to the MSEB as well as Enron. The Centre can b=
ring down the capital component of the electricity tariff by buying the CNG=
terminal, port facilities and re-gasification plant from Enron, and bringi=
ng in a strategic partner to run it as a separate enterprise. This will bri=
ng the cost of the power project down from $2.8 billion to $2.2 billion. Th=
e capital charge on the MSEB will come down by over 20 per cent and, since =
capital charges are 55 to 60 per cent of the tariff, the cost of electricit=
y will come down by 12 per cent.=20

When the second phase of the plant is complete in six months or so, at 90 p=
er cent of capacity utilisation, the cost of power will come down to Rs. 3.=
15 to 3.20 per unit. This will be the lowest for a new plant in the country=
. Second, since only three quarters of the equity and debt capital have bee=
n raised abroad, and approximately the same proportion of running costs is =
incurred in foreign exchange, only this proportion of the total tariff shou=
ld be pegged to the exchange rate. This will substantially moderate the fut=
ure increase in power costs for Enron. But even this settlement will requir=
e the State Government to raise the average tariff to a point where it will=
absorb the marginal cost of generating electricity from new plants. The Ce=
ntre will have to point this fact and take measures to enforce this rule of=
pricing throughout the country.=20
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Centre calls meet on May 25 to resolve termination notice crisis, Sanjay J=
og

THE BJP-led Central government, which has come under severe attack for its =
not-to-worry attitude, has finally decided to act and has convened a crucia=
l meeting on May 25 to take stock of the situation in the wake of issuance =
of preliminary termination notice (PTN) by the Dabhol Power Company (DPC) t=
o the Maharashtra State Electricity Board (MSEB). The meeting would be atte=
nded by the officials from the union ministries of finance, power, oil and =
natural gas, Maharashtra government and the MSEB. It is likely that the DPC=
officials would also be invited for the May 25th meeting in a serious bid =
to send a "positive" signal across the world. Union minister of state for e=
nergy Jayavantiben Mehta confirmed the May 25 meeting and told The Financia=
l Express that the Centre would always try to help the state government fin=
d a way out. "However, the signatories for the power purchase agreement - =
the MSEB and DPC - should first try to overcome the crisis and then and th=
en only can the Centre intervene," Ms Mehta said. "Various options can be c=
onsidered to resolve the Dabhol imbroglio," Ms Mehta said in a telephonic c=
onversation. However, she declined to divulge any further details.

Sources said that Ms Mehta, in the absence of cabinet minister Suresh Prabh=
u who is abroad, took a lead and briefed Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpaye=
e and finance minister Yashwant Sinha after the issuance of the PTN by DPC.=
Ms Mehta is believed to have stressed the need for a meeting of all partie=
s involved in the Dabhol project. The May 25 meet was fixed as Mr Prabhu is=
expected to reach New Delhi on late May 23 or early May 24. In addition to=
this, the Centre wants to wait until it receives a briefing from its nomin=
ee and former bureaucrat AV Gokak who would attend the May 23 meeting of th=
e Madhav Godbole renegotiation committee. In a related development, the MSE=
B on Monday has sent copies of the PTN to the respective union ministries f=
or their perusal. MSEB's top officials, comprising chairman Vinay Bansal on=
Monday closeted with its legal advisors to examine the PTN and its impact.=
State chief minister Vilasrao Deshmukh said that his government has also s=
ought legal opinion on the issuance of PTN.
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THE ECONOMIC TIMES,Tuesday, May 22, 2001
FIs seek Centre's intervention in DPC-MSEB row

FOLLOWING Enron-promoted Dabhol Power Company's issuance of the preliminary=
termination notice to the Maharashtra State Electricity Board, its Indian =
lenders have once again decided to seek the Centre's intervention to solve =
the imbroglio. "Like our earlier efforts, even this time, we wish that the =
Union government intervene and help defuse the entire crisis amicably," fin=
ancial institution sources said. Indian lenders, led by Industrial Developm=
ent Bank of India and a consortium of several banks -- including State Bank=
of India and ICICI -- have lent around $1.4 billion of DPC's $3-billion, 2=
,184-mw project in Dabhol. In fact, the sources said, IDBI, along with the =
global lenders, had written to Union finance secretary Ajit Kumar in the fi=
rst week of this month, seeking the Centre's intervention to direct MSEB an=
d the Maharashtra government to pay dues of up to Rs 213 crore towards Nove=
mber and December 2000 bills "We had also asked the Centre to convince MSEB=
, and restrain it from issuing a termination notice to DPC," they said.=20

However, Kumar in his reply, had put the ball in the lenders' court and ask=
ed the Indian FIs to take "the course deemed fit to them in this case". Wit=
h reference to the notice, sources said the Indian Fis had been very critic=
al of the move and that they had voted negative when DPC had sought for a m=
andate by May 18, during the three-day tele-conferencing of all the lenders=
. "We think the matter is a not a boxing match, but a commercial dispute, w=
hich could be solved by negotiations," they said. Expressing doubts about f=
urther funding to DPC, in view of the notice, sources said: "We have to thi=
nk whether they can disburse the remaining 20 per cent funds of around $250=
million following the PTN." The Indian FIs were also upset about the fact =
that DPC did not wait for the voting scheduled to be completed on Monday, a=
s it had received the required mandate from ABN-AMRO-led offshore consortiu=
m. "We are sure that the foreign lenders must have exercised their vote on =
May 18 night itself, immediately after the end of the tele-conference," the=
y added. "This proves that DPC had already made up its mind over the PTN, b=
ut such a hasty step will not deter us Indian lenders to vote against the =
PTN," the lenders said.=20

DPC had also convinced the foreign lenders that the state government had br=
eached the PPA and the very fact that the government constituted the review=
committee indicated that it did not want to support the agreement, the sou=
rces said. Moreover, in DPC's April 25 London board-meet, an IDBI official =
had tried to convince the foreign counterparts to refrain from PTN, and req=
uested DPC to resort to re-negotiation. (PTI)
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THE ECONOMIC TIMES, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Maha seeks legal opinion on termination notice

THE MAHARASHTRA government has sought legal opinion on the preliminary ter=
mination notice served by Enron promoted Dabhol Power Company to the State =
Electricity Board. "We have asked our officers to take legal opinion and ac=
cordingly we will pursue the matter," chief minister Vilasrao Deshmukh told=
reporters on the sidelines of the conference of chief ministers on WTO agr=
eement here on Monday.=20

Stressing on resolving the tangle by way of renegotiating the power purchas=
e agreement, he said that Mahrashtra State Electricity Board had not slappe=
d another Rs 400 crore penalty notice on the US energy company. "No notice =
has been given. I talked to MSEB chairman who said that no notice has been =
given," he said. Earlier MSEB sources were reported to have said that the b=
oard had decided to go ahead with its decision to slap yet another Rs 400 c=
rore penalty on DPC for mis-declaration and default on the availability of =
power. The proposed penalty is in the wake of DPC's inability to produce po=
wer on February 12 and March 13 as per MSEB's demand in stipulated time of =
three hours as per the power purchase agreement, they said. (PTI)
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Domestic DPC lenders seek Centre's advice on course of action=20

THE domestic financial institutions (FIs) led by Industrial Development Ban=
k of India (IDBI) have asked the Centre to advise them on the further cour=
se of action, in the backdrop of both the Dabhol Power Company (DPC) and th=
e Maharashtra State Electricity Board (MSEB) serving each other preliminary=
termination notices (PTN) for the $3 billion power project. This is despit=
e the fact that Mr Ajit Kumar, finance secretary, in his earlier reply to t=
he FIs' letter had put the ball back in the lenders' court, asking them to =
take "the course deemed fit for them in this case." The domestic lenders ha=
d also asked the Centre to convince MSEB, and restrain it from issuing a PT=
N to DPC. "Like our earlier efforts, even this time, we hope the Union gove=
rnment would intervene and help defuse the crisis amicably," sources in fin=
ancial institutions said.

Indian lenders led by IDBI and a consortium of several banks including the =
State Bank of India and ICICI have lent around $1.4 billion out of DPC's to=
tal $3 billion 2,184 mw project in Dabhol. In fact, the sources said, IDBI=
, along with the global lenders, had written to the union finance secretary=
Ajit Kumar in the first week of this month, seeking Centre's intervention =
to direct MSEB and the state government to pay dues up to Rs 213 crore towa=
rds the November and December 2000 bills. With reference to the PTN, source=
s said the Indian FIs been highly critical of such a move and that they ha=
d voted negative when DPC had sought a mandate by May 18, during the three =
day tele-conferencing of all lenders. "We think the matter is a not a boxin=
g match, but a commercial dispute, which could be solved by negotiations," =
they said.
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THE HINDU BUSINESSLINE, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Dabhol lenders draw blank with Finance Ministry , Shaji Vikraman , Balaji C=
. Mouli=20

THE Indian lenders to the Dabhol power project, led by Industrial Developme=
nt Bank of India (IDBI), have met with a cold response from the Finance Min=
istry to its request to the Government to help protect its loan exposure an=
d to honour the power purchase and counter-guarantee agreements. The domest=
ic lenders, who have a debt exposure of over $1 billion to the project, had=
sought the intervention of the Government to resolve the deadlock over the=
outstanding payment to the power utility from the Maharashtra State Electr=
icity Board (MSEB) and the Maharashtra Government. Indian financial institu=
tions and commercial banks will be in a spot of bother as they do not enjo=
y the comfort of their exposure to Dabhol Power Company (DPC) being covered=
under the counter guarantee agreement.=20

The threat to the FIs has now arisen because of the preliminary termination=
notice under Sec.17 of the power purchase agreement has been served by the=
project sponsor. The counter-guarantee agreement covers only the foreign l=
enders. According to the agreement, the foreign debt component equivalent t=
o the foreign equity in the project is guaranteed free of cost. For the rem=
aining part of the foreign debt, the sponsor would have to pay an interest=
charge of 1.2 per cent on a reducing balance basis.=20

The Indian lenders to the project is led by IDBI, which has advanced funds =
aggregating Rs 1,700 crore, and includes ICICI, IFCI, State Bank of India a=
nd Canara Bank. Besides the rupee loans, IDBI has provided a guarantee for =
a $200-million line of credit extended to DPC by the US Exim Bank. Accordin=
g to senior Government officials, the Ministry has taken the view that the =
Indian lenders would have to act on their own in this case as it is their c=
ommercial judgement which prevailed when the loan was disbursed at high int=
erest rates to DPC. ``Prior to sanctioning of the loan, they never approach=
ed the Government. After the mess, they want the Government to bail out the=
m. It only reflects their short-sighted approach,'' a Ministry official sai=
d. The consortium of lenders to the Dabhol project want the MSEB and the Ma=
harashtra Government to increase the escrow cover and also the line of cred=
it to DPC. The Maharashtra Government has, however, refused to oblige sayin=
g that the company had already invoked politicial force majeure.
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THE TIMES OF INDIA,Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Re-negotiation best: Deshmukh; lenders' SOS to Centre=20

``The (best) solution lies in an amicable settlement,'' remarked Maharashtr=
a CM Vilasrao Deshmukh to journalists' queries here on Monday regarding th=
e Enron standoff. The CM, who was here at the meeting called by the PM to d=
iscuss India's position at the WTO talks on agricultural trade, reiterated =
the basic point: His government was keen on negotiating and that was the on=
ly way out. The Maharashtra electricity board just cannot afford to buy Enr=
on's generation at the current price, he said. Queried on the latest set of=
notices between the two parties, Deshmukh said what was being aired verbal=
ly is not so important. What is more to the point is a willingness to find =
a way out.

PTI adds from Mumbai: Following Enron-promoted Dabhol Power Company's issua=
nce of the preliminary termination notice (PTN) to MSEB, its Indian lenders=
have once again decided to seek the Centre's intervention to solve the im=
broglio. "Like our earlier effort, even this time, we wish that theUnion go=
vernment intervene and help diffuse the entire crisis amicably", FI source=
s said. The Indian lenders, led by IDBI and a consortium of several banks i=
ncluding SBI and ICICI have lent around $ 1.4 billion out of DPC's total $=
3 billion 2,184-MW project in Dabhol.=20

In fact, the sources said, IDBI along with the global lenders had written t=
o Union finance secretary Ajit Kumar in the first week of this month, seeki=
ng the Centre's intervention to direct MSEB and the Maharashtra government =
to pay dues up to Rs 213 crore towards the November and December 2000 bill=
s."We had also asked the Centre to convince MSEB, and refrain it from issu=
ing a termination notice to DPC," they said. However, Kumar in his reply, =
had put the ball in the lenders' court and asked Indian FIs to take "the co=
urse deemed fit to them in this case".
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THE HINDU BUSINESSLINE, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Uncertainty over DPC presence at Godbole meet=20

THERE is uncertainty about Dabhol Power Company (DPC) officials' attendance=
at the second negotiation meeting on May 23 chaired by Dr Madhav Godbole. =
The company had said that the Godbole committee report ``should not form th=
e basis for any future discussions''. ``They (DPC) have not informed us abo=
ut staying away from the meeting. So we will assume that they will be prese=
nt. But if they do not come, it will be the end of the dialogue for negotia=
tion,'' a senior State Government official said. The Centre's representativ=
e, Mr A.V. Gokak, will attend the May 23 meeting, the official said.=20

DPC had objected to the absence of the Centre's representative at the last =
meeting. ``GoI did not even bother to send a representative to the initial =
renegotiation committee meeting on May 11,'' the company had said when issu=
ing the preliminary termination notice. DPC's spokesperson declined to comm=
ent on being asked if the company's representatives would attend the secon=
d meeting of the Godbole panel. Meanwhile, senior officials of the State Go=
vernment have expressed concern over neglect in appointing the third concil=
iator to enable the conciliation process between the Union Government and D=
PC. ``The conciliation process has to be completed within 60 days, which me=
ans the deadline falls on June 7,'' a senior State Government official said=
. ``But they're still looking for the third person,'' he said. In its state=
ment when issuing the preliminary termination notice on Saturday, the compa=
ny has put down the Union Government's ``failure to respond positively to D=
PC lenders' written requests for assurances'', as one of the reasons for is=
suing the notice.
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THE INDIAN EXPRESS, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Pawar urges Centre to buy Enron power

NATIONALIST Congress Party president Sharad Pawar has urged the Union Gover=
nment to play a supporting role in the Enron controversy by purchasing addi=
tional power from the Dabhol Power Company (DPC). Speaking to mediapersons,=
Pawar said Maharashtra was not in a position to purchase 2000 MW of power =
from phase II of DPC and the Union Government should come forward to purcha=
se it. He said the government could purchase power from DPC as several stat=
es were facing a shortage. The NCP leader said the DPC had not taken a wise=
step by sending a notice to the Maharashtra State Electricity Board (MSEB)=
. It should have sorted the issue through negotiations. When specifically a=
sked about the Godbole Committee set up by the Maharashtra government, Pawa=
r said the views of Godbole on the issue were known to all. But three of th=
e members resigned from the committee, putting a question mark on its funct=
ioning.

Pawar said it would be wise for both the DPC and Maharashtra government to =
solve the issue through discussions, instead of fighting a legal battle. As=
ked whether he would persuade the Union Government to change its stand, Paw=
ar said Chief Minister Vilasrao Deshmukh and Energy Minister Padmasinh Pati=
l were making efforts in the same direction. He said the DPC should also ha=
ve brought down its purchase rates in view of the complications, adding tha=
t it would not be in the interests of Maharashtra if the matter was taken u=
p to the tribunal. He said the issue would send wrong signals to the foreig=
n investors, which will ultimately halt the economic growth of the country.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
MSEB not to pay capacity charges until receipt of Rs 401-crore rebate from =
DPC=20

THE Maharashtra State Electricity Board (MSEB), which would slap a rebate o=
f nearly Rs 800 crore for misdeclaration and default on the availability of=
power in February and March by the DPC, has threatened not to pay capacit=
y charges until DPC makes the payment of rebate of Rs 401 crore charged fo=
r the January 28 default. MSEB sources told The Financial Express that it h=
as paid a whopping Rs 1,806 crore to DPC towards capacity charges during M=
ay 1999 and February 2001, on a monthly basis.

However, the successive occurrences of shortfall in actual generation under=
mines the entire basis of the power purchase agreement (PPA) and the "MSEB =
is entitled to be discharged from further performance in terms of the PPA, =
due to DPC's failure to perform its obligations in terms of the PPA," sourc=
es said. MSEB on or about March 27, 2001 paid "under protest" the capacity =
payment of about Rs 83.04 crore for the month of February 2001, having take=
n a view that in terms of the PPA, the rebate would be adjusted in May 2001=
. "However, given the fact that DPC has raised disputes in order to avoid =
and/or delay adjusting the rebates and the successive breaches by DPC, MSEB=
may be entitled to be relieved of its future obligations - making capaci=
ty payments until such disputes are finally determined," MSEB sources said=
.

In view of DPC's admission with regard to failure on its part and its incap=
ability to adhere to the provisions of Schedule 6, and/or the inability of=
the Dabhol plant to perform according to the Dynamic Parameters and Operat=
ing Characteristics, DPC is not entitled to insist that its December 2000 b=
ill (Rs 102 crore) should be paid in full without any adjustment. According=
to the MSEB, the clear intent of Clause 11 (b) (ii) of the PPA is that DPC=
would compute the rebate in accordance with Clause 10.2 and the amounts wo=
uld be duly adjusted in the months of January, May and September, and that,=
thereafter, if after such adjustment, further amounts are still payable to=
MSEB, the same would be paid and/or adjusted against future capacity payme=
nts. "This breaks down if DPC refuses to calculate the rebate, make necessa=
ry adjustments, make payment, and resorts to the dispute resolution procedu=
re. Therefore, MSEB is entitled to adjust and/or withhold amounts as it has=
a legitimate claim against DPC," sources said.
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--------
THE ECONOMIC TIMES, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Finding new buyers key to DPC's future

THE MAHARASHTRA government and the Centre are exploring the possibility of =
an Indian company taking over the Dabhol Power Company, the subsidiary of U=
S energy major Enron that is mired in a major power tariff dispute with the=
Maharashtra State Electricity Board. According to Maharshtra government of=
ficials, the sale of Enron's stake in DPC to an Indian company in the priva=
te or public sector is being seen as the honorable way out of the dispute b=
etween the company, the government and the MSEB. According to a source, the=
Maharashtra government is under pressure from lending agencies, foreign in=
vestors and the US government to save the $3-billion Dabhol project. Abando=
ning it could result in payouts of about Rs 17,000 crore to Enron, he said.=
=20

Under the counter guarantees provided by the Indian government, compensatio=
n would include returns on investment made by Enron in the DPC project. Fin=
ancial institutions like the Industrial Development Bank of India, ICICI an=
d the State Bank of India could face major losses as they have given guaran=
tees to international lenders, officials say. Maharashtra has already begun=
to cover its flanks by charging DPC with providing insufficient services a=
nd installing substandard equipment to prevent its facility from generating=
95 per cent power. A penalty of Rs 401 crore was slapped on the company la=
st month for not providing power to MSEB at a notice of three hours. It has=
now been decided that a notice for a similar penalty will be sent in June =
as well, officials here said.=20

MSEB officials have been quoted as saying that no bills would be paid to th=
e company after the April bill of Rs. 1.39 billion. The bills for the remai=
ning months would be adjusted against the penalty. With Enron hardening i=
ts stand, it is possible the company could stop power supply from June, the=
y indicated. Although the DPC has issued the preliminary termination notic=
e, the actual process of terminating the PPA could take as long as six mon=
ths. "This initiates the process of terminating the power purchase agreemen=
t with the Maharashtra State Electricity Board," DPC said.=20

Simultaneously, it said it was open to "constructive" negotiations on the i=
ssue. The DPC is demanding that the Central government participate in the n=
egotiations between Enron and MSEB or provide credit support to purchasers =
of its power as a pre-condition to talks. "While a lasting and feasible so=
lution to this issue may be possible, it can only occur if the parties cont=
ractually bound to purchase DPC power (MSEB with guarantees from state and =
central government) are willing to either purchase themselves or find "othe=
r" creditworthy entities," the company said.=20

Enron also said the report of committee on renegotiating the power purchase=
agreement should not be the basis for discussions. The stalemate in the pr=
oject follows the Maharashtra government disputing payments for power purch=
ased by the MSEB from the DPC. The government cleared its February and Marc=
h outstanding of Rs 113 crore and=
Rs 134 crore respectively but under protest. The DPC currently produces 74=
0 MW of power. This is to go up to 2,184 MW if and when the second phase of=
the project goes on stream. (IANS)
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
DPC to gain from ST waiver on naphtha, Sanjay Jog

THE Maharashtra government has waived the 5.4 per cent sales tax on napht=
ha supplied by Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) for Dabhol Power Company (DPC).=
Mantralaya sources told The Financial Express that the decision would be=
nefit not only DPC but also other electricity utilities operating in the s=
tate. Although the energy, finance and planning departments have cleared t=
he file pertaining to this issue, it would be taken up for the Cabinet's a=
pproval only at its meeting on May 23. Sources said instead of considering=
the DPC's case in isolation, the state government had taken a broader vie=
w in offering the naphtha sales tax waiver to utilities operating in the s=
tate.

"The objective is to refrain these utilities from procuring naphtha from G=
ujarat. Had these utilites procured naphtha from Gujarat, the latter woul=
d have earned a revenue of over Rs 40 crore annually," the sources added. =
Analysts said the state government's move would draw criticism especially =
from the anti-Enron lobby. According to them, although it is a coincidence =
that the file in this regard was cleared after the issuance of preliminary=
termination notice (PTN), the government would have to convince its const=
ituents which have been pressing for the scrapping of the Dabhol project.=
=20

Ironically, the state finance and planning department had, in the past, que=
stioned naphtha sales tax waiver on the grounds that its approval for DPC=
in particular would not be possible as the Shiv Sena-BJP alliance governm=
ent had already reduced the sales tax on naphtha from 15 per cent to 4 per=
cent in 1995. However, the department relented and is believed to have agr=
eed to clear the file by making it clear that the waiver will be applicable=
to all utilities and not DPC in particular. Since January this year, DPC =
has been pressing for the full waiver of sales tax on the 1.2 million tonne=
of naphtha procured from IOC during the calender year 2001.=20

The company had pointed out that any tax levied on the naphtha purchases wi=
ll lead to tariff increase and would add to the burden on the consumers "a=
s the cost of fuel is passed to MSEB under the power purchase agreement". =
DPC had said MSEB would have to bear an additional burden of about Rs 71.5=
crore in 2001 as a result of the net impact of local sales tax. "Given the=
effect of a tariff increase for electricity consumers in the state, ... gr=
ant us full exemption of tax on local purchase of naphtha by issuing neces=
sary notification under section 41 of Bombay Sales Tax Act," the company p=
resident and ceo Neil Mcgregror had in one of his recent communications to =
the state government said. Further, the energy department and MSEB had sup=
ported the DPC's stand and had said MSEB was not in a position to take the=
additional burden in view of its present precarious finances. The MSEB ha=
d requested the state energy department that the finance department should =
clear sales tax waiver to DPC "as a special requirment."=20
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THE ECONOMIC TIMES, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Enron sells stake in Dolphin to UAE Offsets

US Enron has bowed out of a $3.5-billion project to route Qatari gas to the=
United Arab Emirates and sold its stake in Dolphin Energy, the project cha=
irman and US firm announced on Monday. Enron sold its stake to the UAE Offs=
ets Group for an undisclosed amount. Richard Bergsieker, the US firm's Midd=
le East MD, told a news conference in Abu Dhabi that Enron did not believe =
it could add much to the project in its current stage. "As the project had =
evolved into a strong upstream gas supply project and gas transport and del=
ivery, we don't believe there is a lot of value that Enron can add," he exp=
lained. "The project requires longterm equity investment in upstream and E=
nron is frankly not an upstream company."=20

DEL chairman Ahmed Ali al-Sayegh had earlier said Enron had agreed to trans=
fer its 24.5 per cent stake in Dolphin to UOG for an undisclosed amount, ra=
ising the UAE firm's stake to 75.5 per cent. TotalFinaElf holds the remaini=
ng stake. Patrick Rambaud, TotalFinaElf's senior vice-president for the Mid=
dle East, said his firm has formally asked UOG to increase its own stake =
in the project. Sayegh, however, said UOG is seeking a different partner. "=
We are studying the TotalFinaElf request...(but) there will be another part=
ner in the project," he said. "Starting tomorrow, we will begin negotiatio=
ns with the global firms who have shown interest in acquiring a state. The=
y are more than eight companies." He refused to name the firms but said "ev=
erybody who is working in the Gulf is interested. We are not in a hurry to =
choose a partner." Qatar and DEL in March signed a "commercial term sheet a=
greement" which outlined the conditions of the upstream agreement for the l=
ong-awaited $3.5bn project. The two sides aim to sign a production-sharing =
agreement by the end of the third quarter '01. Sayegh said they would stic=
k to that deadline. "The latest date is mid-September," he added.=20

Qatar, which sits on the world's third largest gas reserves, is seeking to =
boost its natural gas exports to the Gulf after investing billions of dolla=
rs to tap its vast gas riches. The gas deal will entitle DEL to develop a t=
ract of Qatar's giant North Field and produce up to two billion cubic feet =
per day. UOG is to invest $2 billion in developing the tract, drilling and =
setting up of production facilities. The remaining $1.5 billion would be in=
vested to lay a pipeline and set up receiving terminals at Dubai's Jebel Al=
i and Taweelah in Abu Dhabi. First gas is targeted to reach the UAE capital=
Abu Dhabi by late '04 or early '05. 1-1.5 billion cfd of Qatari gas would =
be used by utilities in Abu Dhabi and the remainder supplied to Dubai. DEL =
has started inviting local, regional and international companies to prequal=
ify for five contracts between May 19-23 following the establishment of a t=
echnical project team to oversee the implementation of the first cross-bord=
er gas pipeline project in the Middle East. Engineering and construction ma=
nagement firms will have two weeks to submit their prequalification stateme=
nt for each contract after the date of the official announcement. (Reuters)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
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BUSINESS STANDARD, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
FOCUS: THE ENRON CONTROVERSY, Dabhol: more heat than light
A V Rajwade highlights some basic errors of omission and commission in the =
Enron deal
The general impression propagated by the critics of the Enron-promoted powe=
r project, and often accepted by the man on the street, is that MSEB and, a=
s a by-product, the citizens of Maharashtra, are victims of very high-cost =
power; that the agreements were signed at the behest of corrupt politicians=
; and that, therefore, the best course of action is to tear up the agreemen=
ts and forget about it. But the first phase of the power plant has been in =
operation for a few years, and the second phase is also reportedly 92 per c=
ent complete. These are genuine productive assets that the economy will eve=
ntually need, and cannot be wished away. Nor can the country afford to rene=
ge with impunity, solemnly undertaken financial obligations. In my regular =
weekly column (World Money, which appears on Mondays), I have been a suppor=
ter of foreign investment and had criticised the initial stance of the BJP-=
Shiv Sena government, which had terminated the contract, only to revive the=
project on a much bigger scale, on the basis of the efforts of a renegotia=
tion committee appointed by it.=20
The controversy has once again become front-page news, given the inability =
of MSEB to pay the dues of Dabhol Power Company (DPC). In turn, the MSEB ha=
s served notices for what it claims are dues from DPC because of defaults, =
and the whole matter has become a first-class mess. The recent report of th=
e Godbole Committee is certainly a step in the right direction, and the gov=
ernment has appointed another group, once again led by Mr Godbole, to reneg=
otiate the contracts with DPC/Enron. Theoretically of course there are thre=
e possible culprits - politicians, a devious Enron that corrupted them, or =
a system whose competence (and professional commitment) was less than adequ=
ate to evaluate the project properly.=20
To be sure, the committee has, while commenting on how the tariff was shown=
to be within government of India norms, felt "this combination of circumst=
ances to be beyond the realm of coincidence". This is the closest it has co=
me to questioning the motives of those involved. But before drawing conclus=
ions, consider some basic issues. Demand estimation: The report concludes t=
hat gross errors were committed in estimating the total amount and nature o=
f the demand for power in the state. The growth in the high tariff group ha=
s been very limited (surely this was foreseeable - at a particular MSEB tar=
iff, industry finds it cheaper to generate captive power), while low-tariff=
demand has grown steadily.=20
Again, the report argues that, on the supply side, MSEB had enough generati=
ng capacity available for the so-called "base load", to meet which plants h=
ave to run 24 hours a day. MSEB really needed generating capacity, even acc=
ording to its own demand projections, for the intermediate and peak loads. =
While the fuel envisaged to be used in DPC is ideal to take care of this, t=
he plant load factor (PLF) used for cost and tariff calculations is complet=
ely unrealistic for such a power plant. Were these major errors in demand e=
stimation and so on or political failure or system weaknesses?=20
Return on equity: If there were gross errors in the demand-supply projectio=
n side, the assured 16 per cent return on equity, (at 68.5 per cent PLF) af=
ter tax, is also open to serious questioning. What is truly amazing is that=
the return was the same in percentage terms irrespective of whether the eq=
uity was contributed in rupees, dollars or perhaps even yen -and that too i=
n the respective currencies! The Maharashtra government is not responsible =
for this: it is government of India policy, cleared at the highest minister=
ial levels. Before adopting the norm, did we use concepts like Capital Asse=
t Pricing Model (CAPM) which show that equity market returns in all countri=
es are not identical; that they crucially depend on the risk-free rate of i=
nterest which is different for each currency.=20
Again, there are robust benchmarks available for quantifying the political =
risk that a foreign direct investor faces (for example, the premium charged=
for different countries by the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Associati=
on of the World Bank). Was such analysis done before the 16 per cent tax-fr=
ee norm, and exchange-rate protected returns, were assured? If not, who is =
responsible? The discount rate: I started thinking about the discount rate =
used in the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA), for the calculation of the fixe=
d charge, on a simple issue. If for the first phase, the fixed charge is Rs=
95 crore per month or, say, Rs 1,000 crore per annum, and is payable for t=
he next 20 years, what should be the rate of discount at which the present =
value of these payments would be roughly Rs 3,000 crore, which is the cost =
of the first phase?=20
Moreover, the bulk of the fixed charge is indexed to the dollar-rupee excha=
nge rate - in other words, for all practical purposes, the fixed charge is =
a dollar-denominated outflow as far as MSEB is concerned. It seems that now=
here is the discount rate used for calculating the present value of the fix=
ed charge outflows specified or documented! Empirical analysis seems to ind=
icate that the rate is about 17 per cent per annum! It is worth noting that=
even in the dark days of monetary tightness in 1996, a 17 per cent discoun=
t rate would be too high for simple rupee obligations guaranteed by the gov=
ernment of India - it is absurd for discounting a stream of what are effect=
ively dollar payments.=20
Elementary financial economics requires that for calculating the present va=
lue of a dollar stream, the discounting rate should be based on the US trea=
sury bond yields of corresponding duration. This has never been more than 7=
per cent after 1994. For the desired present value, therefore, the correct=
fixed charge needs to be perhaps 40 per cent of what it is now! There is a=
similar logical flaw in the dollar-denominated O&M charges being subject t=
o Indian inflation. While the latter point has been commented on in the rep=
ort, the former has not been adequately weighed.=20
To be sure, this is something of a technical issue and one cannot expect th=
e average minister to understand it. The actual discount rate used has infl=
ated the fixed charges enormously: one suspects that Enron knew this, hence=
the obvious efforts to hide the number. But surely the MSEB and other offi=
cials and advisers dealing with the negotiations, should have appreciated t=
he crucial importance of the number, and insisted on ascertaining the disco=
unt rate? It could of course be argued that the political pressure was such=
that the civil servants were silenced from voicing any objections they may=
have had on the various issues. Is there any evidence in the notings on va=
rious papers to support that the issues of financial economics pertaining t=
o the case had been pinpointed? How is it that the impracticability, nay im=
possibility, of more than half of MSEB's revenue being escrowed for a singl=
e plant was not noticed by anybody? Were not at least some of the issues im=
portant and significant enough for the financial health of MSEB, and indeed=
the Maharashtra government, for at least one bureaucrat to stand up?
A way out: The Godbole committee has recommended a package of proposals to=
resolve the tangle. One would like to add a suggestion worth exploring. Th=
is is based on what happened in the now celebrated dispute between Procter =
& Gamble (P&G), the US multinational, and Bankers Trust Company (BTC) in th=
e United States. P&G had entered into various, complex derivative contracts=
with BTC. When it incurred huge losses, it sued BTC on the grounds that it=
was persuaded to sign contracts the implications of which it had not under=
stood properly, and that therefore the amounts already paid by it should be=
refunded and the contracts voided.=20
Admittedly, this was a novel plea to be taken by a litigant of P&G's standi=
ng. Unfortunately, the case was settled out of court with BTC paying $ 100 =
million-plus to P&G. But if P&G can claim that it did not understand the im=
plications of a financial contract, so surely can MSEB, particularly in rel=
ation to discounting rate or the return on equity, and demand the contracts=
be voided or renegotiated? But it is the Godbole Committee that should hav=
e the last word on the issue: "The Committee would like to state strongly t=
hat none of the solutions espoused for IPPs ... and DPC in particular is te=
nable without the reform of MSEB, especially its distribution business." Th=
at, perhaps, is the crux of the controversy.
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THE TIMES OF INDIA, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
Business Unusual=20

Is India serious about the business of business? Two recent developments ra=
ise this question, and the answer may well determine whether India can achi=
eve its true economic potential or will continue to lurch along, doing the=
best it can under the circumstances. The first is the Dabhol Power Company=
's issuance of a pre-termination notice to the Maharashtra State Electricit=
y Board. This is the first step in a process that could eventually culmina=
te with Enron pulling out of India. Many people might celebrate that, sinc=
e the deal has been riddled with controversy right from the start. So, we =
should perhaps remind ourselves why the need was felt for such a project =
- because lack of power was accepted as one of the primary infrastructural=
problems in India. After all these years, things have only got worse. Than=
ks to politically-dictated tariffs, inefficiency and widespread theft, our =
state electricity boards collectively owe central power utilities Rs 26,00=
0 crore. Given the financial woes of their primary consumer, the SEBs, prod=
ucers can hardly be blamed for seeking some sort of financial safeguards be=
fore they set up shop. The question then arises whether the safeguards Enro=
n sought were prohibitive. It is high time the Centre takes a clear stand o=
n the issue. It should either clearly state that the Enron deal is good for=
India, in which case it should bend over backwards to save it. Or it shoul=
d flatly say the deal is unviable, and mount a public relations campaign to=
minimise the effect of the contract being scrapped on other potential inve=
stors. But before that, it should explain why a Central counter-guarantee w=
as issued in the first place.

The second development is the steadily intensifying confrontation between t=
he government and the trade unions. As in the case of Enron, there are two =
clearly polarised camps talking at, not to, each other. Predictably enough,=
the unions are upset about the proposed move to make it easier for organis=
ations to fire workers. The fact that there is also a proposal to treble th=
e retrenchment compensation from 15 days to 45 days per year of completed s=
ervice is being ignored. The logic of reforming labour laws is well-known: =
it is necessary to make Indian industry globally competitive; it will make =
both the labour and capital markets more flexible, which will create faster=
growth; states which are ostensibly labour-friendly only end up driving aw=
ay industry and increasing unemployment. Repeating these arguments, unfortu=
nately, amounts to preaching to the converted. People who support labour la=
w reforms already know all this, while the trade unions simply aren't willi=
ng to listen. So what can be done? The only way out is for the government t=
o bypass the self-appointed representatives of the disadvantaged, and start=
hardselling reforms directly to this constituency. It should step up the c=
ommunication effort, rather than trying to present reforms as a fait accomp=
li, which can only generate suspicion and resentment. It should admit that =
in its effort to be a benevolent parent, it botches up too many things. So =
it makes more sense for it to focus on just a few things, like education, l=
aw and order, health and nutrition, and providing safety nets for the dispo=
ssessed. If the government can improve its performance in these areas, it m=
ight find people less fearful at the thought of taking responsibility for =
themselves.
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THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS, Tuesday, May 22, 2001
What happens when ignorance is bliss=20

Ministry of Power ignored Planning Commission's advice on direct sale , G =
V Ramakrishna

One of the solutions to the problems associated with the power purchase agr=
eements (PPAs) between independent power producers (IPPs) and the state ele=
ctricity boards (SEBs) now being proposed is the direct sale of power by IP=
Ps to blue-chip industrial customers. The Godbole Committee also is reporte=
d to have suggested that this should be explored in the case of the Dabhol =
project. The idea is not new. It was in fact proposed when the writer was a=
member of the Planning Commission in 1994 and was ignored by the power min=
istry in its preoccupation with the Enron project and the need to justify =
the one-sided agreement as the only way of solving the power shortage in th=
e country.

The proposal made in 1994 also addressed the objection now being raised by =
the SEBs that such direct sale will diminish their revenues from industrial=
high tariff users and their capacity to cross-subsidise the cost of power =
supplied to the low- or zero-tariff consumers in the domestic and agricultu=
ral sectors. The proposal was based on four parameters: SEB power capacity,=
pattern of supply to various users, the tariff structure and the extent of=
cross subsidisation. These parameters would determine how much additional =
power each state can afford and the extent to which direct supply can be ma=
de to industrial users. The outline of the proposal is as follows:

If, say, the existing power capacity in a state is 4000 mw and 25 per cent =
goes to industrial users, 35 per cent to the domestic sector and 40 per cen=
t to the agricultural sector, and the tariff structure requires government =
support even after cross-subsidisation, then the state should be told that =
if the SEB was prepared to yield 50 per cent of its industrial demand to th=
e IPP for direct supply, with the SEB charging for wheeling the power, the =
tariff rates should be raised for the non-industrial sectors and the state =
should be prepared to subsidise the loss of revenue, if it actually occurs,=
to the SEB. The new capacity will then be determined not arbitrarily but w=
ith reference to ground realities in each state.

In short, the states will get additional power to the extent they need and =
deserve. There will be no excess capacity created by the IPP as in the case=
of Maharashtra after DPC started generating in the first phase itself. It =
was also pointed out that by yielding a given percentage of demand from exi=
sting industrial users the loss of demand would materialise only when the =
new project is completed by the IPP in about three years' time and not imme=
diately. In the meantime the state could attract new industries with refere=
nce to the additional capacity that will become available to it at the end =
of three years and, if such new demand materialises, there will be no net l=
oss of demand or revenue to the SEB.

The new arrangement will involve tripartite agreements between the IPP, the=
industrial consumers and the SEB which will agree to wheel the power at a =
predetermined rate. The IPP can have the comfort of getting a PPA with the =
industrial consumers based on acceptable bank guarantees or escrow accounts=
of the consumers. The consumers will have the comfort of getting the requi=
red quantity of power of the right quality. The SEB will also have time to =
set up new distribution facilities to wheel the power through dedicated lin=
es if necessary, and also to the new industries that will be set up to take=
the loads that will be released by hiving off the existing industrial user=
s. SEBs can be net gainers by getting wheeling charges and by getting a mor=
e rational power tariff structure or government subsidy for cross-subsidisa=
tion.=20

Having thus established the quantum of additional capacity to be establishe=
d in each state, which can be calculated with reference to the parameters m=
entioned above, the IPPs should have been asked to send competitive bids fo=
r the determined capacity and not have memoranda of understanding (MoU) for=
their own notional capacities at their own rates without any competition. =
This arrangement will enable states to get the right amount of additional p=
ower at competitive rates and also not need any state or central government=
guarantees and will be a purely commercial transaction. There will also be=
no occasion for the state to have surplus capacity arising from IPP-determ=
ined capacities based on government guarantees.

The other advantage will be that new capacities will be in the range of 400=
to 6000 MW and they can also be distributed among the states with referen=
ce to their demand patterns and willingness to rationalise their tariff str=
uctures. The states and their consumers will get power at competitive rates=
and in the quantities they need and deserve. The Planning Commission propo=
sal had also worked out illustratively how the working of the proposal will=
determine additional capacities in a few states and the beneficial impact =
on the finances of SEBs in these states.

No one has asked the power ministry to explain why this suggestion was not =
accepted. It was obviously for the reason that this would scuttle the arran=
gements they were keen to have wit